STA

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU14 · 14 teams · STA (all teams)

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7th

3-0-3 record · 6 played

1.50 points per game

+14 goal diff · 26–12

WLWWLlast 5

28% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.1

-0.08 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM

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STA
7th · 1.50 PPG

SJEB FC
12th · 0.60 PPG

Central Park, Field 4 ↗

78% 10% 11%

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.5 for, 2.0 against · 2.45 expected points)

Season so far	STA	SJEB FC
Position	7th	12th
Record (W-D-L)	3-0-3	1-0-4
Points per game	1.50	0.60
Goals for / game	4.3	2.6
Goals against / game	2.0	3.2
Clean sheets	2	1
Held scoreless	0	2
Form (recent first)	L W W L W	W L L L L
Biggest win	14–0 at Match Fit Surf	11–0 at Match Fit Surf
Worst loss	2–5 at FC DELCO	0–6 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+1.40	-0.48
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.08	-0.75

Common opponents: Penn Fusion Soccer Academy — we 1–3; they 0–6. Match Fit Surf — we 14–0; they 11–0. Potomac Soccer Association — we 5–1; they 1–3.

Game plan

Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 78% chance; likely score 4–1.
Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
What a win does
Delaware FC sit 6th on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.50.
A point moves us above Delaware FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SJEB FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (STA – SJEB FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 1.71 PPG	6th▲ up 1	6th▲ up 1	8th▼ down 1
Win 1.71 PPG	6th▲ up 1	6th▲ up 1	8th▼ down 1
Draw 1.43 PPG	7th— holds	8th▼ down 1	10th▼ down 3
Loss 1.29 PPG	8th▼ down 1	8th▼ down 1	11th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–1 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

28% top 4

72% below the top 4

5.1 average finish

1st <1%
2nd 1%
3rd 7%
4th 20%
5th 38%
6th 21%
7th 9%
8th 4%
9th 1%
10th <1%
11th <1%
12th
13th
14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 20 remaining known games (max 2.65 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	World Class FC	3.00 (+1.50)	2nd (2.30)	69 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
2	FC DELCO	2.71 (+1.21)	1st (2.42)	62 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
3	Pipeline SC	2.25 (+0.75)	3rd (2.10)	50 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
4	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy	2.25 (+0.75)	4th (2.02)	50 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
5	Maryland United FC	1.75 (+0.25)	6th (1.64)	37 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
6	Delaware FC	1.67 (+0.17)	7th (1.46)	A point next game

How the results connect

12 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link STA to SJEB FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us

2 favour them

+2.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.01 · 11th hardest of 14

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Sep 27 02:30 PM no score posted	Pipeline SC 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +20	Home Central Park	●●●●○ Tough	33%	2–3	1.15	1.45	Upside
Sun Oct 25 12:00 PM	SJEB FC 12th · 1-0-4 · GD -3	Home Central Park	●○○○○ Favorable	78%	4–1	2.45	1.57	Bank it
Sun Nov 1 02:00 PM	PSA Monmouth 13th · 0-2-3 · GD -8	Home Central Park	●○○○○ Favorable	82%	3–1	2.56	1.68	Bank it
Sat Nov 7 02:30 PM	Baltimore Celtic 11th · 1-1-3 · GD -5	Away far trip Glenelg Country School · turf	●●○○○ Lean win	67%	3–1	2.17	1.73	Swing game
Sun Nov 8 02:00 PM	Maryland United FC 5th · 4-2-2 · GD +3	Away far trip Indian Creek	●●●○○ Toss-up	43%	1–1	1.51	1.71	Swing game
Sat Dec 5 TBD	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 9th · 1-3-1 · GD -4	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	77%	4–1	2.42	1.77	Bank it
Sat Dec 12 12:00 PM	Delaware FC 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5	Away far trip Odyssey Charter School · turf	●●●○○ Toss-up	46%	2–1	1.60	1.76	Swing game
Sun Dec 13 TBD	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +10	Home	●●●●○ Tough	37%	2–2	1.30	1.73	Upside
Sat Mar 6 TBD	Potomac Soccer Association 8th · 2-2-2 · GD +8	Away	●●●○○ Toss-up	50%	3–2	1.66	1.72	Swing game
Sun Mar 7 TBD	Pipeline SC 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +20	Away	●●●●● Very tough	23%	2–3	0.83	1.67	Upside
Sun Mar 14 10:00 AM	PDA 10th · 1-0-2 · GD -4	Away far trip PDA Soccer Complex	●●○○○ Lean win	66%	2–1	2.15	1.69	Swing game
Sat Mar 27 TBD	World Class FC 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +19	Away	●●●●● Very tough	20%	2–3	0.73	1.64	Upside
Sat Apr 10 10:00 AM	SJEB FC 12th · 1-0-4 · GD -3	Away far trip Tuckahoe Farm	●●○○○ Lean win	68%	3–2	2.18	1.67	Swing game
Sun Apr 11 TBD	Match Fit Surf 14th · 0-0-7 · GD -86	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	100%	9–0	3.00	1.74	Bank it
Sun Apr 25 TBD	PSA Monmouth 13th · 0-2-3 · GD -8	Away	●●○○○ Lean win	74%	3–1	2.35	1.76	Bank it
Sun May 2 TBD	Maryland United FC 5th · 4-2-2 · GD +3	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	53%	2–1	1.80	1.77	Swing game
Sun May 9 TBD	FC DELCO 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +31	Home	●●●●● Very tough	24%	2–3	0.87	1.73	Upside
Sun May 16 TBD	Delaware FC 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	56%	2–1	1.88	1.73	Swing game
Sun May 23 TBD	Baltimore Celtic 11th · 1-1-3 · GD -5	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	76%	3–1	2.41	1.76	Bank it
Sat Jun 5 10:00 AM	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 9th · 1-3-1 · GD -4	Away far trip Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center	●●○○○ Lean win	67%	3–2	2.14	1.78	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

World Class FC

+19

3.00

WWW

-2.22

+0.17

98%

2.2

W	Sun Oct 18	at	STA (7th)	3–1
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	15–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	PDA (10th)	3–1

Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Delaware FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sun Oct 25 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 23 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	3–1	87%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	4–1	81%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	SJEB FC (12th)	4–1	82%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	2–1	53%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	PSA Monmouth (13th)	3–1	85%
·	Sat Nov 28	vs	Maryland United FC (5th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Pipeline SC (3rd)	2–2	39%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	3–2	68%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	FC DELCO (2nd)	2–2	40%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	FC DELCO (2nd)	2–2	29%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	PDA (10th)	3–1	86%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	9–0	100%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	3–1	80%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	STA (7th)	3–2	66%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	4–1	88%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	SJEB FC (12th)	5–1	89%
·	Sun May 2	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	2–2	42%
·	Sun May 9	vs	PSA Monmouth (13th)	4–1	91%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	4–1	79%
·	Sat May 22	at	Delaware FC (6th)	2–1	61%
·	Sun May 23	at	Maryland United FC (5th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Jun 5	vs	Pipeline SC (3rd)	2–2	51%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC DELCO

+31

2.71

WWWWD

-0.74

+0.13

99%

1.5

D	Sun Oct 18	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	4–4
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	5–0
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Maryland United FC (5th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	STA (7th)	5–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Delaware FC (6th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	16–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 at PDA · Sat Nov 7 at SJEB FC See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Pipeline SC (3rd)	2–2	57%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	PDA (10th)	3–1	82%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SJEB FC (12th)	4–1	86%
·	Sat Nov 28	at	PSA Monmouth (13th)	3–0	87%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	World Class FC (1st)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	World Class FC (1st)	2–2	53%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	4–0	89%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	4–1	90%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Pipeline SC (3rd)	2–2	45%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	4–1	83%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	PSA Monmouth (13th)	4–0	92%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	PDA (10th)	3–0	88%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	2–1	74%
·	Sun May 2	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	9–0	100%
·	Sun May 9	at	STA (7th)	3–2	61%
·	Sun May 16	vs	SJEB FC (12th)	5–1	91%
·	Sat Jun 5	at	Maryland United FC (5th)	2–1	62%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pipeline SC

+20

2.25

WWWL

-2.04

+0.28

87%

3.2

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Maryland United FC (5th)	0–2
W	Sun Oct 4	at	SJEB FC (12th)	4–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	12–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	PSA Monmouth (13th)	7–1

Next: Sun Sep 27 at STA · Sat Oct 24 vs PDA · Sun Oct 25 at FC DELCO See all 22 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	at	STA (7th)	3–2	51%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	PDA (10th)	3–1	84%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC DELCO (2nd)	2–2	26%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	4–1	78%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	2–1	67%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	3–1	84%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	World Class FC (1st)	2–2	43%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	3–2	65%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	PDA (10th)	3–1	76%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	STA (7th)	3–2	62%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	SJEB FC (12th)	4–1	87%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	PSA Monmouth (13th)	3–1	83%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Maryland United FC (5th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FC DELCO (2nd)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	9–0	100%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Delaware FC (6th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun May 2	at	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	4–1	86%
·	Sun May 16	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	2–2	39%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	4–1	75%
·	Sat Jun 5	at	World Class FC (1st)	2–2	32%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Penn Fusion Soccer Academy

+10

2.25

WWLW

+0.41

-0.13

77%

3.8

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Delaware FC (6th)	3–0
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Maryland United FC (5th)	0–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	SJEB FC (12th)	6–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	STA (7th)	3–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sun Nov 1 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Nov 7 at PSA Monmouth See all 22 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	2–0	77%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	3–1	70%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	PSA Monmouth (13th)	2–0	75%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	World Class FC (1st)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	PDA (10th)	2–0	76%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	9–0	100%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–2	31%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	STA (7th)	2–2	44%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	SJEB FC (12th)	3–1	72%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	PSA Monmouth (13th)	3–0	82%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Maryland United FC (5th)	1–1	48%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	FC DELCO (2nd)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	59%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	FC DELCO (2nd)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	2–1	69%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	9–0	100%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	3–1	79%
·	Sun May 2	vs	World Class FC (1st)	2–2	38%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	3–1	67%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Pipeline SC (3rd)	2–2	41%
·	Sun May 23	at	PDA (10th)	2–0	68%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Maryland United FC

1.75

WDLWW

+0.78

-0.27

6.1

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Pipeline SC (3rd)	2–0
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	1–0
L	Sat Oct 3	at	FC DELCO (2nd)	0–2
D	Sun Sep 27	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	SJEB FC (12th)	3–1
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	4–2
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Delaware FC (6th)	0–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PDA · Sun Nov 8 vs STA · Sat Nov 21 at PSA Monmouth See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	PDA (10th)	1–0	58%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	STA (7th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	PSA Monmouth (13th)	1–0	56%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	6–0	99%
·	Sat Nov 28	at	World Class FC (1st)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	1–1	50%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	1–1	50%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	1–1	27%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–1	46%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	6–0	99%
·	Sat May 1	at	PDA (10th)	1–1	50%
·	Sun May 2	at	STA (7th)	1–2	26%
·	Sun May 9	at	SJEB FC (12th)	2–1	51%
·	Sun May 16	vs	PSA Monmouth (13th)	2–0	65%
·	Sun May 23	vs	World Class FC (1st)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Jun 5	vs	FC DELCO (2nd)	1–2	18%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Delaware FC

1.67

DLWWL

-0.81

+0.26

7.3

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	0–3
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	6–0
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC DELCO (2nd)	0–1
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	2–2
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Maryland United FC (5th)	2–0

Next: Sun Sep 27 at World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 vs SJEB FC · Sun Oct 25 at Potomac Soccer Association See all 20 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	at	World Class FC (1st)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SJEB FC (12th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	PDA (10th)	1–0	57%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	PSA Monmouth (13th)	1–1	55%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	STA (7th)	1–2	33%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Maryland United FC (5th)	1–1	30%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	1–1	49%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	1–1	19%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–1	44%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–2	22%
·	Sat May 1	at	FC DELCO (2nd)	1–2	11%
·	Sun May 2	at	PDA (10th)	1–1	48%
·	Sun May 9	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	6–0	99%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun May 16	at	STA (7th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat May 22	vs	World Class FC (1st)	1–2	20%
·	Sun May 23	at	SJEB FC (12th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Jun 5	vs	PSA Monmouth (13th)	2–0	63%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

STA

+14

1.50

WLWWL

-0.08

+0.01

28%

5.1

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	World Class FC (1st)	1–3
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	PDA (10th)	3–0
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	5–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	FC DELCO (2nd)	2–5
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	14–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	1–3

Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Oct 25 vs SJEB FC · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA Monmouth See all 20 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	vs	Pipeline SC (3rd)	2–3	33%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	SJEB FC (12th)	4–1	78%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	PSA Monmouth (13th)	3–1	82%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	3–1	67%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Maryland United FC (5th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	4–1	77%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Delaware FC (6th)	2–1	46%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	3–2	50%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Pipeline SC (3rd)	2–3	23%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	PDA (10th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	World Class FC (1st)	2–3	20%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	SJEB FC (12th)	3–2	68%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	9–0	100%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	PSA Monmouth (13th)	3–1	74%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Maryland United FC (5th)	2–1	53%
·	Sun May 9	vs	FC DELCO (2nd)	2–3	24%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Jun 5	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	3–2	67%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Potomac Soccer Association

1.33

LLDWD

-0.60

+0.26

7.5

D	Sun Oct 18	vs	FC DELCO (2nd)	4–4
W	Sat Oct 17	at	SJEB FC (12th)	3–1
D	Sun Oct 4	at	PSA Monmouth (13th)	1–1
L	Sat Oct 3	at	STA (7th)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Maryland United FC (5th)	2–4
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	12–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware FC · Sun Nov 1 at Baltimore Celtic · Sun Nov 8 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 20 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	3–2	53%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	PDA (10th)	2–1	55%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	World Class FC (1st)	2–3	18%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Pipeline SC (3rd)	2–3	21%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	STA (7th)	2–3	34%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	SJEB FC (12th)	3–2	67%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	PSA Monmouth (13th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Delaware FC (6th)	1–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	FC DELCO (2nd)	1–4	9%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Maryland United FC (5th)	1–2	33%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	PDA (10th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	3–1	66%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	3–2	65%
·	Sun May 9	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	1–3	18%
·	Sat May 15	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	9–0	100%
·	Sun May 16	at	World Class FC (1st)	1–4	11%
·	Sun May 23	at	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–4	13%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals

-4

1.20

DDDLW

+0.41

+0.03

9.9

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	4–3
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	FC DELCO (2nd)	0–5
D	Sun Sep 27	at	Maryland United FC (5th)	1–1
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	PSA Monmouth (13th)	3–3
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	2–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	World Class FC (1st)	1–4	9%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–4	11%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–3	30%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	PDA (10th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Nov 28	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	7–0	99%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	STA (7th)	1–4	12%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	SJEB FC (12th)	2–2	48%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	SJEB FC (12th)	2–2	36%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	PSA Monmouth (13th)	2–1	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Maryland United FC (5th)	1–1	29%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	FC DELCO (2nd)	1–4	4%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	World Class FC (1st)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	1–3	10%
·	Sun May 2	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–3	21%
·	Sun May 9	at	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–4	6%
·	Sat May 15	at	Delaware FC (6th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun May 16	vs	PDA (10th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	8–0	99%
·	Sat Jun 5	vs	STA (7th)	2–3	19%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PDA

-4

1.00

LLW

+0.88

+0.00

10.3

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	PSA Monmouth (13th)	1–0
L	Sun Oct 4	at	STA (7th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	World Class FC (1st)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pipeline SC · Sun Oct 25 at Maryland United FC · Sun Nov 1 vs FC DELCO See all 23 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–3	7%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Maryland United FC (5th)	0–1	19%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC DELCO (2nd)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	5–0	96%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Delaware FC (6th)	0–1	20%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	0–2	10%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–2	26%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	SJEB FC (12th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–3	11%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	World Class FC (1st)	1–3	6%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	6–0	98%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	STA (7th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	PSA Monmouth (13th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	SJEB FC (12th)	1–2	31%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	FC DELCO (2nd)	0–3	4%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Maryland United FC (5th)	1–1	25%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	27%
·	Sun May 9	at	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	1–1	34%
·	Sun May 16	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	1–2	31%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	0–2	14%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Baltimore Celtic

-5

0.80

WDLLL

+0.43

+0.04

10.8

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	3–4
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Delaware FC (6th)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	FC DELCO (2nd)	0–4
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Maryland United FC (5th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	PSA Monmouth (13th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Potomac Soccer Association See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	World Class FC (1st)	1–3	5%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	0–2	9%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	STA (7th)	1–3	17%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–3	6%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	PDA (10th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	6–0	98%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	SJEB FC (12th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	PSA Monmouth (13th)	1–1	49%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Maryland United FC (5th)	1–1	25%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	FC DELCO (2nd)	0–4	4%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	27%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	World Class FC (1st)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	1–2	30%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	1–2	14%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–3	18%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–3	10%
·	Sun May 9	vs	PDA (10th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat May 15	at	SJEB FC (12th)	1–2	31%
·	Sun May 16	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	5–0	96%
·	Sun May 23	at	STA (7th)	1–3	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SJEB FC

-3

0.60

LLLLW

-0.75

+0.28

11.0

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	11–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–3
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Pipeline SC (3rd)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Maryland United FC (5th)	1–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	0–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Delaware FC · Sun Oct 25 at STA · Sun Nov 1 vs World Class FC See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Delaware FC (6th)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	STA (7th)	1–4	11%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	World Class FC (1st)	1–4	9%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	FC DELCO (2nd)	1–4	7%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	PSA Monmouth (13th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	PDA (10th)	2–2	39%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	2–2	39%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	2–2	46%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–3	20%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–4	6%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	STA (7th)	2–3	19%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	PDA (10th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	9–0	99%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	World Class FC (1st)	1–5	5%
·	Sun May 2	at	PSA Monmouth (13th)	2–2	46%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Maryland United FC (5th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun May 16	at	FC DELCO (2nd)	1–5	4%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	1–2	30%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PSA Monmouth

-8

0.40

LLDDL

+0.22

+0.12

12.2

L	Sun Oct 18	at	PDA (10th)	0–1
D	Sun Oct 4	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–1
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	3–3
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–7

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Match Fit Surf · Sun Nov 1 at STA · Sat Nov 7 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Match Fit Surf (14th)	5–0	97%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	STA (7th)	1–3	8%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	0–2	10%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	SJEB FC (12th)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	World Class FC (1st)	1–3	6%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Maryland United FC (5th)	0–1	21%
·	Sat Nov 28	vs	FC DELCO (2nd)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	22%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	1–1	29%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	0–3	7%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Pipeline SC (3rd)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	PDA (10th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Match Fit Surf (14th)	5–0	95%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	FC DELCO (2nd)	0–4	3%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	STA (7th)	1–3	13%
·	Sun May 2	vs	SJEB FC (12th)	2–2	34%
·	Sun May 9	at	World Class FC (1st)	1–4	3%
·	Sun May 16	at	Maryland United FC (5th)	0–2	15%
·	Sat Jun 5	at	Delaware FC (6th)	0–2	16%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Match Fit Surf

-86

0.00

LLLLL

+1.25

+0.43

14.0

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	SJEB FC (12th)	0–11
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Delaware FC (6th)	0–6
L	Sun Oct 4	at	World Class FC (1st)	0–15
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Pipeline SC (3rd)	0–12
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	STA (7th)	0–14
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	0–12
L	Sat Sep 12	at	FC DELCO (2nd)	0–16

Next: Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth · Sat Nov 7 vs PDA · Sat Nov 21 at Baltimore Celtic See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	PSA Monmouth (13th)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	PDA (10th)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	0–6	1%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Maryland United FC (5th)	0–6	0%
·	Sat Nov 28	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	0–7	0%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	0–9	0%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	PDA (10th)	0–6	1%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	World Class FC (1st)	0–9	0%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	PSA Monmouth (13th)	0–5	2%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	STA (7th)	0–9	0%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (4th)	0–9	0%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	SJEB FC (12th)	0–9	0%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Pipeline SC (3rd)	0–9	0%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Maryland United FC (5th)	0–6	0%
·	Sun May 2	vs	FC DELCO (2nd)	0–9	0%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	0–6	0%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	0–9	0%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Baltimore Celtic (11th)	0–5	1%
·	Sun May 23	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (9th)	0–8	0%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.46 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.