World Class FC
ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU14 · 14 teams · World Class FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:15 PM
Orangetown Soccer Complex, Field 5 ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 4.0 for, 1.1 against · 2.68 expected points)
| Season so far | World Class FC | Baltimore Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-0 | 1-1-3 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals for / game | 7.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W | L L L D W |
| Biggest win | 15–0 vs Match Fit Surf | 1–0 at PSA Monmouth |
| Worst loss | — | 0–4 vs FC DELCO |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.44 | -0.55 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -2.22 | +0.43 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Baltimore Celtic average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 2 of 5.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 87% chance; likely score 3–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
-
Confidence is low on their side
Baltimore Celtic have lost 3 straight (form: WDLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Baltimore Celtic game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (World Class FC – Baltimore Celtic) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.50 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 2 |
| Loss 2.25 PPG |
3rd▼ down 2 | 3rd▼ down 2 | 4th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 32%
- 2nd 39%
- 3rd 20%
- 4th 7%
- 5th 2%
- 6th <1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
- 14th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
4 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link World Class FC to Baltimore Celtic through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.17 · 6th hardest of 14
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 27 04:00 PM no score posted |
Delaware FC 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5 |
Home Orangetown Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
2–1 | 2.27 | 2.82 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 24 04:15 PM |
Baltimore Celtic 11th · 1-1-3 · GD -5 |
Home Orangetown Soccer Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
3–1 | 2.68 | 2.79 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 03:15 PM |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 9th · 1-3-1 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
4–1 | 2.53 | 2.75 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
SJEB FC 12th · 1-0-4 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
Tuckahoe Farm |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
4–1 | 2.56 | 2.72 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 06:00 PM |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home Orangetown Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–1 | 1.78 | 2.60 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 11:30 AM |
PSA Monmouth 13th · 0-2-3 · GD -8 |
Away far trip
The Ranney School · turf? |
●○○○○ Favorable | 85% |
3–1 | 2.64 | 2.61 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 28 TBD |
Maryland United FC 5th · 4-2-2 · GD +3 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–1 | 2.18 | 2.56 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 5 10:00 AM |
Pipeline SC 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +20 |
Away far trip
Notre Dame Prepatory School |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
2–2 | 1.34 | 2.45 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 12:00 PM |
Potomac Soccer Association 8th · 2-2-2 · GD +8 |
Away far trip
Maryland Soccerplex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
3–2 | 2.19 | 2.43 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 01:30 PM |
FC DELCO 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +31 |
Home Orangetown Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
2–2 | 1.38 | 2.35 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 19 12:45 PM |
FC DELCO 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +31 |
Away far trip
Proving Grounds |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
2–2 | 1.05 | 2.26 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 TBD |
PDA 10th · 1-0-2 · GD -4 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
3–1 | 2.66 | 2.28 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Match Fit Surf 14th · 0-0-7 · GD -86 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 100% |
9–0 | 3.00 | 2.33 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Baltimore Celtic 11th · 1-1-3 · GD -5 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
3–1 | 2.51 | 2.34 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 27 TBD |
STA 7th · 3-0-3 · GD +14 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
3–2 | 2.13 | 2.33 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 9th · 1-3-1 · GD -4 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
4–1 | 2.71 | 2.35 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
SJEB FC 12th · 1-0-4 · GD -3 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 89% |
5–1 | 2.74 | 2.37 | Bank it |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
2–2 | 1.47 | 2.32 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
PSA Monmouth 13th · 0-2-3 · GD -8 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 91% |
4–1 | 2.78 | 2.35 | Bank it |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Potomac Soccer Association 8th · 2-2-2 · GD +8 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
4–1 | 2.46 | 2.35 | Bank it |
| Sat May 22 02:30 PM |
Delaware FC 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5 |
Away far trip
Smith Estates · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.02 | 2.34 | Swing game |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
Maryland United FC 5th · 4-2-2 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
2–1 | 1.93 | 2.32 | Swing game |
| Sat Jun 5 TBD |
Pipeline SC 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +20 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–2 | 1.69 | 2.30 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | World Class FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | +19 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -2.22 | +0.17 | 98% | 2.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Delaware FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sun Oct 25 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC DELCO | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 6 | +31 | 19 | 2.71 | WWWWD | -0.74 | +0.13 | 100% | 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 at PDA · Sat Nov 7 at SJEB FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Pipeline SC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 3 | +20 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | -2.04 | +0.28 | 88% | 3.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at STA · Sat Oct 24 vs PDA · Sun Oct 25 at FC DELCO See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | +0.41 | -0.13 | 76% | 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sun Nov 1 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Nov 7 at PSA Monmouth See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Maryland United FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 14 | 1.75 | WDLWW | +0.78 | -0.27 | 7% | 6.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PDA · Sun Nov 8 vs STA · Sat Nov 21 at PSA Monmouth See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Delaware FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | DLWWL | -0.81 | +0.26 | 2% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 vs SJEB FC · Sun Oct 25 at Potomac Soccer Association See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | STA | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 9 | 1.50 | WLWWL | -0.08 | +0.01 | 28% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Oct 25 vs SJEB FC · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA Monmouth See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Potomac Soccer Association | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 8 | 1.33 | LLDWD | -0.60 | +0.26 | 1% | 7.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware FC · Sun Nov 1 at Baltimore Celtic · Sun Nov 8 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | 1.20 | DDDLW | +0.41 | +0.03 | 0% | 9.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | PDA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | +0.88 | +0.00 | 0% | 10.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pipeline SC · Sun Oct 25 at Maryland United FC · Sun Nov 1 vs FC DELCO See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Baltimore Celtic | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 | 0.80 | WDLLL | +0.43 | +0.04 | 0% | 10.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Potomac Soccer Association See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | SJEB FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLLW | -0.75 | +0.28 | 0% | 11.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Delaware FC · Sun Oct 25 at STA · Sun Nov 1 vs World Class FC See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | PSA Monmouth | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | 0.40 | LLDDL | +0.22 | +0.12 | 0% | 12.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Match Fit Surf · Sun Nov 1 at STA · Sat Nov 7 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Match Fit Surf | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 86 | -86 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.25 | +0.43 | 0% | 14.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth · Sat Nov 7 vs PDA · Sat Nov 21 at Baltimore Celtic See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.46 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.