TableChase Clubs

LAFC GOLD

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southern Cal BU18/19 · 18 teams · LAFC So Cal (all teams)

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15th
0-2-3 record · 5 played
0.40 points per game
-11 goal diff · 5–16
DLLLDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 15.7
+0.10 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

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LAFC GOLD
15th · 0.40 PPG
at
LAFC WHITE
9th · 1.40 PPG

Oak Park High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 0.8 for, 2.1 against · 0.62 expected points)

Season so farLAFC GOLDLAFC WHITE
Position15th9th
Record (W-D-L)0-2-32-1-2
Points per game0.401.40
Goals for / game1.01.0
Goals against / game3.20.8
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)D L L L DW D W L L
Biggest win—3–0 vs Pateadores
Worst loss0–6 at Empire Surf1–3 vs Empire Surf
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.36+0.23
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.10+0.61

Common opponents: Empire Surf — we 0–6; they 1–3. Pateadores — we 1–3; they 3–0.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    LAFC WHITE average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 2 of 5.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Hard to break down
    LAFC WHITE concede only 0.8/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–6 at Empire Surf.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 14%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Oak Park High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Legends FC sit 14th on 0.60 PPG; we are on 0.40.

    A point moves us above Legends FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAFC WHITE game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAFC GOLD – LAFC WHITE) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.33 PPG
15th— holds 16th▼ down 1 18th▼ down 3
Win
0.83 PPG
14th▲ up 1 14th▲ up 1 14th▲ up 1
Draw
0.50 PPG
15th— holds 16th▼ down 1 18th▼ down 3
Loss
0.33 PPG
15th— holds 16th▼ down 1 18th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 15th even if every rival loses, and as low as 18th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
15.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th 4%
  14. 14th 9%
  15. 15th 25%
  16. 16th 33%
  17. 17th 28%
  18. 18th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.24 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Empire Surf 3.00 (+2.60) 1st (2.62) 49 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+2.60) 2nd (2.43) 49 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 West Coast FC White 3.00 (+2.60) 3rd (2.07) 49 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
4 FC Long Beach 2.60 (+2.20) 4th (2.04) 43 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
5 Sporting California USA 2.25 (+1.85) 6th (1.91) 37 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
6 Eagles SC Blue 2.25 (+1.85) 5th (1.99) 37 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
7 Rebels SC White 1.80 (+1.40) 7th (1.87) 29 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
8 Pateadores 1.67 (+1.27) 9th (1.41) 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
9 LAFC WHITE 1.40 (+1.00) 8th (1.50) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
10 CDA Slammers FC Black 1.40 (+1.00) 14th (0.96) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
11 Beach Futbol Club Black 1.40 (+1.00) 12th (1.24) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
12 Legends FC - Del Mar 1.20 (+0.80) 11th (1.35) 19 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
13 LA Breakers White 1.00 (+0.60) 10th (1.38) 15 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
14 Legends FC 0.60 (+0.20) 13th (0.98) A point next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link LAFC GOLD to LAFC WHITE through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
5 favour them
-3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–6 3–1 1–3 0–3 2–2 4–1 0–1 2–2 1–4 1–2 0–0 2–5 LAFC GOLD 15th Empire Surf 1st Pateadores 8th CDA Slammers FC Bla… 10th Legends FC 14th LA Breakers Red 16th Legends FC - Del Mar 12th LAFC WHITE 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.17 · 7th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM
LAFC WHITE
9th · 2-1-2 · GD +1
Away
Oak Park High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
14%
0–2 0.62 0.44 Upside
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Legends FC - Del Mar
12th · 1-3-1 · GD +0
Away far trip
Canyon Crest Academy · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
16%
0–2 0.66 0.47 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:45 AM
West Coast FC White
3rd · 3-0-0 · GD +11
Home
Oak Park High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.37 0.46 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM
San Diego Surf
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +24
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.06 0.41 Upside
Sat Nov 14
10:45 AM
Rebels SC White
7th · 3-0-2 · GD +11
Home
Alemany High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.41 0.41 Upside
Sat Nov 21
11:00 AM
LV Heat Surf
18th · 0-0-6 · GD -54
Away far trip
Heritage Park Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.56 0.61 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Black
11th · 2-1-2 · GD -6
Home
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.10 0.65 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Eagles SC Blue
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.24 0.62 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
LA Breakers White
13th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Home
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.85 0.63 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Sporting California USA
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +10
Home
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–4 0.39 0.62 Upside
Sat May 1
09:00 AM
FC Long Beach
4th · 4-1-0 · GD +9
Away far trip
Millikan High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.32 0.60 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
LA Breakers Red
16th · 0-1-4 · GD -13
Away
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.30 0.64 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Empire Surf 5500 343+31 153.00 WWWWW -1.55 +0.48 99% 1.4
2 San Diego Surf 3300 262+24 93.00 WWW -2.50 +0.40 96% 2.2
3 West Coast FC White 3300 121+11 93.00 WWW -2.44 +0.53 55% 4.5
4 FC Long Beach 5410 123+9 132.60 DWWWW -0.23 +0.10 48% 4.7
5 Sporting California USA 4301 2010+10 92.25 WWLW -0.27 +0.07 32% 5.5
6 Eagles SC Blue 4301 1810+8 92.25 LWWW +0.30 -0.10 42% 5.0
7 Rebels SC White 5302 176+11 91.80 WWLLW -0.72 +0.23 24% 5.9
8 Pateadores 6312 1913+6 101.67 DWWLL -1.06 +0.69 1% 9.8
9 LAFC WHITE 5212 54+1 71.40 LLWDW +0.61 -0.20 1% 9.1
10 CDA Slammers FC Black 5212 710-3 71.40 LLWWD -1.61 +0.81 0% 13.4
11 Beach Futbol Club Black 5212 1016-6 71.40 WDWLL +0.95 -0.19 0% 11.3
12 Legends FC - Del Mar 5131 66+0 61.20 DDLWD +0.22 -0.01 0% 10.1
13 LA Breakers White 3102 56-1 31.00 LWL +0.87 -0.10 1% 10.0
14 Legends FC 5104 816-8 30.60 LWLLL +0.99 -0.23 0% 13.1
15 LAFC GOLD 5023 516-11 20.40 DLLLD +0.10 +0.17 0% 15.7
16 LA Breakers Red 5014 417-13 10.20 LDLLL +0.80 -0.13 0% 15.5
17 Rebels SC Blue 5014 621-15 10.20 DLLLL +0.38 +0.10 0% 15.9
18 LV Heat Surf 6006 155-54 00.00 LLLLL +1.42 -0.18 0% 18.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.45 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.