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Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU15 · 24 teams · Atletico Dallas Youth (all teams)

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7th
5-2-2 record · 9 played
1.89 points per game
+11 goal diff · 20–9
WDLLWlast 5
28% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.7
-0.21 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 11:40 AM

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Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX
7th · 1.89 PPG
at

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 3 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.7 for, 0.6 against · 2.19 expected points)

Season so farAtlético Dallas Youth Blue NTXFC Dallas Youth White NTX
Position7th22nd
Record (W-D-L)5-2-20-4-5
Points per game1.890.44
Goals for / game2.20.4
Goals against / game1.01.6
Clean sheets32
Held scoreless15
Form (recent first)W L L D WL D D L D
Biggest win6–0 vs Dutch FC NTX—
Worst loss1–3 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX0–3 vs DKSC WHITE NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.83-0.82
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.21-0.19

Common opponents: FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX — we 1–3; they 0–2. Dutch FC NTX — we 6–0; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    FC Dallas Youth White NTX average 0.4 goals/game (league avg 1.8); blanked in 5 of 9.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 65% / draw 23% / loss 12%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:40 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    DKSC NTX sit 6th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.89.

    A win moves us above DKSC NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth White NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX – FC Dallas Youth White NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 12 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG
6th▲ up 1 7th— holds 7th— holds
Win
2.00 PPG
6th▲ up 1 7th— holds 7th— holds
Draw
1.80 PPG
7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1
Loss
1.70 PPG
7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–0 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
28% top 4
73% below the top 4
5.7 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 10%
  4. 4th 17%
  5. 5th 20%
  6. 6th 20%
  7. 7th 17%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 3%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 2.33 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Fever United FC NTX 2.78 (+0.89) 1st (2.56) 25 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.75 (+0.86) 2nd (2.55) 25 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 DKSC WHITE NTX 2.63 (+0.74) 4th (2.06) 23 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
4 NTX United FC - NTX 2.25 (+0.36) 5th (1.99) 17 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.13 (+0.24) 3rd (2.07) 15 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
6 DKSC NTX 2.00 (+0.11) 6th (1.96) Win next game

How the results connect

21 chains · 15 teams

Paths of results that link Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX to FC Dallas Youth White NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

14 favour us
2 even
5 favour them
+1.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 2–0 6–0 1–1 0–1 1–1 2–1 2–0 0–0 1–1 1–1 1–2 3–1 2–3 1–0 0–2 0–0 3–1 0–1 0–3 2–0 2–2 1–3 1–0 1–1 Atlético Dallas You… 7th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 9th Dutch FC NTX 12th Fort Worth Vaqueros… 15th East Dallas FC NTX 11th SOLAR WHITE NTX 23rd Nido Dallas White N… 20th SOLAR RED NTX 24th Atletico Dallas You… 5th NTX Celtic FC NTX 14th Nido Dallas Blue NTX 13th Kernow Storm FC NTX 17th FC Dallas Youth Red… 2nd Dallas Texans NTX 18th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 22nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 12th 24th Aug 22 Sep 6 Sep 19 Oct 10 Oct 18 Oct 22

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.30 · 19th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Mon Jan 1
TBD
no score posted
Dallas Texans NTX
18th · 3-1-5 · GD -1
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
1–0 1.98 1.90 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
11:40 AM
FC Dallas Youth White NTX
22nd · 0-4-5 · GD -10
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
1–0 2.19 1.92 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
08:00 AM
NTX Celtic FC NTX
14th · 3-2-4 · GD -5
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.98 1.93 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
11:40 AM
Nido Dallas Blue NTX
13th · 3-1-4 · GD -12
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–0 2.33 1.96 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
08:00 AM
DKSC NTX
6th · 6-0-3 · GD +11
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
42%
1–1 1.50 1.93 Upside
Sat Apr 17
09:50 AM
FC Dallas Youth NTX
19th · 3-0-6 · GD -2
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.16 1.94 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Fever United FC NTX 9810 3412+22 252.78 WWWWD -0.25 +0.27 99% 1.7
2 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8710 222+20 222.75 WWWWD -0.27 +0.40 99% 1.7
3 DKSC WHITE NTX 8701 2614+12 212.63 WWWWW -0.38 +0.56 48% 4.8
4 NTX United FC - NTX 8602 2515+10 182.25 WWWLL +0.04 +0.02 37% 5.4
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 8521 269+17 172.13 DWWWW -0.11 +0.20 57% 4.4
6 DKSC NTX 9603 198+11 182.00 WWLLW -0.17 -0.24 31% 5.6
7 Atlético Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9522 209+11 171.89 WDLLW -0.21 -0.30 28% 5.7
8 SOLAR BLUE NTX 8341 2216+6 131.63 DDLWW -0.32 +0.36 1% 9.7
9 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9414 1717+0 131.44 LWWWW +0.33 -0.50 1% 9.7
10 Sting NTX 7313 1214-2 101.43 WDLLW +0.42 -0.07 0% 11.8
11 East Dallas FC NTX 8323 1412+2 111.38 DDWWL -0.46 +0.11 0% 11.6
12 Dutch FC NTX 8323 1718-1 111.38 WWDLL -0.05 -0.30 0% 11.6
13 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 8314 719-12 101.25 LLWDW -0.30 +0.08 0% 18.0
14 NTX Celtic FC NTX 9324 1722-5 111.22 DLDWW +0.04 -0.08 0% 13.9
15 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX 9324 1119-8 111.22 WLDWL +0.28 -0.30 0% 15.3
16 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 8305 814-6 91.13 LLLLW +0.34 -0.16 0% 15.4
17 Kernow Storm FC NTX 9315 1616+0 101.11 LWLWL -0.36 +0.85 0% 17.3
18 Dallas Texans NTX 9315 1011-1 101.11 DWWLL -0.14 -0.12 0% 14.3
19 FC Dallas Youth NTX 9306 1820-2 91.00 LWLWL +0.01 -0.33 0% 14.7
20 Nido Dallas White NTX 6114 612-6 40.67 LLLLD +0.15 +0.20 0% 19.7
21 Dallas Texans Red NTX 9207 1040-30 60.67 LLLLL +0.50 +0.00 0% 22.2
22 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 9045 414-10 40.44 DLDDL -0.19 -0.00 0% 22.0
23 SOLAR WHITE NTX 9117 1124-13 40.44 LLLLW +0.30 -0.31 0% 21.3
24 SOLAR RED NTX 9117 924-15 40.44 LLDLL +0.60 -0.26 0% 22.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.84 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.