Maryland United FC
ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU14 · 14 teams · Maryland United Football Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM
Liberty Sports Park, Field 3 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.8 for, 0.9 against · 1.97 expected points)
| Season so far | Maryland United FC | PDA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-2-2 | 1-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L D W | W L L |
| Biggest win | 4–2 at Potomac Soccer Association | 1–0 vs PSA Monmouth |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Delaware FC | 0–3 at STA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.44 | -0.52 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.78 | +0.88 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
PDA average 0.7 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 1 of 3.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at Delaware FC, 0–2 at FC DELCO.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 58% / draw 23% / loss 19%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the PDA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Maryland United FC – PDA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.89 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.89 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.67 PPG |
6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.56 PPG |
6th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 3 | 9th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–0 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 7%
- 5th 20%
- 6th 35%
- 7th 24%
- 8th 10%
- 9th 2%
- 10th <1%
- 11th <1%
- 12th <1%
- 13th
- 14th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.62 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | World Class FC | 3.00 (+1.25) | 2nd (2.30) | 64 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection |
| 2 | FC DELCO | 2.71 (+0.96) | 1st (2.42) | 57 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection |
| 3 | Pipeline SC | 2.25 (+0.50) | 3rd (2.10) | 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 4 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 2.25 (+0.50) | 4th (2.02) | 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
How the results connect
7 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Maryland United FC to PDA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.27 · 14th hardest of 14
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
PDA 10th · 1-0-2 · GD -4 |
Home Liberty Sports Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
1–0 | 1.97 | 1.77 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 02:00 PM |
STA 7th · 3-0-3 · GD +14 |
Home Indian Creek |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.27 | 1.72 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 01:30 PM |
PSA Monmouth 13th · 0-2-3 · GD -8 |
Away far trip
The Ranney School · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
1–0 | 1.92 | 1.74 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 09:00 AM |
Match Fit Surf 14th · 0-0-7 · GD -86 |
Away far trip
Monmouth Regional High School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 99% |
6–0 | 2.97 | 1.84 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 28 TBD |
World Class FC 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +19 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.64 | 1.75 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 19 11:30 AM |
Delaware FC 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5 |
Home Liberty Sports Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
1–1 | 1.53 | 1.74 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 TBD |
Baltimore Celtic 11th · 1-1-3 · GD -5 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
1–1 | 1.76 | 1.74 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 10:00 AM |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 9th · 1-3-1 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
1–1 | 1.71 | 1.74 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–1 | 1.07 | 1.70 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Pipeline SC 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +20 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–2 | 0.94 | 1.65 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Potomac Soccer Association 8th · 2-2-2 · GD +8 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–1 | 1.60 | 1.65 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Match Fit Surf 14th · 0-0-7 · GD -86 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 99% |
6–0 | 2.99 | 1.72 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 02:00 PM |
PDA 10th · 1-0-2 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
1–1 | 1.74 | 1.72 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
STA 7th · 3-0-3 · GD +14 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–2 | 1.00 | 1.69 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
SJEB FC 12th · 1-0-4 · GD -3 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.74 | 1.69 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
PSA Monmouth 13th · 0-2-3 · GD -8 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–0 | 2.14 | 1.71 | Swing game |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
World Class FC 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +19 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.87 | 1.67 | Upside |
| Sat Jun 5 TBD |
FC DELCO 2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +31 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.75 | 1.64 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | World Class FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | +19 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -2.22 | +0.17 | 98% | 2.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Delaware FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sun Oct 25 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | FC DELCO | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 6 | +31 | 19 | 2.71 | WWWWD | -0.74 | +0.13 | 100% | 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 at PDA · Sat Nov 7 at SJEB FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Pipeline SC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 3 | +20 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | -2.04 | +0.28 | 87% | 3.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at STA · Sat Oct 24 vs PDA · Sun Oct 25 at FC DELCO See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | +0.41 | -0.13 | 77% | 3.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sun Nov 1 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Nov 7 at PSA Monmouth See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Maryland United FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 14 | 1.75 | WDLWW | +0.78 | -0.27 | 8% | 6.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PDA · Sun Nov 8 vs STA · Sat Nov 21 at PSA Monmouth See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Delaware FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | DLWWL | -0.81 | +0.26 | 2% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at World Class FC · Sat Oct 24 vs SJEB FC · Sun Oct 25 at Potomac Soccer Association See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | STA | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 9 | 1.50 | WLWWL | -0.08 | +0.01 | 27% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Oct 25 vs SJEB FC · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA Monmouth See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Potomac Soccer Association | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 8 | 1.33 | LLDWD | -0.60 | +0.26 | 1% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware FC · Sun Nov 1 at Baltimore Celtic · Sun Nov 8 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | 1.20 | DDDLW | +0.41 | +0.03 | 0% | 9.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | PDA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | +0.88 | +0.00 | 0% | 10.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pipeline SC · Sun Oct 25 at Maryland United FC · Sun Nov 1 vs FC DELCO See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | Baltimore Celtic | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 | 0.80 | WDLLL | +0.43 | +0.04 | 0% | 10.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Potomac Soccer Association See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | SJEB FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLLW | -0.75 | +0.28 | 0% | 10.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Delaware FC · Sun Oct 25 at STA · Sun Nov 1 vs World Class FC See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | PSA Monmouth | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 | 0.40 | LLDDL | +0.22 | +0.12 | 0% | 12.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Match Fit Surf · Sun Nov 1 at STA · Sat Nov 7 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | Match Fit Surf | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 86 | -86 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.25 | +0.43 | 0% | 14.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth · Sat Nov 7 vs PDA · Sat Nov 21 at Baltimore Celtic See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.46 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.