TableChase Clubs

West Coast FC Navy

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southwest BU14 · 18 teams · West Coast F.C. (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 43 minutes ago.
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9th
2-0-2 record · 4 played
1.50 points per game
-3 goal diff · 6–9
WLWLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.0
-0.01 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM

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West Coast FC Navy
9th · 1.50 PPG
at
Legends FC Black
15th · 0.50 PPG

Silverlakes Complex, Field 21 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.2 for, 2.0 against · 1.53 expected points)

Season so farWest Coast FC NavyLegends FC Black
Position9th15th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-20-2-2
Points per game1.500.50
Goals for / game1.51.5
Goals against / game2.33.5
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L W L WL D D L
Biggest win2–0 vs SDSC Surf Gold—
Worst loss1–4 at CDA Slammers FC White0–6 at San Diego Surf Blue
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.45-1.06
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.01-0.01

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Legends FC Black concede 3.5/game; worst result 0–6 at San Diego Surf Blue.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 vs CDA Slammers FC Maroon.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 44% / draw 20% / loss 36%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Silverlakes Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    SDSC Surf Gold sit 8th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above SDSC Surf Gold on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC Black game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (West Coast FC Navy – Legends FC Black) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.40 PPG		 10th▼ down 1 9th— holds 12th▼ down 3
Win
1.80 PPG		 8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 9th— holds
Draw
1.40 PPG		 10th▼ down 1 9th— holds 12th▼ down 3
Loss
1.20 PPG		 11th▼ down 2 11th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 8th if every rival drops points, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 4%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 18%
  11. 11th 18%
  12. 12th 14%
  13. 13th 9%
  14. 14th 7%
  15. 15th 4%
  16. 16th 2%
  17. 17th 1%
  18. 18th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.65 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 CDA Slammers FC White 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (2.28) 45 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
2 Sporting California USA RED 3.00 (+1.50) 5th (2.04) 45 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
3 San Diego Surf White 2.50 (+1.00) 4th (2.08) 37 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
4 San Diego Surf Blue 2.40 (+0.90) 2nd (2.26) 35 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
5 Beach Futbol Club Gold 2.25 (+0.75) 6th (1.98) 33 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
6 SDSC Surf Blue 2.25 (+0.75) 7th (1.67) 33 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
7 LAFC 2.00 (+0.50) 3rd (2.09) 28 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
8 SDSC Surf Gold 1.50 (+0.00) 8th (1.48) A point next game

How the results connect

3 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link West Coast FC Navy to Legends FC Black through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 favour them
+0.0 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 3–1 4–2 3–2 1–2 0–6 6–0 West Coast FC Navy 9th CDA Slammers FC Mar… 11th Legends FC Gold 17th SDSC Surf Blue 6th San Diego Surf Blue 4th Legends FC Black 15th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 13 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 10th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM		 Legends FC Black
15th · 0-2-2 · GD -8		 Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 2–2 1.53 1.51 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
TBD		 Beach Futbol Club Gold
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +8		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–2 0.76 1.38 Upside
Sun Nov 8
06:15 PM		 LAFC
7th · 4-0-2 · GD +11		 Away far trip
Oak Park High School · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.47 1.25 Upside
Sun Nov 15
10:00 AM		 LV Heat Surf
10th · 3-1-3 · GD -1		 Away far trip
Heritage Park Sports Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 1–2 1.00 1.22 Upside
Sun Nov 22
12:15 PM		 Eagles SC
14th · 1-0-3 · GD -6		 Home
Saddleback College		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
50%		 2–1 1.70 1.27 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 Pateadores Blue
13th · 1-1-3 · GD -8		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–1 1.49 1.29 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
11:00 AM		 Sporting California USA RED
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +7		 Away far trip
Ontario Sports Empire		 ●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–2 0.58 1.23 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 Pateadores Gold
16th · 0-2-3 · GD -8		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 1–1 1.61 1.26 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 Sporting California USA NAVY
12th · 1-1-2 · GD -5		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%		 2–1 1.70 1.29 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
11:00 AM		 San Diego Surf White
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +9		 Away far trip
Surf Sports Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 1–3 0.51 1.24 Upside
Sun Apr 25
10:00 AM		 Rebels SC
18th · 0-0-5 · GD -11		 Away far trip
Southwestern College · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 2–1 1.72 1.27 Swing game
Sun May 2
TBD		 SDSC Surf Blue
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +2		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
32%		 1–2 1.16 1.26 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD		 San Diego Surf Blue
4th · 4-0-1 · GD +15		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–3 0.53 1.22 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 CDA Slammers FC White 4400 114+7 123.00 WWWW +0.47 -0.22 82% 2.8
2 Sporting California USA RED 3300 103+7 93.00 WWW -0.77 +0.10 50% 4.4
3 San Diego Surf White 4310 145+9 102.50 DWWW -0.50 +0.06 61% 4.0
4 San Diego Surf Blue 5401 238+15 122.40 WWWLW -0.16 -0.07 87% 2.5
5 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4301 113+8 92.25 WWWL -0.51 +0.10 45% 4.8
6 SDSC Surf Blue 4301 97+2 92.25 LWWW -0.25 +0.05 9% 7.3
7 LAFC 6402 187+11 122.00 WLLWW +0.19 -0.21 64% 3.8
8 SDSC Surf Gold 4202 88+0 61.50 LLWW +0.01 -0.01 1% 8.9
9 West Coast FC Navy 4202 69-3 61.50 WLWL -0.01 +0.03 0% 11.0
10 LV Heat Surf 7313 1718-1 101.43 LLLWW +0.07 -0.07 1% 9.0
11 CDA Slammers FC Maroon 5203 913-4 61.20 WLLWL +0.74 -0.27 0% 10.3
12 Sporting California USA NAVY 4112 49-5 41.00 LWLD -0.29 +0.13 0% 13.3
13 Pateadores Blue 5113 816-8 40.80 LWDLL +0.01 +0.08 0% 13.9
14 Eagles SC 4103 713-6 30.75 LLWL +0.17 +0.01 0% 13.4
15 Legends FC Black 4022 614-8 20.50 LDDL -0.01 +0.08 0% 14.7
16 Pateadores Gold 5023 412-8 20.40 LDLDL +0.00 +0.08 0% 15.7
17 Legends FC Gold 3003 49-5 00.00 LLL +0.34 -0.01 0% 14.1
18 Rebels SC 5005 516-11 00.00 LLLLL +0.16 +0.05 0% 17.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.12 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.