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Legends FC Gold

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southwest BU14 · 18 teams · Legends FC (CA) (all teams)

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17th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-5 goal diff · 4–9
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.1
+0.34 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 09:00 AM

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Legends FC Gold
17th · 0.00 PPG
at
San Diego Surf Blue
4th · 2.40 PPG

Surf Sports Park, Field 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.4 for, 4.6 against · 0.25 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC GoldSan Diego Surf Blue
Position17th4th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-34-0-1
Points per game0.002.40
Goals for / game1.34.6
Goals against / game3.01.6
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L L LW L W W W
Biggest win—6–0 vs Legends FC Black
Worst loss1–4 vs San Diego Surf White3–5 at LAFC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.75+1.79
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.34-0.16

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    San Diego Surf Blue score 4.6/game — well above the league's 2.1.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 6%; a draw (7%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Surf Sports Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Pateadores Gold sit 16th on 0.40 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Pateadores Gold on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the San Diego Surf Blue game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC Gold – San Diego Surf Blue) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
17th— holds 17th— holds 18th▼ down 1
Win
0.75 PPG
14th▲ up 3 14th▲ up 3 16th▲ up 1
Draw
0.25 PPG
17th— holds 17th— holds 18th▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
17th— holds 17th— holds 18th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we stay 17th even if every rival loses, and as low as 18th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 5%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 11%
  13. 13th 12%
  14. 14th 13%
  15. 15th 14%
  16. 16th 13%
  17. 17th 12%
  18. 18th 8%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.47 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 CDA Slammers FC White 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.28) 51 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
2 Sporting California USA RED 3.00 (+3.00) 5th (2.04) 51 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
3 San Diego Surf White 2.50 (+2.50) 4th (2.08) 43 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
4 San Diego Surf Blue 2.40 (+2.40) 2nd (2.26) 41 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
5 Beach Futbol Club Gold 2.25 (+2.25) 6th (1.98) 39 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
6 SDSC Surf Blue 2.25 (+2.25) 7th (1.67) 39 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
7 LAFC 2.00 (+2.00) 3rd (2.09) 34 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
8 SDSC Surf Gold 1.50 (+1.50) 8th (1.48) 26 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
9 West Coast FC Navy 1.50 (+1.50) 11th (1.22) 26 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
10 LV Heat Surf 1.43 (+1.43) 9th (1.45) 25 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
11 CDA Slammers FC Maroon 1.20 (+1.20) 10th (1.30) 21 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
12 Sporting California USA NAVY 1.00 (+1.00) 12th (0.99) 17 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
13 Pateadores Blue 0.80 (+0.80) 14th (0.92) 14 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
14 Eagles SC 0.75 (+0.75) 13th (0.96) Win next game
15 Legends FC Black 0.50 (+0.50) 16th (0.81) A point next game
16 Pateadores Gold 0.40 (+0.40) 17th (0.71) A point next game

How the results connect

7 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC Gold to San Diego Surf Blue through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
6 favour them
-5.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–4 4–0 0–3 1–2 2–1 5–3 3–3 3–5 4–2 0–6 3–1 0–6 1–3 2–3 0–3 Legends FC Gold 17th San Diego Surf White 3rd SDSC Surf Blue 6th West Coast FC Navy 9th Eagles SC 14th LAFC 7th LV Heat Surf 10th Legends FC Black 15th CDA Slammers FC Mar… 11th San Diego Surf Blue 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 13 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 13th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
11:00 AM
no score posted
Legends FC Black
15th · 0-2-2 · GD -8
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–2 1.70 0.43 Swing game
Sun Oct 11
09:00 AM
no score posted
SDSC Surf Gold
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Away far trip
Ryan Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.83 0.51 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
San Diego Surf Blue
4th · 4-0-1 · GD +15
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.25 0.46 Upside
Sun Nov 1
11:00 AM
CDA Slammers FC White
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +7
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.61 0.48 Upside
Sun Nov 8
06:00 PM
Rebels SC
18th · 0-0-5 · GD -11
Away far trip
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–1 1.60 0.62 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
05:00 PM
Pateadores Blue
13th · 1-1-3 · GD -8
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–2 1.66 0.74 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
11:00 AM
Pateadores Gold
16th · 0-2-3 · GD -8
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.77 0.84 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Gold
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Away
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.45 0.81 Upside
Sun Mar 21
11:00 AM
CDA Slammers FC Maroon
11th · 2-0-3 · GD -4
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
38%
2–2 1.33 0.85 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD
Sporting California USA NAVY
12th · 1-1-2 · GD -5
Away
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.29 0.88 Upside
Sat Apr 17
01:00 PM
LV Heat Surf
10th · 3-1-3 · GD -1
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–2 1.14 0.90 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
LAFC
7th · 4-0-2 · GD +11
Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.36 0.87 Upside
Sun May 2
01:00 PM
Sporting California USA RED
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +7
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.68 0.85 Upside
Sun May 9
11:00 AM
Eagles SC
14th · 1-0-3 · GD -6
Away far trip
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 0.88 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 CDA Slammers FC White 4400 114+7 123.00 WWWW +0.47 -0.22 82% 2.8
2 Sporting California USA RED 3300 103+7 93.00 WWW -0.77 +0.10 50% 4.4
3 San Diego Surf White 4310 145+9 102.50 DWWW -0.50 +0.06 61% 4.0
4 San Diego Surf Blue 5401 238+15 122.40 WWWLW -0.16 -0.07 87% 2.5
5 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4301 113+8 92.25 WWWL -0.51 +0.10 45% 4.8
6 SDSC Surf Blue 4301 97+2 92.25 LWWW -0.25 +0.05 9% 7.3
7 LAFC 6402 187+11 122.00 WLLWW +0.19 -0.21 64% 3.8
8 SDSC Surf Gold 4202 88+0 61.50 LLWW +0.01 -0.01 1% 8.9
9 West Coast FC Navy 4202 69-3 61.50 WLWL -0.01 +0.03 0% 11.0
10 LV Heat Surf 7313 1718-1 101.43 LLLWW +0.07 -0.07 1% 9.0
11 CDA Slammers FC Maroon 5203 913-4 61.20 WLLWL +0.74 -0.27 0% 10.3
12 Sporting California USA NAVY 4112 49-5 41.00 LWLD -0.29 +0.13 0% 13.3
13 Pateadores Blue 5113 816-8 40.80 LWDLL +0.01 +0.08 0% 13.9
14 Eagles SC 4103 713-6 30.75 LLWL +0.17 +0.01 0% 13.4
15 Legends FC Black 4022 614-8 20.50 LDDL -0.01 +0.08 0% 14.7
16 Pateadores Gold 5023 412-8 20.40 LDLDL +0.00 +0.08 0% 15.7
17 Legends FC Gold 3003 49-5 00.00 LLL +0.34 -0.01 0% 14.1
18 Rebels SC 5005 516-11 00.00 LLLLL +0.16 +0.05 0% 17.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.12 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.