DKSC
ECNL Girls · Texas GU14 · 16 teams · DKSC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM
RiverCity Parks, Field 10 ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.0 for, 0.8 against · 2.17 expected points)
| Season so far | DKSC | West Side Alliance |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 14th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-1 | 1-1-4 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W | D L L L W |
| Biggest win | 2–1 at Dallas Texans | 2–1 vs Lonestar ATX Red |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at SOLAR SC | 0–5 at FC Dallas Youth |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.32 | -1.14 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.55 | +0.06 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
West Side Alliance average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 1.6); blanked in 4 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 65% / draw 20% / loss 14%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at RiverCity Parks.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Sting Black sit 4th on 2.25 PPG; we are on 2.00.A win moves us above Sting Black on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the West Side Alliance game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC – West Side Alliance) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.25 PPG |
4th▲ up 1 | 4th▲ up 1 | 5th— holds |
| Win 2.25 PPG |
4th▲ up 1 | 4th▲ up 1 | 5th— holds |
| Draw 1.75 PPG |
6th▼ down 1 | 6th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
9th▼ down 4 | 10th▼ down 5 | 10th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 1%
- 2nd 5%
- 3rd 9%
- 4th 13%
- 5th 13%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 12%
- 8th 13%
- 9th 11%
- 10th 9%
- 11th 1%
- 12th <1%
- 13th <1%
- 14th <1%
- 15th
- 16th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.80 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOLAR SC | 3.00 (+1.00) | 1st (2.44) | 39 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 2 | FC Dallas Youth | 2.60 (+0.60) | 2nd (2.27) | 33 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 3 | Sting Royal | 2.50 (+0.50) | 3rd (2.10) | 32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 4 | Sting Black | 2.25 (+0.25) | 7th (1.69) | Win next game |
How the results connect
10 chains · 11 teams
Paths of results that link DKSC to West Side Alliance through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
14 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.15 · 15th hardest of 16
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 18 01:30 PM no score posted |
Colorado Storm 11th · 2-2-6 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Centennial Stadium Field Complex · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
1–1 | 1.81 | 1.95 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM |
West Side Alliance 14th · 1-1-4 · GD -11 |
Away far trip
RiverCity Parks |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–0 | 2.17 | 2.00 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
OK Energy FC 10th · 2-2-2 · GD +3 |
Away far trip
Edmond Soccer Club |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–1 | 1.26 | 1.87 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 12 11:00 AM |
Colorado Rush 8th · 3-1-2 · GD +6 |
Home Clark East Field |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.31 | 1.79 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 11:00 AM |
Real Colorado Athletico 16th · 0-1-6 · GD -16 |
Home Clark East Field |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
2–0 | 2.53 | 1.89 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Albion Hurricanes FC 13th · 0-4-2 · GD -10 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–0 | 2.38 | 1.94 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Challenge SC 9th · 3-1-2 · GD +1 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
1–1 | 1.67 | 1.91 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 11:00 AM |
Sting Royal 3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +7 |
Home Clark East Field |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.29 | 1.86 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 09:00 AM |
FC Dallas Youth 2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +11 |
Home Clark East Field |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
1–1 | 0.97 | 1.78 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 09:00 AM |
FC Westlake 6th · 5-0-3 · GD +5 |
Away far trip
Onion Creek Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
1–1 | 1.22 | 1.74 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 PM |
Lonestar ATX Red 15th · 1-1-6 · GD -9 |
Away far trip
St. Andrew's Episcopal School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
2–1 | 1.93 | 1.75 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 11:00 AM |
Sting Black 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +0 |
Away Sting National Training Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
1–1 | 1.43 | 1.73 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SOLAR SC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 7 | +14 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.08 | -0.10 | 99% | 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sun Nov 8 at Colorado Rush · Sat Nov 21 vs Sting Black See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Dallas Youth | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | +11 | 13 | 2.60 | WDWWW | +0.02 | -0.11 | 93% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sun Oct 25 at Colorado Rush · Sat Nov 7 at Lonestar ATX Red See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Sting Royal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWWL | +0.13 | -0.14 | 78% | 3.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Colorado Rush · Sun Oct 25 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sat Nov 7 at FC Westlake See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Sting Black | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | +0.08 | -0.03 | 20% | 6.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at OK Energy FC · Sun Oct 25 at West Side Alliance · Sat Nov 21 at SOLAR SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | DKSC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.55 | -0.15 | 29% | 6.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at Colorado Storm · Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance · Sun Oct 25 at OK Energy FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Westlake | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 15 | 1.88 | LWWLW | -0.08 | +0.07 | 31% | 5.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Lonestar ATX Red · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Royal · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Real Colorado National | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 19 | +10 | 20 | 1.67 | LDLLW | +0.05 | -0.45 | 18% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Colorado Storm · Sat Jan 30 at OK Energy FC · Sun Jan 31 at West Side Alliance See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Colorado Rush | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 10 | 1.67 | WWDLW | -0.45 | +0.23 | 19% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Royal · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Texans See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Challenge SC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 | 1.67 | LLWWD | -0.28 | +0.21 | 3% | 8.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Albion Hurricanes FC · Sat Nov 21 vs FC Dallas Youth · Sun Nov 22 vs Sting Royal See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | OK Energy FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 8 | 1.33 | WLLDD | +0.06 | -0.08 | 10% | 7.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Black · Sun Oct 25 vs DKSC · Sun Nov 8 vs West Side Alliance See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Colorado Storm | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 | 0.80 | DLDLL | +0.03 | +0.14 | 0% | 12.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 vs DKSC · Sat Nov 7 at Real Colorado National · Sat Jan 30 at West Side Alliance See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Dallas Texans | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 | 0.71 | DDLWL | +0.22 | -0.12 | 0% | 11.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Colorado Rush · Sun Nov 8 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sat Nov 21 vs OK Energy FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Albion Hurricanes FC | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 4 | 0.67 | DDLDD | -0.29 | +0.34 | 0% | 14.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Challenge SC · Sat Nov 21 vs Sting Royal · Sun Nov 22 vs FC Dallas Youth See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | West Side Alliance | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 4 | 0.67 | WLLLD | +0.06 | +0.09 | 0% | 13.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs DKSC · Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Black · Sun Nov 8 at OK Energy FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Lonestar ATX Red | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 4 | 0.50 | LDWLL | -0.08 | +0.24 | 0% | 13.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Westlake · Sat Nov 7 vs FC Dallas Youth · Sun Nov 8 vs Sting Royal See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | Real Colorado Athletico | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 1 | 0.14 | DLLLL | -0.07 | +0.32 | 0% | 15.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth · Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Royal · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR SC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.64 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.