TableChase Clubs

Indiana Elite FC Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU11 · 13 teams · Indiana Elite F.C. (all teams)

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3rd
7-1-1 record · 9 played
2.44 points per game
+26 goal diff · 42–16
DWWWWlast 5
97% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.5
-0.38 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM

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Indiana Elite FC Pre
3rd · 2.44 PPG
at

East Side Sports Complex, field 11 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.4 for, 1.7 against · 2.23 expected points)

Season so farIndiana Elite FC PreChicago Soccer Academy Pre
Position3rd6th
Record (W-D-L)7-1-14-0-5
Points per game2.441.33
Goals for / game4.72.1
Goals against / game1.82.4
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)W W W W DW L W L L
Biggest win11–5 at Chicago City SC Pre6–1 vs Chicago City SC Pre
Worst loss0–3 vs Roadrunners SC Pre0–8 at Roadrunners SC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.94-0.36
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.38-0.38

Common opponents: Chicago City SC Pre — we 11–5; they 6–1. Chicago Inter Pre — we 5–0; they 1–2. Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre — we 4–1; they 0–2. Roadrunners SC Pre — we 0–3; they 0–8. Bloomingdale Lightning Pre — we 3–3; they 2–3. FC 1974 Libertyville Pre — we 6–0; they 5–1. FC Wisconsin Pre — we 5–1; they 1–3. Force Pre — we 6–2; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 vs Roadrunners SC Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 70% / draw 14% / loss 16%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at East Side Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Chicago Soccer Academy Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Indiana Elite FC Pre – Chicago Soccer Academy Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.50 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.50 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
2.30 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Loss
2.20 PPG
3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
97% top 4
4% below the top 4
3.5 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 13%
  3. 3rd 31%
  4. 4th 53%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Roadrunners SC Pre 3.00 (+0.56) 1st (2.82) 50 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 2.75 (+0.31) 2nd (2.43) 44 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection

How the results connect

48 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link Indiana Elite FC Pre to Chicago Soccer Academy Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

36 favour us
6 even
6 favour them
+2.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–3 3–2 11–5 1–6 6–0 1–5 6–2 1–2 0–3 8–0 4–1 2–0 5–1 3–1 5–0 2–1 2–1 0–2 3–3 1–2 1–1 1–6 Indiana Elite FC Pre 3rd Bloomingdale Lightn… 2nd Chicago City SC Pre 12th FC 1974 Libertyvill… 13th Force Pre 11th Roadrunners SC Pre 1st Eclipse Select Socc… 7th FC Wisconsin Pre 5th Chicago Inter Pre 8th NWI Lions United Pre 10th Rockford Raptors FC… 9th Chicago Soccer Acad… 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 21 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 14 Oct 21 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.05 · 8th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 20
04:00 PM
no score posted
Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +20
Away far trip
HERITAGE PARK SOCCER BASIN
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–3 1.01 2.30 Upside
Sun Oct 4
10:00 AM
no score posted
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
9th · 3-2-5 · GD -10
Home
Elite Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–1 2.58 2.33 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
6th · 4-0-5 · GD -3
Away far trip
East Side Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
3–1 2.23 2.32 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
7th · 2-1-3 · GD +0
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
3–2 2.13 2.30 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Chicago City SC Pre
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -31
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
8–2 2.91 2.35 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +20
Home
●●●●○ Tough
39%
2–2 1.34 2.28 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
NWI Lions United Pre
10th · 2-2-4 · GD -10
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.46 2.29 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre
8th · 3-0-5 · GD -11
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.42 2.30 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD
Roadrunners SC Pre
1st · 8-0-0 · GD +43
Away
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.41 2.19 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
2nd · 7-1-0 · GD +29
Home
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.29 2.15 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
13th · 0-0-8 · GD -38
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–0 2.97 2.19 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD
FC Wisconsin Pre
5th · 5-0-3 · GD +5
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
3–2 1.93 2.18 Swing game
Sun May 9
10:00 AM
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
9th · 3-2-5 · GD -10
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
3–1 2.37 2.18 Bank it
Sat May 15
TBD
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
6th · 4-0-5 · GD -3
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.48 2.20 Bank it
Sun May 16
TBD
Force Pre
11th · 1-1-5 · GD -20
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
5–1 2.85 2.22 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Roadrunners SC Pre 8800 463+43 243.00 WWWWW -0.24 -0.36 100% 1.1
2 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 8710 3910+29 222.75 WWWWW -0.27 -0.20 100% 2.4
3 Indiana Elite FC Pre 9711 4216+26 222.44 DWWWW -0.38 -0.05 97% 3.5
4 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 6402 277+20 122.00 WWLLW +0.20 -0.33 98% 3.1
5 FC Wisconsin Pre 8503 2722+5 151.88 LWWLW +0.27 -0.18 6% 5.1
6 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 9405 1922-3 121.33 LLWLW -0.38 +0.24 0% 7.5
7 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 6213 1818+0 71.17 LWLWD -0.12 +0.02 0% 6.5
8 Chicago Inter Pre 8305 1223-11 91.13 WLLLW +0.29 -0.05 0% 8.2
9 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 10325 1626-10 111.10 WDLWL +0.18 -0.01 0% 8.6
10 NWI Lions United Pre 8224 1323-10 81.00 WDLDL -0.09 +0.15 0% 9.4
11 Force Pre 7115 929-20 40.57 LLDLL +0.46 +0.06 0% 11.2
12 Chicago City SC Pre 7106 2051-31 30.43 LLLWL +0.45 +0.12 0% 11.4
13 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 8008 644-38 00.00 LLLLL -0.21 +0.55 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.