TableChase Clubs

Force Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU11 · 13 teams · Force Football Club (all teams)

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11th
1-1-4 record · 6 played
0.67 points per game
-19 goal diff · 8–27
LLLDLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.1
+0.66 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:00 AM

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Force Pre
11th · 0.67 PPG
at
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
9th · 1.13 PPG

East Side Sports Complex, field 11 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.7 for, 3.3 against · 0.65 expected points)

Season so farForce PreChicago Soccer Academy Pre
Position11th9th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-43-0-5
Points per game0.671.13
Goals for / game1.32.1
Goals against / game4.52.6
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L D L L LL W L L L
Biggest win4–2 at FC 1974 Libertyville Pre6–1 vs Chicago City SC Pre
Worst loss0–7 at Roadrunners SC Pre0–8 at Roadrunners SC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.97-0.40
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.66-0.16

Common opponents: FC 1974 Libertyville Pre — we 4–2; they 5–1. Roadrunners SC Pre — we 0–7; they 0–8. Rockford Raptors FC Pre — we 0–4; they 2–1. Bloomingdale Lightning Pre — we 1–7; they 2–3.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–7 at Roadrunners SC Pre, 0–4 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 17%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:00 AM at East Side Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Chicago Soccer Academy Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Force Pre – Chicago Soccer Academy Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.57 PPG		 11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG		 11th— holds 10th▲ up 1 11th— holds
Draw
0.71 PPG		 11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Loss
0.57 PPG		 11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 4%
  10. 10th 11%
  11. 11th 46%
  12. 12th 36%
  13. 13th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.42 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Roadrunners SC Pre 3.00 (+2.33) 1st (2.82) 68 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 64 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 2.75 (+2.08) 2nd (2.43) 62 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Indiana Elite FC Pre 2.38 (+1.71) 4th (2.23) 54 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
4 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 2.00 (+1.33) 3rd (2.28) 44 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
5 FC Wisconsin Pre 1.71 (+1.04) 5th (1.63) 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
6 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 1.22 (+0.55) 7th (1.21) 26 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 1.17 (+0.50) 6th (1.41) 25 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
8 NWI Lions United Pre 1.14 (+0.47) 10th (0.98) 24 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
9 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 1.13 (+0.46) 8th (1.20) 24 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
10 Chicago Inter Pre 1.13 (+0.46) 9th (1.15) 24 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection

How the results connect

32 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Force Pre to Chicago Soccer Academy Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
3 even
20 favour them
-1.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–7 8–0 4–2 1–5 1–7 3–2 0–4 1–2 1–1 0–8 3–0 2–1 6–1 3–1 2–6 4–1 2–0 0–3 0–2 3–3 6–1 Force Pre 11th Roadrunners SC Pre 1st FC 1974 Libertyvill… 13th Bloomingdale Lightn… 2nd Rockford Raptors FC… 6th NWI Lions United Pre 8th Indiana Elite FC Pre 3rd Chicago Inter Pre 10th FC Wisconsin Pre 5th Eclipse Select Socc… 7th Chicago Soccer Acad… 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 21 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 14 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 5th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 20
04:00 PM
no score posted		 Chicago Inter Pre
10th · 3-0-5 · GD -11		 Away far trip
Chicago Inter Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–2 0.86 0.69 Upside
Sun Sep 27
TBD
no score posted		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
7th · 2-1-3 · GD +0		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
18%		 2–3 0.68 0.69 Upside
Sat Oct 10
TBD
no score posted		 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
13th · 0-0-8 · GD -38		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
71%		 3–1 2.27 0.87 Bank it
Sat Oct 24
10:00 AM		 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
9th · 3-0-5 · GD -4		 Away far trip
East Side Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–3 0.65 0.85 Upside
Sat Oct 31
12:00 PM		 FC Wisconsin Pre
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +1		 Away far trip
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–4 0.38 0.80 Upside
Sat Nov 7
04:30 PM		 Chicago City SC Pre
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -31		 Home
Lippold Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 4–3 1.56 0.87 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
12:00 PM		 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +20		 Home
Lippold Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–5 0.15 0.81 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre
6th · 3-2-4 · GD -6		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–2 0.96 0.82 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 FC Wisconsin Pre
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +1		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
16%		 2–4 0.61 0.81 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
9th · 3-0-5 · GD -4		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
25%		 1–2 0.91 0.81 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 Chicago City SC Pre
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -31		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
34%		 3–4 1.16 0.83 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +20		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–5 0.08 0.79 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Roadrunners SC Pre
1st · 8-0-0 · GD +43		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–6 0.04 0.75 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 Chicago Inter Pre
10th · 3-0-5 · GD -11		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
32%		 1–2 1.14 0.77 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
7th · 2-1-3 · GD +0		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–4 0.44 0.76 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD		 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
2nd · 7-1-0 · GD +29		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–5 0.07 0.73 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD		 NWI Lions United Pre
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -9		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
24%		 1–2 0.90 0.73 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 Indiana Elite FC Pre
3rd · 6-1-1 · GD +25		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–6 0.10 0.71 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Roadrunners SC Pre 8800 463+43 243.00 WWWWW -0.25 -0.36 100% 1.1
2 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 8710 3910+29 222.75 WWWWW -0.27 -0.21 100% 2.4
3 Indiana Elite FC Pre 8611 4015+25 192.38 LDWWW -0.35 -0.11 99% 3.4
4 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 6402 277+20 122.00 WWLLW +0.24 -0.36 99% 3.2
5 FC Wisconsin Pre 7403 2322+1 121.71 WLWWL +0.43 -0.19 2% 5.4
6 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 9324 1622-6 111.22 DWDLW +0.11 -0.01 0% 7.8
7 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 6213 1818+0 71.17 LWLWD -0.07 -0.01 0% 6.5
8 NWI Lions United Pre 7223 1221-9 81.14 WWDLD -0.45 +0.27 0% 9.6
9 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 8305 1721-4 91.13 LLLWL -0.16 +0.10 0% 7.9
10 Chicago Inter Pre 8305 1223-11 91.13 WLLLW +0.28 -0.06 0% 8.3
11 Force Pre 6114 827-19 40.67 LLLDL +0.66 +0.02 0% 11.1
12 Chicago City SC Pre 7106 2051-31 30.43 LLLWL +0.47 +0.10 0% 11.5
13 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 8008 644-38 00.00 LLLLL -0.22 +0.55 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.95 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.