TableChase Clubs

Roadrunners SC Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU11 · 13 teams · Roadrunners SC (all teams)

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1st
8-0-0 record · 8 played
3.00 points per game
+43 goal diff · 46–3
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.1
-0.25 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:00 PM

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Roadrunners SC Pre
1st · 3.00 PPG
at
Chicago Inter Pre
10th · 1.13 PPG

Chicago Inter Complex, Field 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 4–0 (expected goals 4.3 for, 0.8 against · 2.82 expected points)

Season so farRoadrunners SC PreChicago Inter Pre
Position1st10th
Record (W-D-L)8-0-03-0-5
Points per game3.001.13
Goals for / game5.81.5
Goals against / game0.42.9
Clean sheets61
Held scoreless04
Form (recent first)W W W W WW L L L W
Biggest win11–2 at Chicago City SC Pre6–3 at Chicago City SC Pre
Worst loss—0–5 at Indiana Elite FC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+3.76-0.83
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.25+0.28

Common opponents: NWI Lions United Pre — we 8–0; they 2–0. Indiana Elite FC Pre — we 3–0; they 0–5. Chicago Soccer Academy Pre — we 8–0; they 2–1. Chicago City SC Pre — we 11–2; they 6–3. Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre — we 1–0; they 0–5. Rockford Raptors FC Pre — we 2–0; they 0–3. FC Wisconsin Pre — we 6–1; they 2–3.

Game plan

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 92% chance; likely score 4–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 04:00 PM at Chicago Inter Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Chicago Inter Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Roadrunners SC Pre – Chicago Inter Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.78 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.67 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 4–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

95% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.1 average finish
  1. 1st 95%
  2. 2nd 5%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

33 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Roadrunners SC Pre to Chicago Inter Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

30 favour us
2 even
1 favour them
+5.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 3–0 6–1 3–2 1–0 5–0 11–2 3–6 8–0 0–2 8–0 1–2 3–0 5–0 1–2 3–3 0–6 1–6 3–0 1–9 Roadrunners SC Pre 1st Rockford Raptors FC… 6th FC Wisconsin Pre 5th Chicago Magic Socce… 4th Chicago City SC Pre 12th NWI Lions United Pre 8th Chicago Soccer Acad… 9th Indiana Elite FC Pre 3rd Bloomingdale Lightn… 2nd Chicago Inter Pre 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 21 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 14 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.36 · 13th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
04:00 PM
Chicago Inter Pre
10th · 3-0-5 · GD -11
Away far trip
Chicago Inter Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–0 2.82 2.98 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
05:00 PM
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
7th · 2-1-3 · GD +0
Away
Oak Brook Park District · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
4–1 2.74 2.96 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
03:00 PM
Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
2nd · 7-1-0 · GD +29
Home
Jefferson Junior High
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
3–1 2.24 2.89 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
10:00 AM
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
13th · 0-0-8 · GD -38
Home
Jefferson Junior High
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
8–0 2.99 2.90 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
13th · 0-0-8 · GD -38
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–0 2.99 2.91 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
2nd · 7-1-0 · GD +29
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.97 2.84 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre
10th · 3-0-5 · GD -11
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
4–0 2.90 2.84 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD
NWI Lions United Pre
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -9
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
5–0 2.93 2.85 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD
Indiana Elite FC Pre
3rd · 6-1-1 · GD +25
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.48 2.83 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Force Pre
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -19
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
6–0 2.94 2.83 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
9th · 3-0-5 · GD -4
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
4–0 2.77 2.83 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD
Chicago City SC Pre
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -31
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
9–1 2.99 2.84 Bank it
Sun May 9
TBD
Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +20
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.28 2.81 Bank it
Sat May 15
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
6th · 3-2-4 · GD -6
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
4–0 2.85 2.81 Bank it
Sun May 16
TBD
FC Wisconsin Pre
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +1
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
5–1 2.85 2.81 Bank it
Sat May 29
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
7th · 2-1-3 · GD +0
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
5–1 2.85 2.82 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Roadrunners SC Pre 8800 463+43 243.00 WWWWW -0.25 -0.36 100% 1.1
2 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 8710 3910+29 222.75 WWWWW -0.27 -0.21 100% 2.4
3 Indiana Elite FC Pre 8611 4015+25 192.38 LDWWW -0.35 -0.11 99% 3.4
4 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 6402 277+20 122.00 WWLLW +0.24 -0.36 99% 3.1
5 FC Wisconsin Pre 7403 2322+1 121.71 WLWWL +0.43 -0.19 2% 5.4
6 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 9324 1622-6 111.22 DWDLW +0.11 -0.01 0% 7.8
7 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 6213 1818+0 71.17 LWLWD -0.07 -0.01 0% 6.5
8 NWI Lions United Pre 7223 1221-9 81.14 WWDLD -0.45 +0.27 0% 9.6
9 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 8305 1721-4 91.13 LLLWL -0.16 +0.10 0% 7.8
10 Chicago Inter Pre 8305 1223-11 91.13 WLLLW +0.28 -0.06 0% 8.3
11 Force Pre 6114 827-19 40.67 LLLDL +0.66 +0.02 0% 11.1
12 Chicago City SC Pre 7106 2051-31 30.43 LLLWL +0.47 +0.10 0% 11.4
13 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 8008 644-38 00.00 LLLLL -0.22 +0.55 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.95 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.