TableChase Clubs

Fever United FC NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU15 · 24 teams · Fever United (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
1st
8-1-0 record · 9 played
2.78 points per game
+22 goal diff · 34–12
WWWWDlast 5
99% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.6
-0.25 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 01:30 PM

Open the match preview →

Fever United FC NTX
1st · 2.78 PPG
vs

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.1 against · 1.59 expected points)

Season so farFever United FC NTXAtletico Dallas Youth NTX
Position1st5th
Record (W-D-L)8-1-05-2-1
Points per game2.782.13
Goals for / game3.83.3
Goals against / game1.31.1
Clean sheets13
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)D W W W WW W W W D
Biggest win5–0 at Dallas Texans Red NTX7–0 vs Nido Dallas Blue NTX
Worst loss—1–3 at Dutch FC NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.71+1.48
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.25-0.11

Common opponents: Sting NTX — we 2–1; they 5–1. NTX United FC - NTX — we 6–3; they 1–0. SOLAR RED NTX — we 4–1; they 4–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Atletico Dallas Youth NTX score 3.2/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 46% / draw 19% / loss 34%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • They arrive in form
    Atletico Dallas Youth NTX have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Atletico Dallas Youth NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fever United FC NTX – Atletico Dallas Youth NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 12 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.60 PPG
3rd▼ down 2 2nd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 2
Win
2.80 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.60 PPG
3rd▼ down 2 2nd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 2
Loss
2.50 PPG
3rd▼ down 2 2nd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

50% finish 1st
99% top 4
1% below the top 4
1.6 average finish
  1. 1st 50%
  2. 2nd 41%
  3. 3rd 6%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

34 chains · 13 teams

Paths of results that link Fever United FC NTX to Atletico Dallas Youth NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

17 favour us
1 even
16 favour them
+0.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–1 0–4 6–3 0–1 2–1 1–5 4–2 1–3 2–2 1–1 3–0 1–3 1–4 2–1 2–1 1–4 2–2 2–2 4–1 0–1 2–3 6–2 2–4 Fever United FC NTX 1st SOLAR RED NTX 24th NTX United FC - NTX 4th Sting NTX 10th SOLAR WHITE NTX 23rd FC Dallas Youth Red… 2nd Fort Worth Vaqueros… 15th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 9th NTX Celtic FC NTX 14th Atlético Dallas You… 7th FC Dallas Youth Nav… 16th SOLAR BLUE NTX 8th Atletico Dallas You… 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 12th 24th Aug 22 Sep 6 Sep 19 Oct 10 Oct 18 Oct 22

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.27 · 5th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Mon Jan 1
TBD
no score posted
FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
16th · 3-0-5 · GD -6
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
2–1 2.34 2.73 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
01:30 PM
Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
5th · 5-2-1 · GD +17
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.59 2.63 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
11:40 AM
Nido Dallas White NTX
20th · 1-1-4 · GD -6
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–0 2.63 2.63 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
07:00 PM
DKSC WHITE NTX
3rd · 7-0-1 · GD +12
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–2 2.09 2.59 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
01:30 PM
Kernow Storm FC NTX
17th · 3-1-5 · GD +0
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.45 2.58 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
01:30 PM
SOLAR BLUE NTX
8th · 3-4-1 · GD +6
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.25 2.56 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fever United FC NTX 9810 3412+22 252.78 WWWWD -0.25 +0.27 99% 1.6
2 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8710 222+20 222.75 WWWWD -0.27 +0.40 99% 1.7
3 DKSC WHITE NTX 8701 2614+12 212.63 WWWWW -0.38 +0.56 46% 4.9
4 NTX United FC - NTX 8602 2515+10 182.25 WWWLL +0.04 +0.02 36% 5.4
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 8521 269+17 172.13 DWWWW -0.11 +0.20 58% 4.4
6 DKSC NTX 9603 198+11 182.00 WWLLW -0.17 -0.24 32% 5.6
7 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9522 209+11 171.89 WDLLW -0.21 -0.30 29% 5.7
8 SOLAR BLUE NTX 8341 2216+6 131.63 DDLWW -0.32 +0.36 1% 9.7
9 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9414 1717+0 131.44 LWWWW +0.33 -0.50 0% 9.7
10 Sting NTX 7313 1214-2 101.43 WDLLW +0.42 -0.07 0% 11.9
11 East Dallas FC NTX 8323 1412+2 111.38 DDWWL -0.46 +0.11 0% 11.6
12 Dutch FC NTX 8323 1718-1 111.38 WWDLL -0.05 -0.30 0% 11.6
13 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 8314 719-12 101.25 LLWDW -0.30 +0.08 0% 18.1
14 NTX Celtic FC NTX 9324 1722-5 111.22 DLDWW +0.04 -0.08 0% 13.9
15 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX 9324 1119-8 111.22 WLDWL +0.28 -0.30 0% 15.4
16 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 8305 814-6 91.13 LLLLW +0.34 -0.16 0% 15.6
17 Kernow Storm FC NTX 9315 1616+0 101.11 LWLWL -0.36 +0.85 0% 17.2
18 Dallas Texans NTX 9315 1011-1 101.11 DWWLL -0.14 -0.12 0% 14.2
19 FC Dallas Youth NTX 9306 1820-2 91.00 LWLWL +0.01 -0.33 0% 14.6
20 Nido Dallas White NTX 6114 612-6 40.67 LLLLD +0.15 +0.20 0% 19.6
21 Dallas Texans Red NTX 9207 1040-30 60.67 LLLLL +0.50 +0.00 0% 22.3
22 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 9045 414-10 40.44 DLDDL -0.19 -0.00 0% 22.1
23 SOLAR WHITE NTX 9117 1124-13 40.44 LLLLW +0.30 -0.31 0% 21.3
24 SOLAR RED NTX 9117 924-15 40.44 LLDLL +0.60 -0.26 0% 22.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.84 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.