Dynamos STXCL
ECNL Regional League Boys · STXCL BU15 · 16 teams · Dynamos Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:00 PM
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.0 for, 2.2 against · 1.31 expected points)
| Season so far | Dynamos STXCL | SG1 STXCL |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-3 | 3-0-3 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 1.8 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W L D | L L W W W |
| Biggest win | 4–1 vs Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue | 5–1 at SAFC STXCL |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold | 1–3 vs CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.05 | +0.48 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.11 | -0.12 |
Common opponents: Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold — we 3–3; they 4–1. Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold — we 1–2; they 4–2.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
SG1 STXCL score 2.7/game — well above the league's 1.8.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs Lions FC STXCL Red.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 37%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL sit 11th on 0.86 PPG; we are on 0.80.A point moves us above CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the SG1 STXCL game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dynamos STXCL – SG1 STXCL) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.83 PPG |
12th— holds | 12th— holds | 14th▼ down 2 |
| Win 1.17 PPG |
11th▲ up 1 | 11th▲ up 1 | 11th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.83 PPG |
12th— holds | 12th— holds | 14th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 0.67 PPG |
14th▼ down 2 | 12th— holds | 14th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 1%
- 5th 4%
- 6th 5%
- 7th 8%
- 8th 9%
- 9th 12%
- 10th 15%
- 11th 17%
- 12th 18%
- 13th 8%
- 14th 2%
- 15th 1%
- 16th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.27 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MAFC STXCL | 2.67 (+1.87) | 1st (2.32) | 37 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Lions FC STXCL Red | 2.50 (+1.70) | 2nd (2.31) | 34 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Cavalry FC STXCL | 2.29 (+1.49) | 3rd (1.98) | 31 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 4 | Imperial SC STXCL | 2.17 (+1.37) | 4th (1.97) | 29 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 5 | AHFC CENTRAL STXCL | 1.83 (+1.03) | 6th (1.56) | 24 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 6 | Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold | 1.67 (+0.87) | 8th (1.43) | 22 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 7 | RISE SC STXCL | 1.60 (+0.80) | 7th (1.54) | 20 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 8 | SG1 STXCL | 1.50 (+0.70) | 5th (1.58) | 19 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 9 | Sting CC STXCL Stewart | 1.33 (+0.53) | 10th (1.39) | 16 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection |
| 10 | Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold | 1.33 (+0.53) | 9th (1.42) | 16 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 11 | CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL | 0.86 (+0.06) | 12th (1.19) | A point next game |
How the results connect
9 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Dynamos STXCL to SG1 STXCL through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.06 · 10th hardest of 16
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 04:00 PM |
SG1 STXCL 8th · 3-0-3 · GD +5 |
Home Dyess Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.31 | 0.88 | Upside |
| Wed Oct 28 07:30 PM |
RISE SC STXCL 7th · 2-2-1 · GD +2 |
Away Dyess Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–2 | 1.15 | 0.92 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 04:00 PM |
CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL 11th · 2-0-5 · GD -3 |
Home Dyess Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
1–1 | 1.64 | 1.01 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 04:00 PM |
Cavalry FC STXCL 3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +10 |
Home Dyess Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–1 | 1.04 | 1.02 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 04:00 PM |
LTFC STXCL 14th · 1-2-4 · GD -10 |
Away Bee Creek Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
1–1 | 1.93 | 1.11 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 09:00 AM |
FC Westlake STXCL 16th · 0-1-6 · GD -15 |
Away far trip
Riverwalk |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–1 | 2.12 | 1.20 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 21 02:00 PM |
Sting CC STXCL Stewart 9th · 2-2-2 · GD -2 |
Home Dyess Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–1 | 1.67 | 1.24 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 08:00 AM |
SAFC STXCL 13th · 1-1-3 · GD -10 |
Home Zube Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
2–1 | 2.19 | 1.31 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 02:00 PM |
MAFC STXCL 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +16 |
Away Dyess Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–3 | 0.52 | 1.26 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 10:00 AM |
AHFC CENTRAL STXCL 5th · 3-2-1 · GD +2 |
Away Dyess Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–1 | 1.19 | 1.25 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | MAFC STXCL | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 16 | 2.67 | WWWDW | -0.24 | -0.02 | 99% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Cavalry FC STXCL · Sun Oct 25 at Imperial SC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 at AHFC CENTRAL STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Lions FC STXCL Red | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | +12 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWLW | -0.14 | -0.09 | 98% | 1.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at LTFC STXCL · Sat Nov 7 vs SAFC STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs MAFC STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Cavalry FC STXCL | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 16 | 2.29 | WWWLW | -0.43 | +0.30 | 74% | 3.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs MAFC STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at Dynamos STXCL · Sat Nov 14 at Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Imperial SC STXCL | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 13 | 2.17 | WWDWW | -0.37 | +0.16 | 72% | 3.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs MAFC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs SG1 STXCL · Sun Nov 8 at RISE SC STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | AHFC CENTRAL STXCL | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 11 | 1.83 | WDDWL | -0.29 | +0.21 | 12% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs RISE SC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs MAFC STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 | 1.67 | WLLWD | -0.10 | +0.05 | 5% | 8.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Westlake STXCL · Sun Nov 1 at Sting CC STXCL Stewart · Fri Nov 6 vs Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | RISE SC STXCL | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 8 | 1.60 | DLWWD | -0.16 | +0.06 | 14% | 7.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AHFC CENTRAL STXCL · Wed Oct 28 vs Dynamos STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at SG1 STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SG1 STXCL | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 9 | 1.50 | WWWLL | -0.12 | +0.04 | 17% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dynamos STXCL · Sat Oct 31 at Imperial SC STXCL · Sat Nov 7 vs RISE SC STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Sting CC STXCL Stewart | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 | 1.33 | LLDWD | +0.21 | -0.15 | 3% | 8.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue · Sun Nov 1 vs Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sun Nov 8 vs SAFC STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 | 1.33 | WLLWD | +0.52 | -0.34 | 4% | 8.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SAFC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue · Fri Nov 6 at Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 6 | 0.86 | LWLLW | +0.41 | -0.31 | 0% | 10.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Dynamos STXCL · Sat Nov 7 vs AHFC CENTRAL STXCL · Sat Nov 14 at FC Westlake STXCL See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Dynamos STXCL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 4 | 0.80 | DLWLL | +0.11 | -0.06 | 2% | 9.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SG1 STXCL · Wed Oct 28 at RISE SC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | SAFC STXCL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | 0.80 | LLDLW | +0.39 | -0.10 | 0% | 13.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Westlake STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at Lions FC STXCL Red See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | LTFC STXCL | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 | 0.71 | LDLWD | -0.12 | +0.20 | 0% | 13.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Lions FC STXCL Red · Sat Nov 7 at Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue · Sat Nov 14 vs Dynamos STXCL See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 1 | 0.20 | DLLLL | +0.16 | +0.05 | 0% | 14.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting CC STXCL Stewart · Sat Oct 31 at Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold · Sat Nov 7 vs LTFC STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | FC Westlake STXCL | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 1 | 0.14 | LLLLL | +0.31 | -0.10 | 0% | 15.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sat Oct 31 at SAFC STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.81 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.