FC Dallas Youth
ECNL Girls · Texas GU14 · 16 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:15 AM
Real Colorado Soccer Complex, RCSC 1 ↗ far trip
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 3.3 for, 0.6 against · 2.70 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Dallas Youth | Real Colorado Athletico |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 16th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-0 | 0-1-6 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.14 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D W | L L L L D |
| Biggest win | 5–0 vs West Side Alliance | — |
| Worst loss | — | 0–4 at Colorado Rush |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.23 | -1.56 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.12 | -0.08 |
Common opponents: Colorado Storm — we 3–1; they 0–2. Real Colorado National — we 3–3; they 0–2.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Real Colorado Athletico average 0.4 goals/game (league avg 1.7); blanked in 4 of 7.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
Real Colorado Athletico concede 2.7/game; worst result 0–4 at Colorado Rush.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 87% chance; likely score 3–0.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Confidence is low on their side
Real Colorado Athletico have lost 4 straight (form: DLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:15 AM at Real Colorado Soccer Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Real Colorado Athletico game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth – Real Colorado Athletico) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.67 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 2.67 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.33 PPG |
4th▼ down 2 | 5th▼ down 3 | 5th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 2.17 PPG |
5th▼ down 3 | 5th▼ down 3 | 5th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–0 win we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 20%
- 2nd 31%
- 3rd 21%
- 4th 13%
- 5th 7%
- 6th 4%
- 7th 3%
- 8th 2%
- 9th 1%
- 10th <1%
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
- 14th
- 15th
- 16th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.87 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOLAR SC | 3.00 (+0.40) | 1st (2.45) | 32 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
How the results connect
21 chains · 12 teams
Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth to Real Colorado Athletico through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
15 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.02 · 9th hardest of 16
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 11:15 AM |
Real Colorado Athletico 16th · 0-1-6 · GD -16 |
Away far trip
Real Colorado Soccer Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
3–0 | 2.70 | 2.62 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 TBD |
Colorado Rush 8th · 3-1-2 · GD +6 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.57 | 2.47 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 11:00 AM |
Lonestar ATX Red 15th · 1-1-7 · GD -11 |
Away far trip
Burger Activity Center |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
3–1 | 2.48 | 2.47 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 11:00 AM |
FC Westlake 6th · 6-0-3 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
Westlake High School Stadium - Chaparral Stadium · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.74 | 2.39 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 21 11:00 AM |
Challenge SC 9th · 3-1-2 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
Burroughs Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
1–1 | 1.96 | 2.35 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 09:00 AM |
Albion Hurricanes FC 13th · 0-4-2 · GD -10 |
Away far trip
Campbell Road Sports Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
2–0 | 2.59 | 2.37 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 11:00 AM |
Sting Black 4th · 4-0-1 · GD +4 |
Away Sting National Training Center |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.70 | 2.31 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 09:00 AM |
DKSC 5th · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Away Clark East Field |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
1–1 | 1.49 | 2.25 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 11:00 AM |
Dallas Texans 12th · 1-2-4 · GD -5 |
Home Toyota Soccer Center |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–0 | 2.38 | 2.26 | Bank it |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
SOLAR SC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +14 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.54 | 2.21 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SOLAR SC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 7 | +14 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | +0.00 | -0.13 | 98% | 1.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sun Nov 8 at Colorado Rush · Sat Nov 21 vs Sting Black See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Dallas Youth | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | +11 | 13 | 2.60 | WDWWW | -0.12 | -0.02 | 84% | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sun Oct 25 at Colorado Rush · Sat Nov 7 at Lonestar ATX Red See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Sting Royal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWWL | +0.09 | -0.09 | 65% | 4.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Colorado Rush · Sun Oct 25 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sat Nov 7 at FC Westlake See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Sting Black | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 12 | 2.40 | LWWWW | +0.05 | -0.06 | 50% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at West Side Alliance · Sat Nov 21 at SOLAR SC · Sat Dec 12 vs Real Colorado Athletico See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | DKSC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | +0.02 | -0.06 | 53% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at Colorado Storm · Sun Oct 25 at OK Energy FC · Sat Dec 12 vs Colorado Rush See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Westlake | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 18 | 2.00 | WWLWW | -0.25 | +0.35 | 28% | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Royal · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth · Sun Apr 18 vs Challenge SC See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Real Colorado National | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 19 | +10 | 20 | 1.67 | LDLLW | +0.13 | -0.69 | 8% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Colorado Storm · Sat Jan 30 at OK Energy FC · Sun Jan 31 at West Side Alliance See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Colorado Rush | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 10 | 1.67 | WWDLW | -0.46 | +0.26 | 11% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Royal · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Texans See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Challenge SC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 | 1.67 | LLWWD | -0.41 | +0.31 | 1% | 9.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Albion Hurricanes FC · Sat Nov 21 vs FC Dallas Youth · Sun Nov 22 vs Sting Royal See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | OK Energy FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | 1.14 | LLDDL | +0.12 | -0.06 | 0% | 9.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs DKSC · Sun Nov 8 vs West Side Alliance · Sat Nov 21 at Dallas Texans See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Colorado Storm | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 | 0.80 | DLDLL | +0.08 | +0.09 | 0% | 12.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 vs DKSC · Sat Nov 7 at Real Colorado National · Sat Jan 30 at West Side Alliance See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Dallas Texans | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 | 0.71 | DDLWL | +0.36 | -0.23 | 0% | 11.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Colorado Rush · Sun Nov 8 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sat Nov 21 vs OK Energy FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Albion Hurricanes FC | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 4 | 0.67 | DDLDD | -0.42 | +0.44 | 0% | 14.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Challenge SC · Sat Nov 21 vs Sting Royal · Sun Nov 22 vs FC Dallas Youth See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | West Side Alliance | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 4 | 0.57 | LLLDL | +0.15 | +0.08 | 0% | 14.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Black · Sun Nov 8 at OK Energy FC · Sun Dec 6 at Dallas Texans See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Lonestar ATX Red | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 4 | 0.44 | DWLLL | -0.07 | +0.35 | 0% | 13.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs FC Dallas Youth · Sun Nov 8 vs Sting Royal · Sat Mar 6 vs Challenge SC See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | Real Colorado Athletico | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 1 | 0.14 | DLLLL | -0.08 | +0.36 | 0% | 15.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth · Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Royal · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR SC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.66 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.