TableChase Clubs

West Coast FC

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU15 · 13 teams · West Coast F.C. (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
9th
2-0-3 record · 5 played
1.20 points per game
-7 goal diff · 9–16
LLWLWlast 5
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.0
-0.01 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, TBD

Open the match preview →

West Coast FC
9th · 1.20 PPG
at
LV Heat Surf SC
8th · 1.25 PPG

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.9 for, 3.0 against · 0.84 expected points)

Season so farWest Coast FCLV Heat Surf SC
Position9th8th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-33-1-4
Points per game1.201.25
Goals for / game1.82.0
Goals against / game3.22.1
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless13
Form (recent first)W L W L LL L W D L
Biggest win1–0 vs CDA Slammers FC6–2 at LA Breakers FC
Worst loss0–6 at LAFC0–4 vs San Diego Surf
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.88-0.14
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.01-0.12

Already played this season: Sat Sep 12 2–3 vs LV Heat Surf SC (L)

Common opponents: CDA Slammers FC — we 1–0; they 5–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–6 at LAFC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 22%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff TBD at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    LV Heat Surf SC sit 8th on 1.25 PPG; we are on 1.20.

    A point moves us above LV Heat Surf SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LV Heat Surf SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (West Coast FC – LV Heat Surf SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.00 PPG
11th▼ down 2 10th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 4
Win
1.50 PPG
6th▲ up 3 6th▲ up 3 9th— holds
Draw
1.17 PPG
9th— holds 8th▲ up 1 12th▼ down 3
Loss
1.00 PPG
11th▼ down 2 10th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
11.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 9%
  10. 10th 11%
  11. 11th 20%
  12. 12th 25%
  13. 13th 23%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Legends FC 2.60 (+1.40) 1st (2.32) 57 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
2 LA Breakers FC 1.83 (+0.63) 4th (1.54) 38 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
3 LAFC 1.80 (+0.60) 3rd (1.77) 38 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
4 San Diego Surf 1.75 (+0.55) 2nd (1.99) 36 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
5 CDA Slammers FC 1.67 (+0.47) 6th (1.32) 35 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
6 Pateadores Soccer Club 1.40 (+0.20) 5th (1.45) A point next game
7 Beach Futbol Club 1.33 (+0.13) 8th (1.28) A point next game
8 LV Heat Surf SC 1.25 (+0.05) 9th (1.27) A point next game

How the results connect

14 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link West Coast FC to LV Heat Surf SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
1 even
7 favour them
+0.1 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 1–0 1–5 5–4 1–2 1–1 1–3 1–1 1–0 3–2 5–1 0–6 3–0 1–0 1–0 3–3 2–6 2–1 West Coast FC 9th CDA Slammers FC 5th Sporting California… 10th LAFC 3rd Legends FC Del Mar 12th Pateadores Soccer C… 6th SDSC Surf 13th LA Breakers FC 2nd LV Heat Surf SC 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Sep 29 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.10 · 3rd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
TBD
LV Heat Surf SC
8th · 3-1-4 · GD -1
Away
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–3 0.84 1.14 Upside
Sat Nov 7
02:30 PM
Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-1-1 · GD -2
Home
Lake Forest Sports Park
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.23 1.15 Upside
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
Legends FC
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +9
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.26 1.04 Upside
Sat Nov 14
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +0
Away
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–3 0.84 1.02 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD
SDSC Surf
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -7
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–1 1.65 1.08 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
11:00 AM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-2-3 · GD -5
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.21 1.09 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 PM
Legends FC
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +9
Home
Lake Forest Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.38 1.03 Upside
Sat Apr 3
10:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-1-1 · GD -2
Away far trip
El Camino College · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–2 0.97 1.03 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD
LAFC
3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +6
Home
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.67 1.00 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
San Diego Surf
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Home
●●●●● Very tough
12%
0–2 0.52 0.97 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Away
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–3 0.73 0.96 Upside
Sat Apr 24
11:45 AM
Rebels SC
11th · 1-1-2 · GD -2
Away far trip
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.92 0.95 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-2-3 · GD -5
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
1–1 1.49 0.98 Swing game
Sun May 2
11:00 AM
LA Breakers FC
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +3
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.63 0.96 Upside
Sat May 8
11:00 AM
SDSC Surf
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -7
Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.36 0.98 Upside
Sun May 9
06:00 PM
LA Breakers FC
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +3
Home
Saddleback College
●●●●● Very tough
25%
2–3 0.91 0.98 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Home
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.01 0.98 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
Rebels SC
11th · 1-1-2 · GD -2
Home
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.18 0.99 Upside
Sat May 29
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.36 0.96 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Legends FC 5410 101+9 132.60 WWWDW +0.14 -0.16 100% 1.2
2 LA Breakers FC 6321 1613+3 111.83 LWWWD -0.24 +0.06 45% 5.1
3 LAFC 5302 115+6 91.80 WWLWL -0.18 -0.01 82% 3.5
4 San Diego Surf 4211 71+6 71.75 WLWD +0.15 -0.12 96% 2.3
5 CDA Slammers FC 6312 1313+0 101.67 LWLWD -0.46 +0.18 13% 7.4
6 Pateadores Soccer Club 5212 1010+0 71.40 DLLWW +0.17 -0.05 30% 6.0
7 Beach Futbol Club 3111 24-2 41.33 LWD +0.56 -0.06 11% 7.7
8 LV Heat Surf SC 8314 1617-1 101.25 LDWLL -0.12 +0.09 8% 7.8
9 West Coast FC 5203 916-7 61.20 LLWLW -0.01 +0.10 1% 11.0
10 Sporting California USA 4112 99+0 41.00 WDLL -0.56 +0.13 5% 8.8
11 Rebels SC 4112 46-2 41.00 LWLD +0.49 -0.08 10% 7.6
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6123 611-5 50.83 LLDLW +0.09 +0.03 0% 10.8
13 SDSC Surf 5104 411-7 30.60 LLWLL +0.27 +0.01 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.69 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.