Shakopee SA
ECNL Regional League Girls · Twin Cities GU13 · 14 teams · Shakopee SA (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 04:30 PM
Parade Stadium, Turf Field ↗ · turf far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.5 for, 2.3 against · 0.92 expected points)
| Season so far | Shakopee SA | Keliix-Intra Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 14th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-5 | 2-0-3 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals for / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals against / game | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | L L W W L |
| Biggest win | — | 3–0 vs Wave SC |
| Worst loss | 1–4 vs DASC | 1–6 at St Croix |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.09 | -0.51 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.15 | +0.38 |
Common opponents: MapleBrook SC — we 1–2; they 1–0. Wave SC — we 1–2; they 3–0. Lakeville Soccer Club — we 1–3; they 1–2. Manitou FC — we 1–3; they 0–3.
Game plan
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 24%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 04:30 PM at Parade Stadium.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Fusion Soccer Club sit 13th on 0.17 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Fusion Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Keliix-Intra Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Shakopee SA – Keliix-Intra Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
14th— holds | 14th— holds | 14th— holds |
| Win 0.50 PPG |
13th▲ up 1 | 11th▲ up 3 | 13th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.17 PPG |
13th▲ up 1 | 13th▲ up 1 | 13th▲ up 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
14th— holds | 14th— holds | 14th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 14th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th 15%
- 12th 8%
- 13th 20%
- 14th 57%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 0.50 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Rush | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.97) | 18 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | St Croix | 2.67 (+2.67) | 2nd (2.67) | 17 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Manitou FC | 2.60 (+2.60) | 3rd (2.61) | 16 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | DASC | 2.14 (+2.14) | 4th (2.14) | 13 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Lakeville Soccer Club | 2.00 (+2.00) | 5th (2.00) | 12 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 6 | Boreal FC | 1.80 (+1.80) | 6th (1.88) | 11 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 7 | North Surf | 1.50 (+1.50) | 7th (1.45) | 9 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 8 | Keliix-Intra Soccer Club | 1.20 (+1.20) | 8th (1.31) | 8 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 9 | MapleBrook SC | 1.00 (+1.00) | 9th (1.00) | 6 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 6 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 10 | Tonka United SA | 0.80 (+0.80) | 10th (0.75) | 5 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 5 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 11 | Wave SC | 0.60 (+0.60) | 11th (0.54) | 4 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 4 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 12 | MN Thunder Academy | 0.50 (+0.50) | 12th (0.48) | Win next game |
| 13 | Fusion Soccer Club | 0.17 (+0.17) | 13th (0.17) | A point next game |
How the results connect
19 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Shakopee SA to Keliix-Intra Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
16 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.51 · 6th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 04:30 PM |
Keliix-Intra Soccer Club 8th · 2-0-3 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
Parade Stadium · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–2 | 0.92 | 0.15 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Minnesota Rush | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | +17 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.28 | -0.91 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs MN Thunder Academy See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | St Croix | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 3 | +17 | 16 | 2.67 | WWWWW | -0.04 | — | 100% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 3 | Manitou FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 13 | 2.60 | DWWWW | -0.08 | -1.08 | 100% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Wave SC See all 1 future matchup ▸ |
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| 4 | DASC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 15 | 2.14 | WLWWW | -0.02 | -0.25 | 81% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Sep 25 vs North Surf See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Lakeville Soccer Club | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 12 | 2.00 | LLWWW | -0.09 | — | 5% | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 6 | Boreal FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | LWWWL | +0.07 | -0.87 | 14% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Tonka United SA See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | North Surf | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | +0.03 | -0.11 | 1% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Sep 25 at DASC · Sun Oct 25 vs MN Thunder Academy See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Keliix-Intra Soccer Club | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 | 1.20 | LWWLL | +0.38 | -1.09 | 0% | 7.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Shakopee SA See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | MapleBrook SC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 | 1.00 | LWLLL | +0.15 | — | 0% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 10 | Tonka United SA | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 | 0.80 | WDLLL | +0.10 | +0.51 | 0% | 10.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Boreal FC See all 1 future matchup ▸ |
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| 11 | Wave SC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 3 | 0.60 | WLLLL | +0.01 | +1.21 | 0% | 11.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Manitou FC See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | MN Thunder Academy | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 2 | 0.50 | DDLL | -0.21 | +0.88 | 0% | 11.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Minnesota Rush · Sun Oct 25 at North Surf See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Fusion Soccer Club | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 1 | 0.17 | DLLLL | +0.24 | — | 0% | 13.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 14 | Shakopee SA | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.15 | -0.51 | 0% | 13.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Keliix-Intra Soccer Club See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.