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Dynamos STXCL

ECNL Regional League Boys · STXCL BU15 · 16 teams · Dynamos Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 28 minutes ago.
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12th
1-1-3 record · 5 played
0.80 points per game
+0 goal diff · 9–9
DLWLLlast 5
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.9
+0.11 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:00 PM

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Dynamos STXCL
12th · 0.80 PPG
vs
SG1 STXCL
8th · 1.50 PPG

Dyess Park, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.0 for, 2.2 against · 1.31 expected points)

Season so farDynamos STXCLSG1 STXCL
Position12th8th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-33-0-3
Points per game0.801.50
Goals for / game1.82.7
Goals against / game1.81.8
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L L W L DL L W W W
Biggest win4–1 vs Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue5–1 at SAFC STXCL
Worst loss1–2 at Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold1–3 vs CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.05+0.48
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.11-0.12

Common opponents: Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold — we 3–3; they 4–1. Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold — we 1–2; they 4–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    SG1 STXCL score 2.7/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs Lions FC STXCL Red.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 37%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL sit 11th on 0.86 PPG; we are on 0.80.

    A point moves us above CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SG1 STXCL game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dynamos STXCL – SG1 STXCL) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.83 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 14th▼ down 2
Win
1.17 PPG
11th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 1
Draw
0.83 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 14th▼ down 2
Loss
0.67 PPG
14th▼ down 2 12th— holds 14th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
9.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 5%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 9%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 15%
  11. 11th 17%
  12. 12th 18%
  13. 13th 8%
  14. 14th 2%
  15. 15th 1%
  16. 16th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.27 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 MAFC STXCL 2.67 (+1.87) 1st (2.32) 37 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Lions FC STXCL Red 2.50 (+1.70) 2nd (2.31) 34 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Cavalry FC STXCL 2.29 (+1.49) 3rd (1.98) 31 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
4 Imperial SC STXCL 2.17 (+1.37) 4th (1.97) 29 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
5 AHFC CENTRAL STXCL 1.83 (+1.03) 6th (1.56) 24 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
6 Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold 1.67 (+0.87) 8th (1.43) 22 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
7 RISE SC STXCL 1.60 (+0.80) 7th (1.54) 20 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
8 SG1 STXCL 1.50 (+0.70) 5th (1.58) 19 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
9 Sting CC STXCL Stewart 1.33 (+0.53) 10th (1.39) 16 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
10 Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 1.33 (+0.53) 9th (1.42) 16 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
11 CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL 0.86 (+0.06) 12th (1.19) A point next game

How the results connect

9 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Dynamos STXCL to SG1 STXCL through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
1 even
3 favour them
+0.0 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 2–4 3–3 1–4 4–1 1–2 1–5 3–1 1–1 3–2 2–0 1–0 0–1 3–0 1–3 Dynamos STXCL 12th Lonestar ATX NTH ST… 6th Lonestar ATX STH ST… 10th Barca Academy Austi… 15th Lions FC STXCL Red 2nd CHALLENGE UNITED EA… 11th Sting CC STXCL Stew… 9th SG1 STXCL 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 8th 16th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.06 · 10th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
04:00 PM
SG1 STXCL
8th · 3-0-3 · GD +5
Home
Dyess Park
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.31 0.88 Upside
Wed Oct 28
07:30 PM
RISE SC STXCL
7th · 2-2-1 · GD +2
Away
Dyess Park
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.15 0.92 Upside
Sat Oct 31
04:00 PM
CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL
11th · 2-0-5 · GD -3
Home
Dyess Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.64 1.01 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
04:00 PM
Cavalry FC STXCL
3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +10
Home
Dyess Park
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–1 1.04 1.02 Upside
Sat Nov 14
04:00 PM
LTFC STXCL
14th · 1-2-4 · GD -10
Away
Bee Creek Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
1–1 1.93 1.11 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
FC Westlake STXCL
16th · 0-1-6 · GD -15
Away far trip
Riverwalk
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.12 1.20 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
02:00 PM
Sting CC STXCL Stewart
9th · 2-2-2 · GD -2
Home
Dyess Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.67 1.24 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
08:00 AM
SAFC STXCL
13th · 1-1-3 · GD -10
Home
Zube Park
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.19 1.31 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
02:00 PM
MAFC STXCL
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +16
Away
Dyess Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.52 1.26 Upside
Sun Apr 18
10:00 AM
AHFC CENTRAL STXCL
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +2
Away
Dyess Park
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.19 1.25 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 MAFC STXCL 6510 237+16 162.67 WWWDW -0.24 -0.02 99% 1.8
2 Lions FC STXCL Red 6501 175+12 152.50 WWWLW -0.14 -0.09 98% 1.9
3 Cavalry FC STXCL 7511 177+10 162.29 WWWLW -0.43 +0.30 74% 3.7
4 Imperial SC STXCL 6411 145+9 132.17 WWDWW -0.37 +0.16 72% 3.9
5 AHFC CENTRAL STXCL 6321 86+2 111.83 WDDWL -0.29 +0.21 12% 7.2
6 Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold 6312 1011-1 101.67 WLLWD -0.10 +0.05 5% 8.5
7 RISE SC STXCL 5221 1210+2 81.60 DLWWD -0.16 +0.06 14% 7.4
8 SG1 STXCL 6303 1611+5 91.50 WWWLL -0.12 +0.04 17% 6.6
9 Sting CC STXCL Stewart 6222 1012-2 81.33 LLDWD +0.21 -0.15 3% 8.9
10 Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 6222 912-3 81.33 WLLWD +0.52 -0.34 4% 8.6
11 CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL 7205 1114-3 60.86 LWLLW +0.41 -0.31 0% 10.4
12 Dynamos STXCL 5113 99+0 40.80 DLWLL +0.11 -0.06 2% 9.9
13 SAFC STXCL 5113 515-10 40.80 LLDLW +0.39 -0.10 0% 13.3
14 LTFC STXCL 7124 515-10 50.71 LDLWD -0.12 +0.20 0% 13.9
15 Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue 5014 618-12 10.20 DLLLL +0.16 +0.05 0% 14.7
16 FC Westlake STXCL 7016 520-15 10.14 LLLLL +0.31 -0.10 0% 15.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.81 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.