TableChase Clubs

Chicago Soccer Academy Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU11 · 13 teams · Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) (all teams)

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6th
4-0-5 record · 9 played
1.33 points per game
-3 goal diff · 19–22
LLWLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.6
-0.38 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM

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Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
6th · 1.33 PPG
vs
Indiana Elite FC Pre
3rd · 2.38 PPG

East Side Sports Complex, field 11 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.8 for, 3.6 against · 0.60 expected points)

Season so farChicago Soccer Academy PreIndiana Elite FC Pre
Position6th3rd
Record (W-D-L)4-0-56-1-1
Points per game1.332.38
Goals for / game2.15.0
Goals against / game2.41.9
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)W L W L LW W W D L
Biggest win6–1 vs Chicago City SC Pre11–5 at Chicago City SC Pre
Worst loss0–8 at Roadrunners SC Pre0–3 vs Roadrunners SC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.36+2.08
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.38-0.34

Common opponents: FC Wisconsin Pre — we 1–3; they 5–1. Chicago City SC Pre — we 6–1; they 11–5. Roadrunners SC Pre — we 0–8; they 0–3. Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre — we 0–2; they 4–1. Bloomingdale Lightning Pre — we 2–3; they 3–3. FC 1974 Libertyville Pre — we 5–1; they 6–0. Chicago Inter Pre — we 1–2; they 5–0. Force Pre — we 2–1; they 6–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Indiana Elite FC Pre score 5.0/game — well above the league's 2.9.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–8 at Roadrunners SC Pre, 0–2 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 16%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Indiana Elite FC Pre have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Indiana Elite FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chicago Soccer Academy Pre – Indiana Elite FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.20 PPG
7th▼ down 1 6th— holds 10th▼ down 4
Win
1.50 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Draw
1.30 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 10th▼ down 4
Loss
1.20 PPG
7th▼ down 1 6th— holds 10th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
7.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 17%
  7. 7th 27%
  8. 8th 26%
  9. 9th 17%
  10. 10th 8%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Roadrunners SC Pre 3.00 (+1.67) 1st (2.82) 60 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 2.75 (+1.42) 2nd (2.43) 54 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Indiana Elite FC Pre 2.38 (+1.05) 4th (2.22) 46 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
4 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 2.00 (+0.67) 3rd (2.28) 36 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
5 FC Wisconsin Pre 1.71 (+0.38) 5th (1.62) 30 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection

How the results connect

40 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Chicago Soccer Academy Pre to Indiana Elite FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
3 even
33 favour them
-3.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 3–3 6–1 5–11 5–1 0–6 2–1 2–6 0–2 1–4 0–8 3–0 1–2 0–5 1–3 1–5 6–1 0–5 9–1 7–1 Chicago Soccer Acad… 6th Bloomingdale Lightn… 2nd Chicago City SC Pre 12th FC 1974 Libertyvill… 13th Force Pre 11th Eclipse Select Socc… 8th Roadrunners SC Pre 1st Chicago Inter Pre 10th FC Wisconsin Pre 5th Indiana Elite FC Pre 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 21 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 14 Oct 21 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.25 · 3rd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Indiana Elite FC Pre
3rd · 6-1-1 · GD +25
Home
East Side Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.60 1.26 Upside
Sun Nov 1
02:00 PM
Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +20
Home
East Side Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.50 1.19 Upside
Sat Nov 7
02:00 PM
NWI Lions United Pre
9th · 2-2-3 · GD -9
Home
East Side Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.86 1.25 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
TBD
FC Wisconsin Pre
5th · 4-0-3 · GD +1
Home
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.30 1.25 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
7th · 3-2-4 · GD -6
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–1 1.59 1.28 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Force Pre
11th · 1-1-5 · GD -20
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.92 1.32 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
01:30 PM
NWI Lions United Pre
9th · 2-2-3 · GD -9
Away far trip
NWI Clinic Field
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.56 1.33 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +20
Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.32 1.27 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD
Chicago City SC Pre
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -31
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
4–2 1.99 1.31 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre
10th · 3-0-5 · GD -11
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.78 1.34 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Roadrunners SC Pre
1st · 8-0-0 · GD +43
Home
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–4 0.18 1.28 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
8th · 2-1-3 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
29%
2–2 1.05 1.27 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
2nd · 7-1-0 · GD +29
Away
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.30 1.22 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
13th · 0-0-8 · GD -38
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.48 1.28 Bank it
Sat May 15
TBD
Indiana Elite FC Pre
3rd · 6-1-1 · GD +25
Away
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–4 0.39 1.24 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Roadrunners SC Pre 8800 463+43 243.00 WWWWW -0.24 -0.35 100% 1.1
2 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 8710 3910+29 222.75 WWWWW -0.26 -0.20 100% 2.4
3 Indiana Elite FC Pre 8611 4015+25 192.38 LDWWW -0.34 -0.10 98% 3.4
4 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 6402 277+20 122.00 WWLLW +0.24 -0.34 99% 3.1
5 FC Wisconsin Pre 7403 2322+1 121.71 WLWWL +0.44 -0.18 3% 5.4
6 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 9405 1922-3 121.33 LLWLW -0.38 +0.25 0% 7.6
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 9324 1622-6 111.22 DWDLW +0.13 -0.01 0% 7.9
8 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 6213 1818+0 71.17 LWLWD -0.07 +0.00 0% 6.5
9 NWI Lions United Pre 7223 1221-9 81.14 WWDLD -0.44 +0.28 0% 9.5
10 Chicago Inter Pre 8305 1223-11 91.13 WLLLW +0.29 -0.05 0% 8.4
11 Force Pre 7115 929-20 40.57 LLDLL +0.50 +0.05 0% 11.2
12 Chicago City SC Pre 7106 2051-31 30.43 LLLWL +0.47 +0.11 0% 11.4
13 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 8008 644-38 00.00 LLLLL -0.21 +0.56 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.93 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.