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Eagles SC

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southwest BU14 · 18 teams · Eagles SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 22 minutes ago.
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14th
1-0-3 record · 4 played
0.75 points per game
-6 goal diff · 7–13
LLWLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.4
+0.17 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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Eagles SC
14th · 0.75 PPG
vs
CDA Slammers FC White
1st · 3.00 PPG

Pleasant Valley Fields, Field 19 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.4 for, 3.0 against · 0.60 expected points)

Season so farEagles SCCDA Slammers FC White
Position14th1st
Record (W-D-L)1-0-34-0-0
Points per game0.753.00
Goals for / game1.82.8
Goals against / game3.31.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L W L LW W W W
Biggest win5–3 vs Rebels SC4–1 vs West Coast FC Navy
Worst loss0–4 at San Diego Surf White—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.79+1.06
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.17+0.47

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    CDA Slammers FC White concede only 1.0/game with 0 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 vs San Diego Surf Blue, 0–4 at San Diego Surf White.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 15%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    CDA Slammers FC White have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Pateadores Blue sit 13th on 0.80 PPG; we are on 0.75.

    A point moves us above Pateadores Blue on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the CDA Slammers FC White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eagles SC – CDA Slammers FC White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.60 PPG
14th— holds 14th— holds 16th▼ down 2
Win
1.20 PPG
12th▲ up 2 12th▲ up 2 14th— holds
Draw
0.80 PPG
13th▲ up 1 13th▲ up 1 16th▼ down 2
Loss
0.60 PPG
14th— holds 14th— holds 16th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–3 loss we finish as high as 13th if every rival drops points, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 4%
  10. 10th 6%
  11. 11th 10%
  12. 12th 12%
  13. 13th 15%
  14. 14th 14%
  15. 15th 13%
  16. 16th 11%
  17. 17th 9%
  18. 18th 3%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.47 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 CDA Slammers FC White 3.00 (+2.25) 1st (2.28) 48 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
2 Sporting California USA RED 3.00 (+2.25) 5th (2.04) 48 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
3 San Diego Surf White 2.50 (+1.75) 4th (2.08) 40 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
4 San Diego Surf Blue 2.40 (+1.65) 2nd (2.26) 38 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
5 Beach Futbol Club Gold 2.25 (+1.50) 6th (1.98) 36 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
6 SDSC Surf Blue 2.25 (+1.50) 7th (1.67) 36 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 LAFC 2.00 (+1.25) 3rd (2.09) 31 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
8 SDSC Surf Gold 1.50 (+0.75) 8th (1.48) 23 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
9 West Coast FC Navy 1.50 (+0.75) 11th (1.22) 23 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
10 LV Heat Surf 1.43 (+0.68) 9th (1.45) 22 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
11 CDA Slammers FC Maroon 1.20 (+0.45) 10th (1.30) Win next game
12 Sporting California USA NAVY 1.00 (+0.25) 12th (0.99) A point next game
13 Pateadores Blue 0.80 (+0.05) 14th (0.92) A point next game

How the results connect

8 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Eagles SC to CDA Slammers FC White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
8 favour them
-3.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
5–3 0–2 1–2 2–4 1–3 0–4 1–2 0–3 5–3 2–3 1–2 0–4 3–3 3–5 1–5 Eagles SC 14th Rebels SC 18th San Diego Surf Blue 4th Pateadores Blue 13th San Diego Surf White 3rd Beach Futbol Club G… 5th LV Heat Surf 10th LAFC 7th CDA Slammers FC Whi… 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 13 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.01 · 11th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
11:00 AM
no score posted
Sporting California USA NAVY
12th · 1-1-2 · GD -5
Away far trip
San Bernardino Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–2 1.30 0.86 Upside
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
CDA Slammers FC White
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +7
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.60 0.82 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:00 PM
SDSC Surf Gold
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Away far trip
Ryan Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.81 0.82 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:00 PM
Pateadores Gold
16th · 0-2-3 · GD -8
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.78 0.94 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
SDSC Surf Blue
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +2
Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.75 0.92 Upside
Sun Nov 22
12:15 PM
West Coast FC Navy
9th · 2-0-2 · GD -3
Away far trip
Saddleback College
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.11 0.93 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
LV Heat Surf
10th · 3-1-3 · GD -1
Home
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–2 1.14 0.95 Upside
Sun Apr 4
01:00 PM
Legends FC Black
15th · 0-2-2 · GD -8
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.39 0.99 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD
CDA Slammers FC Maroon
11th · 2-0-3 · GD -4
Away
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.02 0.99 Upside
Sun Apr 18
11:00 AM
LAFC
7th · 4-0-2 · GD +11
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.53 0.96 Upside
Sun Apr 25
11:00 AM
Sporting California USA RED
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +7
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.66 0.94 Upside
Sun May 2
11:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club Gold
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.62 0.92 Upside
Sun May 9
11:00 AM
Legends FC Gold
17th · 0-0-3 · GD -5
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.57 0.96 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 CDA Slammers FC White 4400 114+7 123.00 WWWW +0.47 -0.22 82% 2.8
2 Sporting California USA RED 3300 103+7 93.00 WWW -0.77 +0.10 50% 4.4
3 San Diego Surf White 4310 145+9 102.50 DWWW -0.50 +0.06 61% 4.0
4 San Diego Surf Blue 5401 238+15 122.40 WWWLW -0.16 -0.07 87% 2.5
5 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4301 113+8 92.25 WWWL -0.51 +0.10 45% 4.8
6 SDSC Surf Blue 4301 97+2 92.25 LWWW -0.25 +0.05 9% 7.3
7 LAFC 6402 187+11 122.00 WLLWW +0.19 -0.21 64% 3.8
8 SDSC Surf Gold 4202 88+0 61.50 LLWW +0.01 -0.01 1% 8.9
9 West Coast FC Navy 4202 69-3 61.50 WLWL -0.01 +0.03 0% 11.0
10 LV Heat Surf 7313 1718-1 101.43 LLLWW +0.07 -0.07 1% 9.0
11 CDA Slammers FC Maroon 5203 913-4 61.20 WLLWL +0.74 -0.27 0% 10.3
12 Sporting California USA NAVY 4112 49-5 41.00 LWLD -0.29 +0.13 0% 13.3
13 Pateadores Blue 5113 816-8 40.80 LWDLL +0.01 +0.08 0% 13.9
14 Eagles SC 4103 713-6 30.75 LLWL +0.17 +0.01 0% 13.4
15 Legends FC Black 4022 614-8 20.50 LDDL -0.01 +0.08 0% 14.7
16 Pateadores Gold 5023 412-8 20.40 LDLDL +0.00 +0.08 0% 15.7
17 Legends FC Gold 3003 49-5 00.00 LLL +0.34 -0.01 0% 14.1
18 Rebels SC 5005 516-11 00.00 LLLLL +0.16 +0.05 0% 17.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.12 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.