Lakeville Soccer Club

ECNL Regional League Girls · Twin Cities GU13 · 14 teams · Lakeville Soccer Club (all teams)

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5th

4-0-2 record · 6 played

2.00 points per game

+2 goal diff · 10–8

LLWWWlast 5

5% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.5

-0.09 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game

No remaining games on the published schedule.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 0 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Minnesota Rush	3.00 (+1.00)	1st (2.97)	—
2	St Croix	2.67 (+0.67)	2nd (2.67)	—
3	Manitou FC	2.60 (+0.60)	3rd (2.61)	—
4	DASC	2.14 (+0.14)	4th (2.14)	A point next game

Position over the season

16 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

No remaining games published.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Minnesota Rush

+17

3.00

WWWWW

-0.28

-0.91

100%

1.1

W	Mon Oct 12	at	Fusion Soccer Club (13th)	6–1
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Boreal FC (6th)	1–0
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Tonka United SA (10th)	5–1
W	Sun Sep 20	at	DASC (4th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	North Surf (7th)	4–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs MN Thunder Academy See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	MN Thunder Academy (12th)	3–0	91%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

St Croix

+17

2.67

WWWWW

-0.04

—

100%

2.0

Manitou FC

+10

2.60

DWWWW

-0.08

-1.08

100%

3.0

W	Tue Oct 20	at	Shakopee SA (14th)	3–1
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Keliix-Intra Soccer Club (8th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	MapleBrook SC (9th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Lakeville Soccer Club (5th)	3–1
D	Fri Sep 18	vs	St Croix (2nd)	0–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Wave SC See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Wave SC (11th)	2–0	86%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DASC

2.14

WLWWW

-0.02

-0.25

80%

4.4

W	Sun Oct 11	at	MN Thunder Academy (12th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Shakopee SA (14th)	4–1
W	Fri Oct 9	at	Tonka United SA (10th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	St Croix (2nd)	1–4
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Fusion Soccer Club (13th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Minnesota Rush (1st)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Boreal FC (6th)	1–0

Next: Fri Sep 25 vs North Surf See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Sep 25 (no score yet)	vs	North Surf (7th)	2–1	64%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lakeville Soccer Club

2.00

LLWWW

-0.09

—

5.5

Boreal FC

1.80

LWWWL

+0.07

-0.87

14%

5.2

L	Sat Oct 10	at	Minnesota Rush (1st)	0–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	North Surf (7th)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 27	at	MN Thunder Academy (12th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Fusion Soccer Club (13th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	DASC (4th)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Tonka United SA See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Tonka United SA (10th)	2–0	70%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

North Surf

-2

1.50

LWLW

+0.03

-0.11

7.2

W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Fusion Soccer Club (13th)	2–0
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Boreal FC (6th)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Tonka United SA (10th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Minnesota Rush (1st)	0–4

Next: Fri Sep 25 at DASC · Sun Oct 25 vs MN Thunder Academy See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Sep 25 (no score yet)	at	DASC (4th)	1–2	17%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	MN Thunder Academy (12th)	1–0	58%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Keliix-Intra Soccer Club

-5

1.20

LWWLL

+0.38

-1.09

7.8

L	Sun Oct 11	at	St Croix (2nd)	1–6
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Manitou FC (3rd)	0–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Wave SC (11th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	MapleBrook SC (9th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Lakeville Soccer Club (5th)	1–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Shakopee SA See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Shakopee SA (14th)	2–1	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

MapleBrook SC

-6

1.00

LWLLL

+0.15

—

9.0

Tonka United SA

-7

0.80

WDLLL

+0.10

+0.51

10.0

L	Fri Oct 9	vs	DASC (4th)	0–3
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Minnesota Rush (1st)	1–5
L	Sun Sep 20	at	North Surf (7th)	0–2
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	MN Thunder Academy (12th)	0–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Fusion Soccer Club (13th)	3–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Boreal FC See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Boreal FC (6th)	0–2	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Wave SC

-9

0.60

WLLLL

+0.01

+1.21

11.5

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Lakeville Soccer Club (5th)	0–1
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	St Croix (2nd)	0–4
L	Sun Sep 27	at	MapleBrook SC (9th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Keliix-Intra Soccer Club (8th)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Shakopee SA (14th)	2–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Manitou FC See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Manitou FC (3rd)	0–2	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

MN Thunder Academy

-6

0.50

DDLL

-0.21

+0.88

11.6

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	DASC (4th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Boreal FC (6th)	0–3
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Tonka United SA (10th)	0–0
D	Fri Sep 18	vs	Fusion Soccer Club (13th)	0–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Minnesota Rush · Sun Oct 25 at North Surf See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Minnesota Rush (1st)	0–3	2%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	North Surf (7th)	0–1	16%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Fusion Soccer Club

-13

0.17

DLLLL

+0.24

—

13.4

Shakopee SA

-9

0.00

LLLLL

+0.15

-0.51

13.2

L	Tue Oct 20	vs	Manitou FC (3rd)	1–3
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	DASC (4th)	1–4
L	Thu Oct 8	at	Lakeville Soccer Club (5th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Wave SC (11th)	1–2
L	Fri Sep 18	vs	MapleBrook SC (9th)	1–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Keliix-Intra Soccer Club See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Keliix-Intra Soccer Club (8th)	1–2	24%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.49 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.