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Legends FC

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU15 · 13 teams · Legends FC (CA) (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 41 minutes ago.
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1st
4-1-0 record · 5 played
2.60 points per game
+9 goal diff · 10–1
WWWDWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.2
+0.14 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:00 PM

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Legends FC
1st · 2.60 PPG
vs
SDSC Surf
13th · 0.60 PPG

Silverlakes Complex, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.4 for, 0.5 against · 2.53 expected points)

Season so farLegends FCSDSC Surf
Position1st13th
Record (W-D-L)4-1-01-0-4
Points per game2.600.60
Goals for / game2.00.8
Goals against / game0.22.2
Clean sheets41
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)W D W W WL L W L L
Biggest win3–0 at SDSC Surf1–0 at LV Heat Surf SC
Worst loss—2–5 at CDA Slammers FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.18-0.77
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.14+0.27

Already played this season: Sun Sep 27 3–0 at SDSC Surf (W)

Common opponents: LAFC — we 2–0; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    SDSC Surf average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 1.7); blanked in 2 of 5.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs Rebels SC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 80% chance; likely score 2–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SDSC Surf game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC – SDSC Surf) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.67 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
2.67 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.33 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.17 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

82% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.2 average finish
  1. 1st 82%
  2. 2nd 16%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

6 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC to SDSC Surf through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
0 favour them
+3.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 2–0 2–1 0–0 2–0 4–1 1–0 0–1 1–0 4–0 5–1 Legends FC 1st LAFC 3rd Rebels SC 11th Pateadores Soccer C… 6th San Diego Surf 4th LV Heat Surf SC 8th SDSC Surf 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Sep 29 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.16 · 13th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Wed Oct 21
06:00 PM
no score posted
Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Away far trip
Great Park
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
1–0 2.06 2.51 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
03:00 PM
SDSC Surf
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -7
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
2–0 2.53 2.51 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
1–0 1.61 2.40 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
West Coast FC
9th · 2-0-3 · GD -7
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–0 2.64 2.43 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-2-3 · GD -5
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
1–0 2.26 2.41 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
01:00 PM
LV Heat Surf SC
8th · 3-1-4 · GD -1
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–0 2.38 2.41 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Sporting California USA
10th · 1-1-2 · GD +0
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–0 2.22 2.39 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 PM
West Coast FC
9th · 2-0-3 · GD -7
Away far trip
Lake Forest Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
2–0 2.48 2.40 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
03:00 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-2-3 · GD -5
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
2–0 2.43 2.40 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
01:00 PM
Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-1-1 · GD -2
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
1–0 2.27 2.39 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +0
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–0 2.20 2.38 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
02:00 PM
Rebels SC
11th · 1-1-2 · GD -2
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
1–0 2.07 2.36 Swing game
Sat May 1
TBD
LV Heat Surf SC
8th · 3-1-4 · GD -1
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–0 2.19 2.35 Swing game
Sat May 8
TBD
LA Breakers FC
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +3
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.09 2.34 Swing game
Sun May 9
01:00 PM
Sporting California USA
10th · 1-1-2 · GD +0
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
2–0 2.42 2.34 Bank it
Sat May 15
01:00 PM
LAFC
3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +6
Home
Ontario Sports Empire
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
1–0 1.94 2.32 Swing game
Sun May 16
01:00 PM
LA Breakers FC
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +3
Home
Ontario Sports Empire
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–0 2.31 2.32 Bank it
Sat May 22
11:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-1-1 · GD -2
Away far trip
El Camino College · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
1–0 2.09 2.31 Swing game
Sun May 30
11:00 AM
CDA Slammers FC
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +0
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
2–0 2.40 2.32 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Legends FC 5410 101+9 132.60 WWWDW +0.14 -0.16 100% 1.2
2 LA Breakers FC 6321 1613+3 111.83 LWWWD -0.24 +0.06 42% 5.3
3 LAFC 5302 115+6 91.80 WWLWL -0.18 -0.01 83% 3.4
4 San Diego Surf 4211 71+6 71.75 WLWD +0.15 -0.12 96% 2.3
5 CDA Slammers FC 6312 1313+0 101.67 LWLWD -0.46 +0.18 14% 7.2
6 Pateadores Soccer Club 5212 1010+0 71.40 DLLWW +0.17 -0.05 28% 6.0
7 Beach Futbol Club 3111 24-2 41.33 LWD +0.56 -0.06 12% 7.7
8 LV Heat Surf SC 8314 1617-1 101.25 LDWLL -0.12 +0.09 7% 7.8
9 West Coast FC 5203 916-7 61.20 LLWLW -0.01 +0.10 1% 11.0
10 Sporting California USA 4112 99+0 41.00 WDLL -0.56 +0.13 5% 8.7
11 Rebels SC 4112 46-2 41.00 LWLD +0.49 -0.08 11% 7.7
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6123 611-5 50.83 LLDLW +0.09 +0.03 0% 10.9
13 SDSC Surf 5104 411-7 30.60 LLWLL +0.27 +0.01 0% 11.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.69 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.