Lions FC STXCL Red

ECNL Regional League Boys · STXCL BU15 · 16 teams · Lions FC (all teams)

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2nd

5-0-1 record · 6 played

2.50 points per game

+12 goal diff · 17–5

WWWLWlast 5

98% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.9

-0.14 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM

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Lions FC STXCL Red
2nd · 2.50 PPG

LTFC STXCL
14th · 0.71 PPG

Bee Creek Sports Complex , Field 5 ↗

79% 13%

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.7 for, 0.7 against · 2.50 expected points)

Season so far	Lions FC STXCL Red	LTFC STXCL
Position	2nd	14th
Record (W-D-L)	5-0-1	1-2-4
Points per game	2.50	0.71
Goals for / game	2.8	0.7
Goals against / game	0.8	2.1
Clean sheets	4	0
Held scoreless	0	3
Form (recent first)	W L W W W	D W L D L
Biggest win	5–0 at FC Westlake STXCL	2–1 vs FC Westlake STXCL
Worst loss	1–3 at Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold	0–5 vs Cavalry FC STXCL
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+1.32	-1.01
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.14	-0.12

Common opponents: Imperial SC STXCL — we 1–0; they 1–1. RISE SC STXCL — we 6–2; they 0–3. FC Westlake STXCL — we 5–0; they 2–1.

Game plan

They struggle to score
LTFC STXCL average 0.7 goals/game (league avg 1.8); blanked in 3 of 7.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 79% chance; likely score 2–0.
Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
Away game
Kickoff 02:00 PM at Bee Creek Sports Complex .
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LTFC STXCL game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Lions FC STXCL Red – LTFC STXCL) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.57 PPG	2nd— holds	1st▲ up 1	2nd— holds
Win 2.57 PPG	2nd— holds	1st▲ up 1	2nd— holds
Draw 2.29 PPG	2nd— holds	2nd— holds	3rd▼ down 1
Loss 2.14 PPG	4th▼ down 2	2nd— holds	4th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

41% finish 1st

98% top 4

2% below the top 4

1.9 average finish

1st 41%
2nd 36%
3rd 17%
4th 5%
5th 1%
6th <1%
7th <1%
8th <1%
9th
10th
11th
12th
13th
14th
15th
16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 2.80 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	MAFC STXCL	2.67 (+0.17)	1st (2.32)	26 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection

How the results connect

14 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Lions FC STXCL Red to LTFC STXCL through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

12 favour us

2 even

0 favour them

+3.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.09 · 11th hardest of 16

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 02:00 PM	LTFC STXCL 14th · 1-2-4 · GD -10	Away Bee Creek Sports Complex	●○○○○ Favorable	79%	2–0	2.50	2.50	Bank it
Sat Nov 7 10:00 AM	SAFC STXCL 13th · 1-1-3 · GD -10	Home ASP / CC	●○○○○ Favorable	87%	3–0	2.70	2.53	Bank it
Sat Nov 14 02:00 PM	MAFC STXCL 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +16	Home ASP / CC	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	2–1	1.54	2.42	Swing game
Sun Nov 15 10:00 AM	SG1 STXCL 8th · 3-0-3 · GD +5	Home ASP / CC	●●○○○ Lean win	65%	2–1	2.13	2.39	Swing game
Sat Nov 21 02:00 PM	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL 5th · 3-2-1 · GD +2	Away far trip Dyess Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	54%	1–1	1.86	2.34	Swing game
Sun Nov 22 10:00 AM	Cavalry FC STXCL 3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +10	Away far trip Zube Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	43%	1–1	1.52	2.27	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 10:00 AM	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold 6th · 3-1-2 · GD -1	Home ASP / CC	●●○○○ Lean win	72%	2–1	2.32	2.28	Bank it
Sun Apr 18 12:00 PM	Sting CC STXCL Stewart 9th · 2-2-2 · GD -2	Home ASP / CC	●●○○○ Lean win	74%	2–1	2.36	2.28	Bank it
Sat Apr 24 11:00 AM	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue 15th · 0-1-4 · GD -12	Away Lions Pride Park	●○○○○ Favorable	85%	3–1	2.64	2.31	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

MAFC STXCL

+16

2.67

WWWDW

-0.24

-0.02

99%

1.8

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	4–2
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	3–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	4–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	6–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Cavalry FC STXCL · Sun Oct 25 at Imperial SC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 at AHFC CENTRAL STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	4–0	93%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	3–0	89%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	3–1	74%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	2–2	58%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lions FC STXCL Red

+12

2.50

WWWLW

-0.14

-0.09

98%

1.9

W	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	5–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	6–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at LTFC STXCL · Sat Nov 7 vs SAFC STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs MAFC STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	2–0	79%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	3–0	87%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	54%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	2–1	72%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	2–1	74%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	3–1	85%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Cavalry FC STXCL

+10

2.29

WWWLW

-0.43

+0.30

76%

3.8

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	4–2
D	Sun Sep 13	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	5–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs MAFC STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at Dynamos STXCL · Sat Nov 14 at Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–2	34%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–1	51%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	2–1	54%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	3–1	84%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	2–1	49%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Imperial SC STXCL

2.17

WWDWW

-0.37

+0.16

72%

3.8

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	6–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	0–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs MAFC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs SG1 STXCL · Sun Nov 8 at RISE SC STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–0	73%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	2–1	64%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–1	55%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

AHFC CENTRAL STXCL

1.83

WDDWL

-0.29

+0.21

11%

7.2

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	0–2
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–0
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–1
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	3–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs RISE SC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs MAFC STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–1	38%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–1	22%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	2–1	69%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–1	30%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–1	44%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold

-1

1.67

WLLWD

-0.10

+0.05

8.5

D	Sat Oct 17	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	2–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	2–4
L	Sat Sep 19	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–4
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	2–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Westlake STXCL · Sun Nov 1 at Sting CC STXCL Stewart · Fri Nov 6 vs Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1	69%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–1	35%
·	Fri Nov 6	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–2	17%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–2	12%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–1	54%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

RISE SC STXCL

1.60

DLWWD

-0.16

+0.06

13%

7.4

D	Sat Sep 26	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	3–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	2–6
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at AHFC CENTRAL STXCL · Wed Oct 28 vs Dynamos STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at SG1 STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	34%
·	Wed Oct 28	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	2–2	31%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	2–1	43%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–2	30%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SG1 STXCL

1.50

WWWLL

-0.12

+0.04

15%

6.7

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–3
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	0–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	4–2
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	4–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	5–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dynamos STXCL · Sat Oct 31 at Imperial SC STXCL · Sat Nov 7 vs RISE SC STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	2–2	51%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	3–1	73%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	2–1	75%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	3–1	82%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	48%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	2–2	25%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting CC STXCL Stewart

-2

1.33

LLDWD

+0.21

-0.15

8.7

D	Sun Oct 18	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 20	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	2–4
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue · Sun Nov 1 vs Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sun Nov 8 vs SAFC STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	2–1	67%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–1	43%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	36%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–2	30%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–2	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold

-3

1.33

WLLWD

+0.52

-0.34

8.5

D	Sun Oct 18	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	3–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–4
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–0
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	3–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SAFC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue · Fri Nov 6 at Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	2–1	67%
·	Fri Nov 6	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–1	53%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1	60%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL

-3

0.86

LWLLW

+0.41

-0.31

10.5

W	Sun Oct 18	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	3–1
L	Sat Oct 17	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	2–4
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	5–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	0–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Dynamos STXCL · Sat Nov 7 vs AHFC CENTRAL STXCL · Sat Nov 14 at FC Westlake STXCL See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1	61%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–1	53%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–1	23%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dynamos STXCL

0.80

DLWLL

+0.11

-0.06

9.8

L	Sat Sep 26	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	4–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–2
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	3–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SG1 STXCL · Wed Oct 28 at RISE SC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	2–2	37%
·	Wed Oct 28	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–1	48%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–1	57%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–3	13%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1	31%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SAFC STXCL

-10

0.80

LLDLW

+0.39

-0.10

13.3

W	Sat Sep 26	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–3
D	Sat Sep 19	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	0–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Westlake STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at Lions FC STXCL Red See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	0–3	4%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	0–2	11%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	2–2	37%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–2	26%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LTFC STXCL

-10

0.71

LDLWD

-0.12

+0.20

13.9

D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	0–2
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	0–5

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Lions FC STXCL Red · Sat Nov 7 at Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue · Sat Nov 14 vs Dynamos STXCL See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–1	21%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–1	24%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–2	11%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–1	24%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–2	18%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue

-12

0.20

DLLLL

+0.16

+0.05

14.7

L	Sun Sep 27	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–4
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	2–6
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting CC STXCL Stewart · Sat Oct 31 at Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold · Sat Nov 7 vs LTFC STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	MAFC STXCL (1st)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	1–3	6%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	FC Westlake STXCL (16th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	SAFC STXCL (13th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	1–3	6%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Westlake STXCL

-15

0.14

LLLLL

+0.31

-0.10

15.3

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Lions FC STXCL Red (2nd)	0–5
L	Sat Oct 3	at	LTFC STXCL (14th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Sting CC STXCL Stewart (9th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	RISE SC STXCL (7th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Imperial SC STXCL (4th)	0–3
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	Cavalry FC STXCL (3rd)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL (5th)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sat Oct 31 at SAFC STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (6th)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	SAFC STXCL (13th)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	CHALLENGE UNITED EAST STXCL (11th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Dynamos STXCL (12th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	MAFC STXCL (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	SG1 STXCL (8th)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Barca Academy Austin STXCL Blue (15th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (10th)	1–2	20%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.81 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.