Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Kernow Storm FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 6B ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.6 for, 2.2 against · 1.02 expected points)
| Season so far | Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford | Sting Pre- Ikpa |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-3-2 | 1-1-3 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D W D L D | L W L D L |
| Biggest win | 3–2 vs Alpha Forms Pre | 1–0 vs TAG Soccer Pre Guerra |
| Worst loss | 0–11 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber | 1–5 at Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.41 | -0.61 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.21 | +0.03 |
Common opponents: Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell — we 0–4; they 1–5. TAG Soccer Pre Guerra — we 3–3; they 1–0. SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED — we 1–1; they 2–3. Alpha Forms Pre — we 3–2; they 1–1. Albion SC Dallas Pre — we 3–3; they 0–1.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Sting Pre- Ikpa average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 1 of 5.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–4 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell, 0–11 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 27%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Fairview Soccer Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Sting Pre- Ikpa game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford – Sting Pre- Ikpa) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.86 PPG |
7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.29 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Loss 0.86 PPG |
7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 7th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 1%
- 5th 2%
- 6th 41%
- 7th 37%
- 8th 18%
- 9th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.50 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell | 3.00 (+2.00) | 1st (2.69) | 18 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber | 2.40 (+1.40) | 2nd (2.40) | 14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Albion SC Dallas Pre | 2.00 (+1.00) | 4th (1.64) | 10 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO | 1.80 (+0.80) | 3rd (1.77) | 9 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED | 1.67 (+0.67) | 5th (1.60) | 8 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
How the results connect
18 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford to Sting Pre- Ikpa through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
6 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.04 · 5th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM |
Sting Pre- Ikpa 7th · 1-1-3 · GD -5 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 1.02 | 1.00 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 02:30 PM |
SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +6 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–3 | 0.61 | 0.95 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.50 | +0.21 | 100% | 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO · Sun Nov 1 at TAG Soccer Pre Guerra · Sun Nov 8 at Albion SC Dallas Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | +0.11 | -0.73 | 100% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 vs Albion SC Dallas Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Sting Pre- Ikpa · Sun Nov 8 at Alpha Forms Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Albion SC Dallas Pre | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 10 | 2.00 | WWWLD | -0.75 | +1.22 | 66% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber · Thu Nov 5 at SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED · Sun Nov 8 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | -0.12 | +0.00 | 86% | 3.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell · Sun Nov 1 at Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford · Sun Nov 8 vs Sting Pre- Ikpa See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 | 1.67 | WLDLW | +0.04 | -0.03 | 47% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Nov 5 vs Albion SC Dallas Pre · Sun Nov 8 at TAG Soccer Pre Guerra See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 6 | 1.00 | DLDWD | +0.21 | +0.04 | 1% | 6.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting Pre- Ikpa · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Sting Pre- Ikpa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 | 0.80 | LDLWL | +0.03 | +0.33 | 1% | 6.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber · Sun Nov 8 at SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | TAG Soccer Pre Guerra | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 1 | 0.20 | DLLLL | +0.19 | -0.03 | 0% | 7.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Alpha Forms Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell · Sun Nov 8 vs SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Alpha Forms Pre | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 1 | 0.17 | DLLLL | +0.17 | +0.60 | 0% | 8.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at TAG Soccer Pre Guerra · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.54 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.