TableChase Clubs

FC Wisconsin Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Lake Michigan BU11 · 13 teams · FC Wisconsin Boys (all teams)

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5th
4-0-3 record · 7 played
1.71 points per game
+1 goal diff · 23–22
WLWWLlast 5
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.4
+0.43 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:30 AM

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FC Wisconsin Pre
5th · 1.71 PPG
vs

FC Wisconsin Soccer Park, Hegarty #02 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.1 for, 2.1 against · 1.91 expected points)

Season so farFC Wisconsin PreRockford Raptors FC Pre
Position5th6th
Record (W-D-L)4-0-33-2-4
Points per game1.711.22
Goals for / game3.31.8
Goals against / game3.12.4
Clean sheets04
Held scoreless03
Form (recent first)L W W L WW L D W D
Biggest win9–1 at FC 1974 Libertyville Pre4–0 at FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
Worst loss1–6 at Bloomingdale Lightning Pre1–9 at Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.21-0.46
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.43+0.11

Common opponents: Chicago Soccer Academy Pre — we 3–1; they 1–2. Bloomingdale Lightning Pre — we 1–6; they 1–9. FC 1974 Libertyville Pre — we 9–1; they 4–0. NWI Lions United Pre — we 5–1; they 3–3. Chicago Inter Pre — we 3–2; they 3–0. Roadrunners SC Pre — we 1–6; they 0–2.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 58% / draw 17% / loss 25%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Rockford Raptors FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Wisconsin Pre – Rockford Raptors FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.88 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Win
1.88 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Draw
1.63 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Loss
1.50 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
5.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 68%
  6. 6th 21%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Roadrunners SC Pre 3.00 (+1.29) 1st (2.82) 60 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 2.75 (+1.04) 2nd (2.43) 54 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
3 Indiana Elite FC Pre 2.38 (+0.67) 4th (2.23) 46 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
4 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 2.00 (+0.29) 3rd (2.28) 36 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection

How the results connect

38 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link FC Wisconsin Pre to Rockford Raptors FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

21 favour us
2 even
15 favour them
+1.1 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 0–3 1–6 2–0 1–6 9–1 3–1 2–1 5–1 3–3 9–1 0–4 1–1 0–4 0–2 0–0 0–2 1–5 4–1 7–0 1–0 6–0 FC Wisconsin Pre 5th Chicago Inter Pre 10th Roadrunners SC Pre 1st Bloomingdale Lightn… 2nd Chicago Soccer Acad… 9th NWI Lions United Pre 8th FC 1974 Libertyvill… 13th Indiana Elite FC Pre 3rd Force Pre 11th Eclipse Select Socc… 7th Chicago Magic Socce… 4th Rockford Raptors FC… 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 21 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 14 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.19 · 10th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
10:30 AM
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
6th · 3-2-4 · GD -6
Home
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
58%
3–2 1.91 1.74 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
03:30 PM
Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +20
Home
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
16%
2–4 0.60 1.61 Upside
Sat Oct 31
12:00 PM
Force Pre
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -19
Home
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
4–1 2.53 1.70 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
12:30 PM
Chicago City SC Pre
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -31
Home
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
6–2 2.61 1.79 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
09:30 AM
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
7th · 2-1-3 · GD +0
Home
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
3–2 1.69 1.78 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Chicago Soccer Academy Pre
9th · 3-0-5 · GD -4
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.55 1.76 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Force Pre
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -19
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
4–2 2.27 1.80 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
10:00 AM
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
6th · 3-2-4 · GD -6
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.78 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Bloomingdale Lightning Pre
2nd · 7-1-0 · GD +29
Home
●●●●● Very tough
15%
2–4 0.57 1.71 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
13th · 0-0-8 · GD -38
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
5–1 2.85 1.77 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +20
Away
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–4 0.38 1.70 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Chicago City SC Pre
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -31
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
6–3 2.34 1.73 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD
Indiana Elite FC Pre
3rd · 6-1-1 · GD +25
Home
●●●●● Very tough
21%
2–4 0.76 1.68 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD
NWI Lions United Pre
8th · 2-2-3 · GD -9
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–2 2.20 1.71 Swing game
Sat May 15
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre
10th · 3-0-5 · GD -11
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–2 1.79 1.71 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD
Roadrunners SC Pre
1st · 8-0-0 · GD +43
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.11 1.64 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre
7th · 2-1-3 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
38%
3–3 1.31 1.63 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Roadrunners SC Pre 8800 463+43 243.00 WWWWW -0.25 -0.36 100% 1.0
2 Bloomingdale Lightning Pre 8710 3910+29 222.75 WWWWW -0.27 -0.21 100% 2.5
3 Indiana Elite FC Pre 8611 4015+25 192.38 LDWWW -0.35 -0.11 98% 3.4
4 Chicago Magic Soccer Club Pre 6402 277+20 122.00 WWLLW +0.24 -0.36 99% 3.1
5 FC Wisconsin Pre 7403 2322+1 121.71 WLWWL +0.43 -0.19 2% 5.4
6 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 9324 1622-6 111.22 DWDLW +0.11 -0.01 0% 7.9
7 Eclipse Select Soccer Club Pre 6213 1818+0 71.17 LWLWD -0.07 -0.01 0% 6.5
8 NWI Lions United Pre 7223 1221-9 81.14 WWDLD -0.45 +0.27 0% 9.5
9 Chicago Soccer Academy Pre 8305 1721-4 91.13 LLLWL -0.16 +0.10 0% 7.9
10 Chicago Inter Pre 8305 1223-11 91.13 WLLLW +0.28 -0.06 0% 8.3
11 Force Pre 6114 827-19 40.67 LLLDL +0.66 +0.02 0% 11.1
12 Chicago City SC Pre 7106 2051-31 30.43 LLLWL +0.47 +0.10 0% 11.5
13 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 8008 644-38 00.00 LLLLL -0.22 +0.55 0% 13.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.95 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.