TableChase Clubs

Dallas Texans

ECNL Girls · Texas GU14 · 16 teams · Dallas Texans (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 7 minutes ago.
Add schedule to calendar
12th
1-2-4 record · 7 played
0.71 points per game
-5 goal diff · 6–11
DDLWLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.8
+0.22 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 09:00 AM

Open the match preview →

Dallas Texans
12th · 0.71 PPG
at
Colorado Rush
8th · 1.67 PPG

Stargate , Horan West ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.7 for, 1.7 against · 0.69 expected points)

Season so farDallas TexansColorado Rush
Position12th8th
Record (W-D-L)1-2-43-1-2
Points per game0.711.67
Goals for / game0.91.8
Goals against / game1.60.8
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)L W L D DW L D W W
Biggest win2–1 vs Lonestar ATX Red4–0 vs Real Colorado Athletico
Worst loss1–4 at SOLAR SC0–1 at Real Colorado National
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.45+0.57
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.22-0.45

Common opponents: Real Colorado National — we 1–1; they 0–1. Lonestar ATX Red — we 2–1; they 2–2. FC Westlake — we 0–1; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 vs Sting Black, 0–1 vs FC Westlake.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 15%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Stargate .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Colorado Storm sit 11th on 0.80 PPG; we are on 0.71.

    A point moves us above Colorado Storm on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado Rush game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dallas Texans – Colorado Rush) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.63 PPG
14th▼ down 2 12th— holds 15th▼ down 3
Win
1.00 PPG
11th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 1
Draw
0.75 PPG
12th— holds 11th▲ up 1 15th▼ down 3
Loss
0.63 PPG
14th▼ down 2 12th— holds 15th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 8%
  11. 11th 39%
  12. 12th 26%
  13. 13th 13%
  14. 14th 8%
  15. 15th 3%
  16. 16th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 1.93 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 SOLAR SC 3.00 (+2.29) 1st (2.44) 40 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Dallas Youth 2.60 (+1.89) 2nd (2.27) 34 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Sting Royal 2.50 (+1.79) 3rd (2.10) 33 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Sting Black 2.25 (+1.54) 7th (1.69) 29 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
5 DKSC 2.00 (+1.29) 5th (1.73) 25 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
6 FC Westlake 1.88 (+1.17) 4th (1.79) 24 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
7 Real Colorado National 1.67 (+0.96) 6th (1.73) 21 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
8 Colorado Rush 1.67 (+0.96) 8th (1.67) 21 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
9 Challenge SC 1.67 (+0.96) 10th (1.43) 21 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
10 OK Energy FC 1.33 (+0.62) 9th (1.55) 15 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
11 Colorado Storm 0.80 (+0.09) 12th (0.85) A point next game

How the results connect

22 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Dallas Texans to Colorado Rush through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us
5 even
7 favour them
+0.1 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 2–1 2–1 2–2 1–1 1–0 4–1 0–4 1–4 4–2 3–1 5–2 0–1 0–1 2–1 1–2 2–1 1–3 Dallas Texans 12th FC Westlake 6th Lonestar ATX Red 15th Real Colorado Natio… 7th SOLAR SC 1st Sting Black 4th DKSC 5th Real Colorado Athle… 16th Colorado Rush 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 30 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 18 Oct 21

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.12 · 13th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
Colorado Rush
8th · 3-1-2 · GD +6
Away far trip
Stargate
●●●●● Very tough
15%
0–1 0.69 0.71 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:15 AM
Real Colorado Athletico
16th · 0-1-6 · GD -16
Away far trip
Real Colorado Soccer Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
1–0 1.84 0.84 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
11:00 AM
OK Energy FC
10th · 2-2-2 · GD +3
Home
Heritage High School
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–1 0.99 0.85 Upside
Sun Dec 6
11:00 AM
West Side Alliance
14th · 1-1-4 · GD -11
Home
Heritage High School
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
1–0 1.85 0.94 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
11:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +11
Away far trip
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.42 0.90 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Albion Hurricanes FC
13th · 0-4-2 · GD -10
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
1–0 1.65 0.96 Swing game
Sun May 2
01:00 PM
Challenge SC
9th · 3-1-2 · GD +1
Away far trip
Burroughs Park
●●●●● Very tough
23%
0–1 0.96 0.96 Upside
Sat May 8
01:00 PM
Sting Royal
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +7
Away far trip
Sting National Training Center
●●●●● Very tough
14%
0–2 0.61 0.93 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 SOLAR SC 6600 217+14 183.00 WWWWW -0.08 -0.10 99% 1.6
2 FC Dallas Youth 5410 154+11 132.60 WDWWW +0.02 -0.11 94% 2.3
3 Sting Royal 6501 158+7 152.50 WWWWL +0.13 -0.14 78% 3.5
4 Sting Black 4301 88+0 92.25 LWWW +0.08 -0.03 20% 6.9
5 DKSC 3201 54+1 62.00 WLW +0.55 -0.15 28% 6.2
6 FC Westlake 8503 1813+5 151.88 LWWLW -0.08 +0.07 31% 5.7
7 Real Colorado National 12624 2919+10 201.67 LDLLW +0.05 -0.45 18% 6.0
8 Colorado Rush 6312 115+6 101.67 WWDLW -0.45 +0.23 20% 6.7
9 Challenge SC 6312 87+1 101.67 LLWWD -0.28 +0.21 3% 8.8
10 OK Energy FC 6222 129+3 81.33 WLLDD +0.06 -0.08 9% 7.7
11 Colorado Storm 10226 1017-7 80.80 DLDLL +0.03 +0.14 0% 12.3
12 Dallas Texans 7124 611-5 50.71 DDLWL +0.22 -0.12 0% 11.8
13 Albion Hurricanes FC 6042 313-10 40.67 DDLDD -0.29 +0.34 0% 14.1
14 West Side Alliance 6114 314-11 40.67 WLLLD +0.06 +0.09 0% 13.6
15 Lonestar ATX Red 8116 1120-9 40.50 LDWLL -0.08 +0.24 0% 13.3
16 Real Colorado Athletico 7016 319-16 10.14 DLLLL -0.07 +0.32 0% 15.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.64 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.