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Beach Futbol Club Gold

ECNL Regional League Girls · Southwest GU15 · 17 teams · Beach Futbol Club (all teams)

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11th
1-1-2 record · 4 played
1.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 5–5
WLLDlast 4
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.3
+0.49 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 01:45 PM

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Beach Futbol Club Gold
11th · 1.00 PPG
at
Legends FC - Del Mar
17th · 0.00 PPG

Miramesa High School , Field 1 - Stadium ↗ · turf? far trip

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 3.7 for, 0.5 against · 2.81 expected points)

Season so farBeach Futbol Club GoldLegends FC - Del Mar
Position11th17th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-20-0-6
Points per game1.000.00
Goals for / game1.30.0
Goals against / game1.35.8
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless16
Form (recent first)D L L WL L L L L
Biggest win2–0 at LAFC—
Worst loss1–2 vs LA Breakers0–10 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ RL
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.11-3.70
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.49+0.68

Common opponents: SLAMMERS FC — we 0–0; they 0–4.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Legends FC - Del Mar average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 1.6); blanked in 6 of 6.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Legends FC - Del Mar concede 5.8/game; worst result 0–10 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ RL.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs SLAMMERS FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 92% chance; likely score 3–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Legends FC - Del Mar have lost 6 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:45 PM at Miramesa High School .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Pateadores Soccer Club sit 10th on 1.40 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A win moves us above Pateadores Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC - Del Mar game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Beach Futbol Club Gold – Legends FC - Del Mar) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.40 PPG
10th▲ up 1 10th▲ up 1 11th— holds
Win
1.40 PPG
10th▲ up 1 10th▲ up 1 11th— holds
Draw
1.00 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 13th▼ down 2
Loss
0.80 PPG
13th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–0 win we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
9.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 7%
  7. 7th 10%
  8. 8th 15%
  9. 9th 16%
  10. 10th 16%
  11. 11th 12%
  12. 12th 9%
  13. 13th 6%
  14. 14th 3%
  15. 15th 1%
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Blues 3.00 (+2.00) 2nd (2.28) 44 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
2 LA Breakers 3.00 (+2.00) 3rd (2.05) 44 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
3 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 2.60 (+1.60) 1st (2.49) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
4 Legends FC 2.17 (+1.17) 4th (2.05) 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
5 San Diego Surf 2.00 (+1.00) 5th (1.82) 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
6 Rebels SC 2.00 (+1.00) 6th (1.77) 28 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
7 Phoenix Rising FC 1.67 (+0.67) 7th (1.54) 23 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
8 SLAMMERS FC 1.60 (+0.60) 8th (1.47) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
9 Slammers FC HB Koge 1.50 (+0.50) 9th (1.43) 20 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
10 Pateadores Soccer Club 1.40 (+0.40) 11th (1.27) Win next game

How the results connect

7 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Beach Futbol Club Gold to Legends FC - Del Mar through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
0 favour them
+5.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 4–0 2–3 2–2 2–0 2–0 2–1 0–4 10–0 1–1 4–0 0–0 6–0 4–0 Beach Futbol Club G… 11th SLAMMERS FC 8th Legends FC 4th LAFC 12th Phoenix Rising FC 7th Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 3rd Rebels SC 6th Eagles SC 13th Legends FC - Del Mar 17th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.18 · 15th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
01:45 PM
Legends FC - Del Mar
17th · 0-0-6 · GD -35
Away far trip
Miramesa High School · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
3–0 2.81 1.36 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
Blues
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +9
Home
El Camino College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.79 1.27 Upside
Sun Nov 22
08:30 AM
Rebels SC
6th · 2-2-0 · GD +5
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–1 0.97 1.22 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Eagles SC
13th · 1-1-3 · GD -1
Away
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.40 1.25 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
San Diego Surf
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +12
Home
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.08 1.23 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Phoenix Rising FC
7th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Away
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.24 1.23 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Arizona Arsenal
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -4
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.66 1.27 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD
LV Heat Surf
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -12
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–0 2.26 1.35 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Slammers FC HB Koge
9th · 3-0-3 · GD +1
Home
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.49 1.36 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
10th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.70 1.39 Swing game
Sat May 1
TBD
Utah Royals FC-AZ RL
3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +20
Home
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.48 1.32 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
Sporting California USA
15th · 0-0-4 · GD -12
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–0 2.30 1.39 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Blues 3300 112+9 93.00 WWW +0.42 -0.20 93% 2.5
2 LA Breakers 4400 83+5 123.00 WWWW -0.15 -0.02 66% 4.0
3 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 5410 211+20 132.60 WWWDW -0.92 +0.19 99% 1.5
4 Legends FC 6411 207+13 132.17 LWWWD -0.29 +0.00 73% 3.7
5 San Diego Surf 6402 219+12 122.00 WWLWL -0.53 +0.24 32% 5.4
6 Rebels SC 4220 83+5 82.00 WDWD -0.32 +0.09 25% 6.0
7 Phoenix Rising FC 6312 87+1 101.67 LWWLD +0.00 -0.03 5% 8.0
8 SLAMMERS FC 5221 74+3 81.60 LWWDD -0.65 +0.27 4% 8.6
9 Slammers FC HB Koge 6303 98+1 91.50 LWLWL +0.04 -0.04 1% 8.9
10 Pateadores Soccer Club 5212 57-2 71.40 LWLDW +0.10 -0.04 0% 10.7
11 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4112 55+0 41.00 WLLD +0.49 -0.18 2% 9.3
12 LAFC 5122 36-3 51.00 LDDWL +0.08 -0.02 0% 12.1
13 Eagles SC 5113 89-1 40.80 LLDLW -0.45 +0.17 0% 11.7
14 Arizona Arsenal 3003 26-4 00.00 LLL +0.31 -0.03 0% 13.3
15 Sporting California USA 4004 315-12 00.00 LLLL +1.00 -0.23 0% 14.9
16 LV Heat Surf 3003 012-12 00.00 LLL +1.27 -0.18 0% 15.5
17 Legends FC - Del Mar 6006 035-35 00.00 LLLLL +0.68 -0.05 0% 16.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.64 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.