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CDA Slammers FC Black

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southern Cal BU18/19 · 18 teams · CDA Slammers FC (all teams)

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10th
2-1-2 record · 5 played
1.40 points per game
-3 goal diff · 7–10
LLWWDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.5
-1.61 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM

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CDA Slammers FC Black
10th · 1.40 PPG
at
LA Breakers White
13th · 1.00 PPG

Bell Gardens Sports Complex, Field 5 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.4 for, 2.3 against · 0.88 expected points)

Season so farCDA Slammers FC BlackLA Breakers White
Position10th13th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-21-0-2
Points per game1.401.00
Goals for / game1.41.7
Goals against / game2.02.0
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)D W W L LL W L
Biggest win4–1 vs LA Breakers Red4–2 at Rebels SC White
Worst loss0–4 at FC Long Beach1–3 vs Pateadores
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.70+0.02
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.61+0.87

Common opponents: FC Long Beach — we 0–4; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 at Beach Futbol Club Black, 0–4 at FC Long Beach.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Bell Gardens Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    LAFC WHITE sit 9th on 1.40 PPG; we are on 1.40.

    A point moves us above LAFC WHITE on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LA Breakers White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CDA Slammers FC Black – LA Breakers White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.17 PPG
13th▼ down 3 12th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 3
Win
1.67 PPG
9th▲ up 1 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1
Draw
1.33 PPG
11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 3
Loss
1.17 PPG
13th▼ down 3 12th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 6%
  12. 12th 12%
  13. 13th 25%
  14. 14th 28%
  15. 15th 14%
  16. 16th 8%
  17. 17th 2%
  18. 18th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.53 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Empire Surf 3.00 (+1.60) 1st (2.62) 44 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+1.60) 2nd (2.43) 44 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
3 West Coast FC White 3.00 (+1.60) 3rd (2.07) 44 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
4 FC Long Beach 2.60 (+1.20) 4th (2.04) 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
5 Sporting California USA 2.25 (+0.85) 6th (1.91) 32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
6 Eagles SC Blue 2.25 (+0.85) 5th (1.99) 32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
7 Rebels SC White 1.80 (+0.40) 7th (1.87) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8 Pateadores 1.67 (+0.27) 9th (1.41) 22 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
9 LAFC WHITE 1.40 (+0.00) 8th (1.50) A point next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link CDA Slammers FC Black to LA Breakers White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
4 favour them
-3.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–4 1–0 2–2 1–3 3–1 4–1 2–2 1–0 2–4 1–0 0–11 1–11 CDA Slammers FC Bla… 10th FC Long Beach 4th LAFC GOLD 15th LA Breakers Red 16th LV Heat Surf 18th Pateadores 8th Rebels SC White 7th LA Breakers White 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.81 · 1st hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
10:00 AM
no score posted
Eagles SC Blue
6th · 3-0-1 · GD +8
Away far trip
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.43 1.24 Upside
Sat Oct 24
12:00 PM
LA Breakers White
13th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.88 1.19 Upside
Sat Nov 7
TBD
Sporting California USA
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +10
Home
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.65 1.12 Upside
Sat Nov 14
01:00 PM
Legends FC
14th · 1-0-4 · GD -8
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–2 1.21 1.13 Upside
Sat Nov 21
04:00 PM
LAFC WHITE
9th · 2-1-2 · GD +1
Away far trip
Alemany High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
20%
0–1 0.84 1.10 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD
San Diego Surf
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +24
Home
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.23 1.02 Upside
Sat Apr 3
09:00 AM
Rebels SC White
7th · 3-0-2 · GD +11
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.45 0.97 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Pateadores
8th · 3-1-2 · GD +6
Home
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.02 0.98 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
West Coast FC White
3rd · 3-0-0 · GD +11
Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.41 0.94 Upside
Sat Apr 24
09:00 AM
Empire Surf
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +31
Away far trip
Galway Downs
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.11 0.88 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Rebels SC Blue
17th · 0-1-4 · GD -15
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.92 0.95 Swing game
Sat May 8
TBD
Legends FC - Del Mar
12th · 1-3-1 · GD +0
Home
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.12 0.96 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Empire Surf 5500 343+31 153.00 WWWWW -1.55 +0.48 99% 1.4
2 San Diego Surf 3300 262+24 93.00 WWW -2.50 +0.40 95% 2.2
3 West Coast FC White 3300 121+11 93.00 WWW -2.44 +0.53 54% 4.5
4 FC Long Beach 5410 123+9 132.60 DWWWW -0.23 +0.10 49% 4.7
5 Sporting California USA 4301 2010+10 92.25 WWLW -0.27 +0.07 31% 5.6
6 Eagles SC Blue 4301 1810+8 92.25 LWWW +0.30 -0.10 44% 5.0
7 Rebels SC White 5302 176+11 91.80 WWLLW -0.72 +0.23 25% 5.9
8 Pateadores 6312 1913+6 101.67 DWWLL -1.06 +0.69 0% 9.8
9 LAFC WHITE 5212 54+1 71.40 LLWDW +0.61 -0.20 2% 8.9
10 CDA Slammers FC Black 5212 710-3 71.40 LLWWD -1.61 +0.81 0% 13.5
11 Beach Futbol Club Black 5212 1016-6 71.40 WDWLL +0.95 -0.19 0% 11.2
12 Legends FC - Del Mar 5131 66+0 61.20 DDLWD +0.22 -0.01 1% 10.1
13 LA Breakers White 3102 56-1 31.00 LWL +0.87 -0.10 1% 10.1
14 Legends FC 5104 816-8 30.60 LWLLL +0.99 -0.23 0% 13.1
15 LAFC GOLD 5023 516-11 20.40 DLLLD +0.10 +0.17 0% 15.6
16 LA Breakers Red 5014 417-13 10.20 LDLLL +0.80 -0.13 0% 15.5
17 Rebels SC Blue 5014 621-15 10.20 DLLLL +0.38 +0.10 0% 15.9
18 LV Heat Surf 6006 155-54 00.00 LLLLL +1.42 -0.18 0% 18.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.45 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.