TableChase Clubs

Albion SC Dallas Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Albion SC Dallas (all teams)

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3rd
3-1-1 record · 5 played
2.00 points per game
+6 goal diff · 15–9
WWWLDlast 5
67% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.0
-0.75 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Thu Oct 29, 07:15 PM

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Albion SC Dallas Pre
3rd · 2.00 PPG
at
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber
2nd · 2.40 PPG

Railroad Park , Field 9 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.1 for, 3.6 against · 0.73 expected points)

Season so farAlbion SC Dallas PreFC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber
Position3rd2nd
Record (W-D-L)3-1-14-0-1
Points per game2.002.40
Goals for / game3.04.6
Goals against / game1.81.8
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)D L W W WW W W L W
Biggest win6–0 vs Alpha Forms Pre11–0 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford
Worst loss1–3 at SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO2–4 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.46+1.72
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.75+0.11

Common opponents: TAG Soccer Pre Guerra — we 4–3; they 4–2. SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO — we 1–3; they 3–2. Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford — we 3–3; they 11–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber score 4.6/game — well above the league's 2.5.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 19%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 07:15 PM at Railroad Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Thursday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Albion SC Dallas Pre – FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.67 PPG		 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1
Win
2.17 PPG		 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Draw
1.83 PPG		 3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1
Loss
1.67 PPG		 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
67% top 4
33% below the top 4
4.0 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 3%
  3. 3rd 30%
  4. 4th 33%
  5. 5th 32%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.69) 14 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber 2.40 (+0.40) 2nd (2.40) 10 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule

How the results connect

17 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Albion SC Dallas Pre to FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
2 even
14 favour them
-2.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–3 2–4 1–3 2–3 3–3 0–11 1–0 1–0 6–0 1–6 1–5 4–2 2–3 1–6 1–3 0–4 3–3 1–1 2–3 Albion SC Dallas Pre 3rd TAG Soccer Pre Guer… 8th SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO 4th Kernow Storm FC Pre… 6th Sting Pre- Ikpa 7th Alpha Forms Pre 9th Dallas Texans Pre- … 1st SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUE… 5th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +1.22 · 1st hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Thu Oct 29
07:15 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +14		 Away
Railroad Park 		●●●●● Very tough
19%		 2–3 0.73 1.79 Upside
Thu Nov 5
08:30 PM		 SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED
5th · 3-1-2 · GD -1		 Away
Railroad Park 		●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 2–2 1.52 1.75 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
02:00 PM		 Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +18		 Home
Fairview Soccer Park 		●●●●● Very tough
24%		 2–3 0.89 1.64 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell 5500 257+18 153.00 WWWWW -0.50 +0.21 100% 1.3
2 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber 5401 239+14 122.40 WLWWW +0.11 -0.73 100% 1.8
3 Albion SC Dallas Pre 5311 159+6 102.00 WWWLD -0.75 +1.22 67% 4.0
4 SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO 5302 159+6 91.80 LLWWW -0.12 +0.00 87% 3.7
5 SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED 6312 1516-1 101.67 WLDLW +0.04 -0.03 45% 4.4
6 Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford 6132 1024-14 61.00 DLDWD +0.21 +0.04 1% 6.7
7 Sting Pre- Ikpa 5113 510-5 40.80 LDLWL +0.03 +0.33 1% 6.7
8 TAG Soccer Pre Guerra 5014 1015-5 10.20 DLLLL +0.19 -0.03 0% 7.5
9 Alpha Forms Pre 6015 726-19 10.17 DLLLL +0.17 +0.60 0% 8.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.54 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.