TableChase Clubs

Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU11 · 13 teams · Chicago Magic Soccer Club (all teams)

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4th
4-0-2 record · 6 played
2.00 points per game
+20 goal diff · 27–7
WWLLWlast 5
99% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.1
+0.24 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:30 PM

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Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
4th · 2.00 PPG
vs
Chicago City SC Pre
12th · 0.43 PPG

HERITAGE PARK SOCCER BASIN, field 8 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 8–1 (expected goals 8.7 for, 1.7 against · 2.94 expected points)

Season so farChicago Magic Soccer Club PreChicago City SC Pre
Position4th12th
Record (W-D-L)4-0-21-0-6
Points per game2.000.43
Goals for / game4.52.9
Goals against / game1.27.3
Clean sheets30
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)W L L W WL W L L L
Biggest win8–0 at FC 1974 Libertyville Pre6–2 at FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
Worst loss0–1 vs Roadrunners SC Pre2–11 vs Roadrunners SC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.34-2.80
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.24+0.47

Common opponents: Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre — we 6–3; they 3–10. Chicago Inter Pre — we 5–0; they 3–6. Roadrunners SC Pre — we 0–1; they 2–11. Bloomingdale Lightning Pre — we 2–3; they 0–5. FC 1974 Libertyville Pre — we 8–0; they 6–2.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Chicago City SC Pre concede 7.3/game; worst result 2–11 vs Roadrunners SC Pre.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs Roadrunners SC Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 97% chance; likely score 8–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Chicago City SC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre – Chicago City SC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.14 PPG		 4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Win
2.14 PPG		 4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
1.86 PPG		 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1
Loss
1.71 PPG		 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 8–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
99% top 4
1% below the top 4
3.1 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 24%
  3. 3rd 39%
  4. 4th 35%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.75 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Roadrunners SC Pre 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.82) 60 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 2.75 (+0.75) 2nd (2.43) 54 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
3 Indiana Elite FC Pre 2.38 (+0.38) 4th (2.23) 46 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection

How the results connect

23 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre to Chicago City SC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

23 favour us
0 favour them
+8.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
8–0 2–6 2–3 5–0 0–1 11–2 5–0 6–3 6–3 10–3 6–0 1–9 3–3 11–5 3–2 6–1 3–0 0–5 1–4 4–0 Chicago Magic Socce… 4th FC 1974 Libertyvill… 13th Bloomingdale Lightn… 2nd Roadrunners SC Pre 1st Chicago Inter Pre 10th Eclipse Select Socc… 7th Rockford Raptors FC… 6th Indiana Elite FC Pre 3rd Chicago Soccer Acad… 9th Chicago City SC Pre 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 21 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 14 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.36 · 12th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 20
04:00 PM
no score posted		 Indiana Elite FC Pre
3rd · 6-1-1 · GD +25		 Home
HERITAGE PARK SOCCER BASIN		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 3–2 1.82 1.97 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
02:30 PM		 Chicago City SC Pre
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -31		 Home
HERITAGE PARK SOCCER BASIN		 ●○○○○ Favorable
97%		 8–1 2.94 2.10 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
03:30 PM		 FC Wisconsin Pre
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +1		 Away far trip
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 4–2 2.27 2.11 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
02:00 PM		 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
9th · 3-0-5 · GD -4		 Away far trip
East Side Sports Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 3–1 2.40 2.14 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
12:00 PM		 Force Pre
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -19		 Away
Lippold Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 5–1 2.80 2.20 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
12:00 PM		 NWI Lions United Pre
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -9		 Home
Heritage Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
90%		 4–1 2.76 2.25 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
TBD		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
7th · 2-1-3 · GD +0		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
82%		 4–1 2.54 2.27 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 NWI Lions United Pre
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -9		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 4–1 2.61 2.30 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 Indiana Elite FC Pre
3rd · 6-1-1 · GD +25		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–2 1.47 2.24 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 Chicago City SC Pre
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -31		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 7–1 2.87 2.28 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
9th · 3-0-5 · GD -4		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 4–1 2.61 2.30 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 Force Pre
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -19		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 5–1 2.89 2.33 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 FC Wisconsin Pre
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +1		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
81%		 4–1 2.53 2.34 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre
6th · 3-2-4 · GD -6		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 3–1 2.60 2.36 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD		 Chicago Inter Pre
10th · 3-0-5 · GD -11		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
81%		 3–1 2.53 2.36 Bank it
Sun May 9
TBD		 Roadrunners SC Pre
1st · 8-0-0 · GD +43		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–3 0.58 2.28 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD		 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
2nd · 7-1-0 · GD +29		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 2–2 1.52 2.25 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD		 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
13th · 0-0-8 · GD -38		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
99%		 7–0 2.97 2.28 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Roadrunners SC Pre 8800 463+43 243.00 WWWWW -0.25 -0.36 100% 1.1
2 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 8710 3910+29 222.75 WWWWW -0.27 -0.21 100% 2.5
3 Indiana Elite FC Pre 8611 4015+25 192.38 LDWWW -0.35 -0.11 99% 3.4
4 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 6402 277+20 122.00 WWLLW +0.24 -0.36 99% 3.1
5 FC Wisconsin Pre 7403 2322+1 121.71 WLWWL +0.43 -0.19 2% 5.4
6 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 9324 1622-6 111.22 DWDLW +0.11 -0.01 0% 7.9
7 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 6213 1818+0 71.17 LWLWD -0.07 -0.01 0% 6.4
8 NWI Lions United Pre 7223 1221-9 81.14 WWDLD -0.45 +0.27 0% 9.6
9 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 8305 1721-4 91.13 LLLWL -0.16 +0.10 0% 7.8
10 Chicago Inter Pre 8305 1223-11 91.13 WLLLW +0.28 -0.06 0% 8.3
11 Force Pre 6114 827-19 40.67 LLLDL +0.66 +0.02 0% 11.1
12 Chicago City SC Pre 7106 2051-31 30.43 LLLWL +0.47 +0.10 0% 11.4
13 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 8008 644-38 00.00 LLLLL -0.22 +0.55 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.95 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.