SAFC STXCL

ECNL Regional League Boys · STXCL BU15 · 16 teams · San Antonio FC (all teams)

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13th

1-1-3 record · 5 played

0.80 points per game

-10 goal diff · 5–15

LLDLWlast 5

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.3

+0.39 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:00 PM

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SAFC STXCL
13th · 0.80 PPG

Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold
10th · 1.33 PPG

Westcreek , Field 1 ↗ far trip

19% 19% 63%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.3 for, 2.4 against · 0.75 expected points)

Season so far	SAFC STXCL	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold
Position	13th	10th
Record (W-D-L)	1-1-3	2-2-2
Points per game	0.80	1.33
Goals for / game	1.0	1.5
Goals against / game	3.0	2.0
Clean sheets	1	1
Held scoreless	1	1
Form (recent first)	W L D L L	D W L L W
Biggest win	2–0 vs LTFC STXCL	3–1 vs Lions FC STXCL Red
Worst loss	0–6 vs MAFC STXCL	1–4 at SG1 STXCL
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-1.12	-0.15
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.39	+0.52

Common opponents: MAFC STXCL — we 0–6; they 0–3. SG1 STXCL — we 1–5; they 1–4.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–6 vs MAFC STXCL.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 19%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 03:00 PM at Westcreek .
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Dynamos STXCL sit 12th on 0.80 PPG; we are on 0.80.
A point moves us above Dynamos STXCL on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SAFC STXCL – Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.67 PPG	14th▼ down 1	13th— holds	15th▼ down 2
Win 1.17 PPG	10th▲ up 3	10th▲ up 3	11th▲ up 2
Draw 0.83 PPG	12th▲ up 1	13th— holds	14th▼ down 1
Loss 0.67 PPG	14th▼ down 1	13th— holds	15th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

0% top 4

100% below the top 4

13.3 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th <1%
7th <1%
8th 1%
9th 1%
10th 3%
11th 5%
12th 12%
13th 32%
14th 25%
15th 15%
16th 6%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.27 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	MAFC STXCL	2.67 (+1.87)	1st (2.32)	37 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	Lions FC STXCL Red	2.50 (+1.70)	2nd (2.31)	34 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3	Cavalry FC STXCL	2.29 (+1.49)	3rd (1.98)	31 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
4	Imperial SC STXCL	2.17 (+1.37)	4th (1.97)	29 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
5	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL	1.83 (+1.03)	6th (1.56)	24 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
6	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold	1.67 (+0.87)	8th (1.43)	22 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
7	RISE SC STXCL	1.60 (+0.80)	7th (1.54)	20 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
8	SG1 STXCL	1.50 (+0.70)	5th (1.58)	19 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
9	Sting CC STXCL Stewart	1.33 (+0.53)	10th (1.39)	16 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
10	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold	1.33 (+0.53)	9th (1.42)	16 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
11	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL	0.86 (+0.06)	12th (1.19)	A point next game
12	Dynamos STXCL	0.80 (+0.00)	11th (1.25)	Already ahead

How the results connect

10 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link SAFC STXCL to Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us

2 even

7 favour them

-2.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.10 · 12th hardest of 16

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 03:00 PM	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 10th · 2-2-2 · GD -3	Away far trip Westcreek	●●●●● Very tough	19%	1–2	0.75	0.79	Upside
Sat Oct 31 02:00 PM	FC Westlake STXCL 16th · 0-1-6 · GD -15	Home ASP / CC	●●●○○ Toss-up	51%	2–1	1.76	0.93	Swing game
Sat Nov 7 10:00 AM	Lions FC STXCL Red 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +12	Away ASP / CC	●●●●● Very tough	4%	0–3	0.22	0.84	Upside
Sun Nov 8 02:00 PM	Sting CC STXCL Stewart 9th · 2-2-2 · GD -2	Away ASP / CC	●●●●● Very tough	19%	1–2	0.75	0.83	Upside
Sat Nov 14 04:00 PM	Imperial SC STXCL 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +9	Home ASP / CC	●●●●● Very tough	11%	0–2	0.49	0.80	Upside
Sun Nov 15 10:00 AM	RISE SC STXCL 7th · 2-2-1 · GD +2	Home ASP / CC	●●●●● Very tough	20%	1–2	0.77	0.79	Upside
Sat Nov 21 02:00 PM	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL 11th · 2-0-5 · GD -3	Away far trip Dyess Park	●●●●● Very tough	18%	1–2	0.74	0.79	Upside
Sun Nov 22 08:00 AM	Dynamos STXCL 12th · 1-1-3 · GD +0	Away far trip Zube Park	●●●●● Very tough	16%	1–2	0.64	0.78	Upside
Sat Apr 17 12:00 PM	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue 15th · 0-1-4 · GD -12	Away ASP / CC	●●●●○ Tough	37%	2–2	1.32	0.82	Upside
Sun Apr 18 12:00 PM	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold 6th · 3-1-2 · GD -1	Home ASP / CC	●●●●○ Tough	26%	1–2	0.97	0.83	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

MAFC STXCL

+16

2.67

WWWDW

-0.24

-0.02

99%

1.8

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	4–2
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	3–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	4–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	6–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Cavalry FC STXCL · Sun Oct 25 at Imperial SC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 at AHFC CENTRAL STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	4–0	93%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	3–0	89%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	3–1	74%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	2–2	58%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lions FC STXCL Red

+12

2.50

WWWLW

-0.14

-0.09

98%

1.9

W	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	5–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	6–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at LTFC STXCL · Sat Nov 7 vs SAFC STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs MAFC STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	2–0	79%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	3–0	87%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	54%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	2–1	72%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	2–1	74%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	3–1	85%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Cavalry FC STXCL

+10

2.29

WWWLW

-0.43

+0.30

73%

3.8

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	4–2
D	Sun Sep 13	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	5–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs MAFC STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at Dynamos STXCL · Sat Nov 14 at Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–2	34%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–1	51%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	2–1	54%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	3–1	84%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	2–1	49%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Imperial SC STXCL

2.17

WWDWW

-0.37

+0.16

74%

3.8

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	6–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	0–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs MAFC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs SG1 STXCL · Sun Nov 8 at RISE SC STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–0	73%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	2–1	64%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–1	55%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

AHFC CENTRAL STXCL

1.83

WDDWL

-0.29

+0.21

11%

7.3

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	0–2
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–0
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–1
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	3–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs RISE SC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs MAFC STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–1	38%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–1	22%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	2–1	69%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–1	30%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–1	44%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold

-1

1.67

WLLWD

-0.10

+0.05

8.5

D	Sat Oct 17	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	2–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	2–4
L	Sat Sep 19	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–4
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	2–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Westlake STXCL · Sun Nov 1 at Sting CC STXCL Stewart · Fri Nov 6 vs Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1	69%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–1	35%
·	Fri Nov 6	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–2	17%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–2	12%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–1	54%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

RISE SC STXCL

1.60

DLWWD

-0.16

+0.06

14%

7.3

D	Sat Sep 26	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	3–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	2–6
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at AHFC CENTRAL STXCL · Wed Oct 28 vs Dynamos STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at SG1 STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	34%
·	Wed Oct 28	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	2–2	31%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	2–1	43%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–2	30%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SG1 STXCL

1.50

WWWLL

-0.12

+0.04

16%

6.6

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–3
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	0–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	4–2
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	4–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	5–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dynamos STXCL · Sat Oct 31 at Imperial SC STXCL · Sat Nov 7 vs RISE SC STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	2–2	51%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	3–1	73%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	2–1	75%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	3–1	82%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	48%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	2–2	25%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting CC STXCL Stewart

-2

1.33

LLDWD

+0.21

-0.15

8.9

D	Sun Oct 18	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 20	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	2–4
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue · Sun Nov 1 vs Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sun Nov 8 vs SAFC STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	2–1	67%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–1	43%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	36%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–2	30%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–2	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold

-3

1.33

WLLWD

+0.52

-0.34

8.6

D	Sun Oct 18	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	3–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–4
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–0
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	3–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SAFC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue · Fri Nov 6 at Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	2–1	67%
·	Fri Nov 6	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–1	53%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1	60%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL

-3

0.86

LWLLW

+0.41

-0.31

10.4

W	Sun Oct 18	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	3–1
L	Sat Oct 17	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	2–4
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	5–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	0–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Dynamos STXCL · Sat Nov 7 vs AHFC CENTRAL STXCL · Sat Nov 14 at FC Westlake STXCL See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1	61%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–1	53%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–1	23%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dynamos STXCL

0.80

DLWLL

+0.11

-0.06

9.8

L	Sat Sep 26	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	4–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–2
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	3–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SG1 STXCL · Wed Oct 28 at RISE SC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	2–2	37%
·	Wed Oct 28	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–1	48%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–1	57%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–3	13%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	31%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SAFC STXCL

-10

0.80

LLDLW

+0.39

-0.10

13.3

W	Sat Sep 26	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–3
D	Sat Sep 19	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	0–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Westlake STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at Lions FC STXCL Red See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	0–3	4%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	0–2	11%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	2–2	37%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–2	26%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LTFC STXCL

-10

0.71

LDLWD

-0.12

+0.20

13.9

D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	0–2
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	0–5

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Lions FC STXCL Red · Sat Nov 7 at Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue · Sat Nov 14 vs Dynamos STXCL See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–1	21%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–1	24%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–2	11%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–1	24%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–2	18%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue

-12

0.20

DLLLL

+0.16

+0.05

14.7

L	Sun Sep 27	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–4
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	2–6
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting CC STXCL Stewart · Sat Oct 31 at Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold · Sat Nov 7 vs LTFC STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–3	6%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–3	6%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Westlake STXCL

-15

0.14

LLLLL

+0.31

-0.10

15.3

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	0–5
L	Sat Oct 3	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	0–3
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sat Oct 31 at SAFC STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–2	20%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.81 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.