Alpha Forms Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Forms Academy (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:00 AM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 1A ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.7 for, 3.6 against · 0.59 expected points)
| Season so far | Alpha Forms Pre | TAG Soccer Pre Guerra |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-1-5 | 0-1-4 |
| Points per game | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| Goals for / game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 4.3 | 3.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L D | L L L L D |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | 0–6 at Albion SC Dallas Pre | 2–4 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.03 | -0.52 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.17 | +0.19 |
Common opponents: Albion SC Dallas Pre — we 0–6; they 3–4. Sting Pre- Ikpa — we 1–1; they 0–1. SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO — we 1–6; they 2–3. Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford — we 2–3; they 3–3.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–6 at Albion SC Dallas Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 15%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Confidence is low on their side
TAG Soccer Pre Guerra have lost 4 straight (form: DLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 10:00 AM at Fairview Soccer Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
TAG Soccer Pre Guerra sit 8th on 0.20 PPG; we are on 0.17.A point moves us above TAG Soccer Pre Guerra on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the TAG Soccer Pre Guerra game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Alpha Forms Pre – TAG Soccer Pre Guerra) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.14 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Win 0.57 PPG |
8th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.29 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Loss 0.14 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th 1%
- 8th 8%
- 9th 92%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 0.88 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell | 3.00 (+2.83) | 1st (2.69) | 23 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber | 2.40 (+2.23) | 2nd (2.40) | 19 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Albion SC Dallas Pre | 2.00 (+1.83) | 4th (1.64) | 15 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO | 1.80 (+1.63) | 3rd (1.77) | 14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED | 1.67 (+1.50) | 5th (1.60) | 13 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 6 | Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford | 1.00 (+0.83) | 6th (0.95) | 7 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 7 | Sting Pre- Ikpa | 0.80 (+0.63) | 7th (0.87) | 6 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 6 for their projection |
| 8 | TAG Soccer Pre Guerra | 0.20 (+0.03) | 8th (0.64) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
19 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Alpha Forms Pre to TAG Soccer Pre Guerra through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
6 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.60 · 2nd hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 10:00 AM |
TAG Soccer Pre Guerra 8th · 0-1-4 · GD -5 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.59 | 0.23 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 02:00 PM |
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +14 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
1–5 | 0.18 | 0.22 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.50 | +0.21 | 100% | 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO · Sun Nov 1 at TAG Soccer Pre Guerra · Sun Nov 8 at Albion SC Dallas Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | +0.11 | -0.73 | 100% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 vs Albion SC Dallas Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Sting Pre- Ikpa · Sun Nov 8 at Alpha Forms Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Albion SC Dallas Pre | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 10 | 2.00 | WWWLD | -0.75 | +1.22 | 65% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Oct 29 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber · Thu Nov 5 at SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED · Sun Nov 8 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | -0.12 | +0.00 | 87% | 3.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell · Sun Nov 1 at Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford · Sun Nov 8 vs Sting Pre- Ikpa See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 | 1.67 | WLDLW | +0.04 | -0.03 | 47% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Nov 5 vs Albion SC Dallas Pre · Sun Nov 8 at TAG Soccer Pre Guerra See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 6 | 1.00 | DLDWD | +0.21 | +0.04 | 1% | 6.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Sting Pre- Ikpa · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Sting Pre- Ikpa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 | 0.80 | LDLWL | +0.03 | +0.33 | 1% | 6.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre R Bradford · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber · Sun Nov 8 at SOLAR PRE- NWEGBO See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | TAG Soccer Pre Guerra | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 1 | 0.20 | DLLLL | +0.19 | -0.03 | 0% | 7.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Alpha Forms Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Mitchell · Sun Nov 8 vs SOLAR PRE- RODRIGUEZ RED See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Alpha Forms Pre | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 1 | 0.17 | DLLLL | +0.17 | +0.60 | 0% | 8.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at TAG Soccer Pre Guerra · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Thornber See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.54 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.