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DKSC WHITE NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU15 · 24 teams · DKSC (all teams)

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3rd
7-0-1 record · 8 played
2.63 points per game
+12 goal diff · 26–14
WWWWWlast 5
46% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.9
-0.38 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:30 PM

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DKSC WHITE NTX
3rd · 2.63 PPG
at
NTX United FC - NTX
4th · 2.25 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 13 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 3.0 against · 1.27 expected points)

Season so farDKSC WHITE NTXNTX United FC - NTX
Position3rd4th
Record (W-D-L)7-0-16-0-2
Points per game2.632.25
Goals for / game3.33.1
Goals against / game1.81.9
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)W W W W WL L W W W
Biggest win5–1 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX4–0 at Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX
Worst loss0–4 at DKSC NTX3–6 vs Fever United FC NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.88+0.81
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.38+0.04

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    NTX United FC - NTX score 3.1/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at DKSC NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 37%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:30 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the NTX United FC - NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC WHITE NTX – NTX United FC - NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.44 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.67 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
2.44 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Loss
2.33 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st
46% top 4
54% below the top 4
4.9 average finish
  1. 1st 2%
  2. 2nd 4%
  3. 3rd 22%
  4. 4th 19%
  5. 5th 18%
  6. 6th 15%
  7. 7th 13%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.80 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Fever United FC NTX 2.78 (+0.15) 1st (2.56) 21 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
2 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.75 (+0.12) 2nd (2.55) 21 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection

How the results connect

21 chains · 13 teams

Paths of results that link DKSC WHITE NTX to NTX United FC - NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
7 even
8 favour them
-0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 1–0 1–4 1–4 1–0 4–3 3–2 2–4 1–1 2–3 3–0 0–2 1–2 5–3 2–3 5–2 0–5 6–3 1–0 4–2 1–0 1–3 3–3 DKSC WHITE NTX 3rd FC Dallas Youth Nav… 16th SOLAR BLUE NTX 8th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 22nd FC Dallas Youth NTX 19th Dallas Texans Red N… 21st Dallas Texans NTX 18th SOLAR WHITE NTX 23rd Atletico Dallas You… 5th NTX Celtic FC NTX 14th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 9th Fever United FC NTX 1st NTX United FC - NTX 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 12th 24th Aug 22 Sep 6 Sep 19 Oct 10 Oct 18 Oct 22

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.56 · 2nd hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:30 PM
NTX United FC - NTX
4th · 6-0-2 · GD +10
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.27 2.47 Upside
Sat Oct 31
05:10 PM
SOLAR RED NTX
24th · 1-1-7 · GD -15
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
3–1 2.37 2.46 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
01:30 PM
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
2nd · 7-1-0 · GD +20
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–2 0.53 2.29 Upside
Sun Nov 8
03:20 PM
Sting NTX
10th · 3-1-3 · GD -2
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
3–1 2.08 2.27 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
07:00 PM
Fever United FC NTX
1st · 8-1-0 · GD +22
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
20%
2–3 0.76 2.15 Upside
Sat Apr 10
01:30 PM
Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
5th · 5-2-1 · GD +17
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–3 0.81 2.06 Upside
Sat Apr 17
01:30 PM
Nido Dallas White NTX
20th · 1-1-4 · GD -6
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.13 2.06 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fever United FC NTX 9810 3412+22 252.78 WWWWD -0.25 +0.27 99% 1.7
2 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8710 222+20 222.75 WWWWD -0.27 +0.40 98% 1.7
3 DKSC WHITE NTX 8701 2614+12 212.63 WWWWW -0.38 +0.56 46% 4.9
4 NTX United FC - NTX 8602 2515+10 182.25 WWWLL +0.04 +0.02 37% 5.3
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 8521 269+17 172.13 DWWWW -0.11 +0.20 58% 4.3
6 DKSC NTX 9603 198+11 182.00 WWLLW -0.17 -0.24 30% 5.6
7 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9522 209+11 171.89 WDLLW -0.21 -0.30 29% 5.7
8 SOLAR BLUE NTX 8341 2216+6 131.63 DDLWW -0.32 +0.36 1% 9.7
9 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9414 1717+0 131.44 LWWWW +0.33 -0.50 1% 9.7
10 Sting NTX 7313 1214-2 101.43 WDLLW +0.42 -0.07 0% 11.8
11 East Dallas FC NTX 8323 1412+2 111.38 DDWWL -0.46 +0.11 0% 11.6
12 Dutch FC NTX 8323 1718-1 111.38 WWDLL -0.05 -0.30 0% 11.6
13 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 8314 719-12 101.25 LLWDW -0.30 +0.08 0% 18.0
14 NTX Celtic FC NTX 9324 1722-5 111.22 DLDWW +0.04 -0.08 0% 13.7
15 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX 9324 1119-8 111.22 WLDWL +0.28 -0.30 0% 15.3
16 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 8305 814-6 91.13 LLLLW +0.34 -0.16 0% 15.5
17 Kernow Storm FC NTX 9315 1616+0 101.11 LWLWL -0.36 +0.85 0% 17.3
18 Dallas Texans NTX 9315 1011-1 101.11 DWWLL -0.14 -0.12 0% 14.1
19 FC Dallas Youth NTX 9306 1820-2 91.00 LWLWL +0.01 -0.33 0% 14.7
20 Nido Dallas White NTX 6114 612-6 40.67 LLLLD +0.15 +0.20 0% 19.7
21 Dallas Texans Red NTX 9207 1040-30 60.67 LLLLL +0.50 +0.00 0% 22.3
22 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 9045 414-10 40.44 DLDDL -0.19 -0.00 0% 22.0
23 SOLAR WHITE NTX 9117 1124-13 40.44 LLLLW +0.30 -0.31 0% 21.3
24 SOLAR RED NTX 9117 924-15 40.44 LLDLL +0.60 -0.26 0% 22.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.84 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.