Legends FC
ECNL Boys · Southwest BU15 · 13 teams · Legends FC (CA) (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:00 PM
Silverlakes Complex, Field 1 ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.4 for, 0.5 against · 2.53 expected points)
| Season so far | Legends FC | SDSC Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 13th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-0 | 1-0-4 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.2 | 2.2 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W W W | L L W L L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 at SDSC Surf | 1–0 at LV Heat Surf SC |
| Worst loss | — | 2–5 at CDA Slammers FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.18 | -0.77 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.14 | +0.27 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 27 3–0 at SDSC Surf (W)
Common opponents: LAFC — we 2–0; they 1–2.
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
SDSC Surf average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 1.7); blanked in 2 of 5.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs Rebels SC.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 80% chance; likely score 2–0.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the SDSC Surf game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC – SDSC Surf) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.67 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 2.67 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.33 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Loss 2.17 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 82%
- 2nd 16%
- 3rd 2%
- 4th <1%
- 5th <1%
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
6 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Legends FC to SDSC Surf through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.16 · 13th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Oct 21 06:00 PM no score posted |
Pateadores Soccer Club 6th · 2-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Great Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
1–0 | 2.06 | 2.51 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 24 03:00 PM |
SDSC Surf 13th · 1-0-4 · GD -7 |
Home Silverlakes Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
2–0 | 2.53 | 2.51 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 31 01:00 PM |
San Diego Surf 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6 |
Home Silverlakes Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
1–0 | 1.61 | 2.40 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
West Coast FC 9th · 2-0-3 · GD -7 |
Home Silverlakes Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 85% |
3–0 | 2.64 | 2.43 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 14 11:00 AM |
Legends FC Del Mar 12th · 1-2-3 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
1–0 | 2.26 | 2.41 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 01:00 PM |
LV Heat Surf SC 8th · 3-1-4 · GD -1 |
Home Silverlakes Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–0 | 2.38 | 2.41 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Sporting California USA 10th · 1-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
2–0 | 2.22 | 2.39 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 PM |
West Coast FC 9th · 2-0-3 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Lake Forest Sports Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.48 | 2.40 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 03:00 PM |
Legends FC Del Mar 12th · 1-2-3 · GD -5 |
Home Silverlakes Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
2–0 | 2.43 | 2.40 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 01:00 PM |
Beach Futbol Club 7th · 1-1-1 · GD -2 |
Home Silverlakes Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
1–0 | 2.27 | 2.39 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–0 | 2.20 | 2.38 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 02:00 PM |
Rebels SC 11th · 1-1-2 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
1–0 | 2.07 | 2.36 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
LV Heat Surf SC 8th · 3-1-4 · GD -1 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–0 | 2.19 | 2.35 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
LA Breakers FC 2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
2–1 | 2.09 | 2.34 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 01:00 PM |
Sporting California USA 10th · 1-1-2 · GD +0 |
Home Silverlakes Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
2–0 | 2.42 | 2.34 | Bank it |
| Sat May 15 01:00 PM |
LAFC 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +6 |
Home Ontario Sports Empire |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
1–0 | 1.94 | 2.32 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 01:00 PM |
LA Breakers FC 2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +3 |
Home Ontario Sports Empire |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
2–0 | 2.31 | 2.32 | Bank it |
| Sat May 22 11:00 AM |
Beach Futbol Club 7th · 1-1-1 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
El Camino College · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
1–0 | 2.09 | 2.31 | Swing game |
| Sun May 30 11:00 AM |
CDA Slammers FC 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +0 |
Home Silverlakes Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
2–0 | 2.40 | 2.32 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legends FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 13 | 2.60 | WWWDW | +0.14 | -0.16 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 21 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs San Diego Surf See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | LA Breakers FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 11 | 1.83 | LWWWD | -0.24 | +0.06 | 42% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at SDSC Surf · Sun Nov 8 at San Diego Surf · Sun Nov 22 at Beach Futbol Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | LAFC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLWL | -0.18 | -0.01 | 83% | 3.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC Del Mar · Sun Oct 25 at SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Rebels SC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | San Diego Surf | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 7 | 1.75 | WLWD | +0.15 | -0.12 | 96% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 24 at Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 31 at Legends FC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | CDA Slammers FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +0 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWD | -0.46 | +0.18 | 14% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 24 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Pateadores Soccer Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 7 | 1.40 | DLLWW | +0.17 | -0.05 | 28% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Oct 21 vs Legends FC · Sat Oct 24 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting California USA See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Beach Futbol Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 | 1.33 | LWD | +0.56 | -0.06 | 12% | 7.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs SDSC Surf · Sat Oct 24 at Rebels SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Legends FC Del Mar See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | LV Heat Surf SC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 10 | 1.25 | LDWLL | -0.12 | +0.09 | 7% | 7.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West Coast FC · Sat Nov 14 vs Rebels SC · Sun Mar 14 at Legends FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | West Coast FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 | 1.20 | LLWLW | -0.01 | +0.10 | 1% | 11.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at LV Heat Surf SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 8 at Legends FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Sporting California USA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 4 | 1.00 | WDLL | -0.56 | +0.13 | 5% | 8.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 31 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 at Rebels SC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | Rebels SC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | 1.00 | LWLD | +0.49 | -0.08 | 11% | 7.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Beach Futbol Club · Sun Oct 25 at CDA Slammers FC · Sat Oct 31 at LAFC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | Legends FC Del Mar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 | 0.83 | LLDLW | +0.09 | +0.03 | 0% | 10.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAFC · Sat Oct 31 at Beach Futbol Club · Sun Nov 1 at CDA Slammers FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | SDSC Surf | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 | 0.60 | LLWLL | +0.27 | +0.01 | 0% | 11.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Beach Futbol Club · Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 vs LAFC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.69 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.