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Atletico Dallas Youth NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU15 · 24 teams · Atletico Dallas Youth (all teams)

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5th
5-2-1 record · 8 played
2.13 points per game
+17 goal diff · 26–9
DWWWWlast 5
58% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.4
-0.11 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 08:00 AM

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Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
5th · 2.13 PPG
at

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.1 for, 1.9 against · 0.86 expected points)

Season so farAtletico Dallas Youth NTXFC Dallas Youth Red NTX
Position5th2nd
Record (W-D-L)5-2-17-1-0
Points per game2.132.75
Goals for / game3.32.8
Goals against / game1.10.3
Clean sheets36
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W W DD W W W W
Biggest win7–0 vs Nido Dallas Blue NTX8–1 at Dallas Texans Red NTX
Worst loss1–3 at Dutch FC NTX—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.48+1.72
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.11-0.27

Common opponents: FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX — we 4–1; they 1–0. SOLAR RED NTX — we 4–0; they 3–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    FC Dallas Youth Red NTX score 2.8/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    FC Dallas Youth Red NTX concede only 0.2/game with 6 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 21%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Red NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Atletico Dallas Youth NTX – FC Dallas Youth Red NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 12 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.00 PPG
5th— holds 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1
Win
2.22 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG
5th— holds 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1
Loss
1.89 PPG
6th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st
58% top 4
42% below the top 4
4.4 average finish
  1. 1st 2%
  2. 2nd 6%
  3. 3rd 27%
  4. 4th 22%
  5. 5th 18%
  6. 6th 12%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.53 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Fever United FC NTX 2.78 (+0.65) 1st (2.56) 25 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.75 (+0.62) 2nd (2.55) 25 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 DKSC WHITE NTX 2.63 (+0.50) 4th (2.06) 23 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
4 NTX United FC - NTX 2.25 (+0.12) 5th (1.99) 17 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection

How the results connect

13 chains · 14 teams

Paths of results that link Atletico Dallas Youth NTX to FC Dallas Youth Red NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
6 favour them
-0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–0 0–3 4–1 0–1 1–4 1–1 1–0 4–1 7–0 0–4 0–4 2–2 3–1 3–6 5–1 1–2 1–3 1–1 0–2 2–2 2–0 1–8 1–0 0–0 Atletico Dallas You… 5th SOLAR RED NTX 24th FC Dallas Youth Nav… 16th NTX United FC - NTX 4th Nido Dallas Blue NTX 13th Atlético Dallas You… 7th Sting NTX 10th Dutch FC NTX 12th SOLAR BLUE NTX 8th Fever United FC NTX 1st FC Dallas Youth NTX 19th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 22nd Dallas Texans Red N… 21st FC Dallas Youth Red… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 12th 24th Aug 22 Sep 6 Sep 19 Oct 10 Oct 18 Oct 22

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.20 · 6th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Mon Jan 1
TBD
no score posted
Dallas Texans Red NTX
21st · 2-0-7 · GD -30
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
5–0 2.92 2.21 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
08:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
2nd · 7-1-0 · GD +20
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–1 0.86 2.08 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:30 PM
Fever United FC NTX
1st · 8-1-0 · GD +22
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
34%
2–2 1.22 2.00 Upside
Sat Apr 3
05:10 PM
Nido Dallas White NTX
20th · 1-1-4 · GD -6
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
2–0 2.39 2.03 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
01:30 PM
DKSC WHITE NTX
3rd · 7-0-1 · GD +12
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
3–1 2.03 2.03 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
01:30 PM
Kernow Storm FC NTX
17th · 3-1-5 · GD +0
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
3–1 2.38 2.06 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
11:40 AM
East Dallas FC NTX
11th · 3-2-3 · GD +2
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.24 2.07 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fever United FC NTX 9810 3412+22 252.78 WWWWD -0.25 +0.27 99% 1.6
2 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8710 222+20 222.75 WWWWD -0.27 +0.40 99% 1.7
3 DKSC WHITE NTX 8701 2614+12 212.63 WWWWW -0.38 +0.56 46% 4.9
4 NTX United FC - NTX 8602 2515+10 182.25 WWWLL +0.04 +0.02 36% 5.4
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 8521 269+17 172.13 DWWWW -0.11 +0.20 58% 4.4
6 DKSC NTX 9603 198+11 182.00 WWLLW -0.17 -0.24 32% 5.6
7 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9522 209+11 171.89 WDLLW -0.21 -0.30 29% 5.7
8 SOLAR BLUE NTX 8341 2216+6 131.63 DDLWW -0.32 +0.36 1% 9.7
9 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9414 1717+0 131.44 LWWWW +0.33 -0.50 0% 9.7
10 Sting NTX 7313 1214-2 101.43 WDLLW +0.42 -0.07 0% 11.9
11 East Dallas FC NTX 8323 1412+2 111.38 DDWWL -0.46 +0.11 0% 11.6
12 Dutch FC NTX 8323 1718-1 111.38 WWDLL -0.05 -0.30 0% 11.6
13 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 8314 719-12 101.25 LLWDW -0.30 +0.08 0% 18.1
14 NTX Celtic FC NTX 9324 1722-5 111.22 DLDWW +0.04 -0.08 0% 13.9
15 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX 9324 1119-8 111.22 WLDWL +0.28 -0.30 0% 15.4
16 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 8305 814-6 91.13 LLLLW +0.34 -0.16 0% 15.6
17 Kernow Storm FC NTX 9315 1616+0 101.11 LWLWL -0.36 +0.85 0% 17.2
18 Dallas Texans NTX 9315 1011-1 101.11 DWWLL -0.14 -0.12 0% 14.2
19 FC Dallas Youth NTX 9306 1820-2 91.00 LWLWL +0.01 -0.33 0% 14.6
20 Nido Dallas White NTX 6114 612-6 40.67 LLLLD +0.15 +0.20 0% 19.6
21 Dallas Texans Red NTX 9207 1040-30 60.67 LLLLL +0.50 +0.00 0% 22.3
22 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 9045 414-10 40.44 DLDDL -0.19 -0.00 0% 22.1
23 SOLAR WHITE NTX 9117 1124-13 40.44 LLLLW +0.30 -0.31 0% 21.3
24 SOLAR RED NTX 9117 924-15 40.44 LLDLL +0.60 -0.26 0% 22.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.84 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.