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Pateadores Soccer Club

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU15 · 13 teams · Pateadores Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 47 minutes ago.
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6th
2-1-2 record · 5 played
1.40 points per game
+0 goal diff · 10–10
DLLWWlast 5
30% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.0
+0.17 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:00 PM

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Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 1.40 PPG
at
CDA Slammers FC
5th · 1.67 PPG

Santiago High School, Stadium ↗ · turf? far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.1 for, 2.2 against · 1.39 expected points)

Season so farPateadores Soccer ClubCDA Slammers FC
Position6th5th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-23-1-2
Points per game1.401.67
Goals for / game2.02.2
Goals against / game2.02.2
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W L L DD W L W L
Biggest win5–1 at LV Heat Surf SC5–2 vs SDSC Surf
Worst loss1–4 at Legends FC1–5 vs LV Heat Surf SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.07-0.15
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.17-0.46

Common opponents: LA Breakers FC — we 2–4; they 3–3. LV Heat Surf SC — we 5–1, 1–0; they 1–5.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 40%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 05:00 PM at Santiago High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the CDA Slammers FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pateadores Soccer Club – CDA Slammers FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.33 PPG
6th— holds 7th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 5
Win
1.67 PPG
5th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 1 6th— holds
Draw
1.33 PPG
6th— holds 7th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 5
Loss
1.17 PPG
9th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 2 12th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
30% top 4
70% below the top 4
6.0 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 8%
  4. 4th 19%
  5. 5th 18%
  6. 6th 15%
  7. 7th 13%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 6%
  10. 10th 4%
  11. 11th 3%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Legends FC 2.60 (+1.20) 1st (2.32) 56 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
2 LA Breakers FC 1.83 (+0.43) 4th (1.54) 37 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
3 LAFC 1.80 (+0.40) 3rd (1.77) 37 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
4 San Diego Surf 1.75 (+0.35) 2nd (1.99) 35 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
5 CDA Slammers FC 1.67 (+0.27) 6th (1.32) 34 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection

How the results connect

21 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Pateadores Soccer Club to CDA Slammers FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
3 even
9 favour them
+1.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–4 3–3 1–0 5–1 5–1 1–1 2–3 0–1 2–5 1–1 4–5 1–0 0–1 1–4 3–0 2–0 2–6 1–2 Pateadores Soccer C… 6th LA Breakers FC 2nd LV Heat Surf SC 8th Sporting California… 10th Legends FC 1st Legends FC Del Mar 12th SDSC Surf 13th West Coast FC 9th CDA Slammers FC 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Sep 29 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.05 · 9th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Wed Oct 21
06:00 PM
no score posted
Legends FC
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +9
Home
Great Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
0–1 0.72 1.29 Upside
Sat Oct 24
05:00 PM
CDA Slammers FC
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +0
Away far trip
Santiago High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.39 1.30 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
Sporting California USA
10th · 1-1-2 · GD +0
Home
Great Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.72 1.35 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
07:00 PM
LAFC
3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +6
Home
Great Park
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.15 1.33 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-1-1 · GD -2
Away far trip
El Camino College · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.43 1.34 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:30 PM
Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-1-1 · GD -2
Home
Vanguard University · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.69 1.37 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-2-3 · GD -5
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.92 1.42 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Rebels SC
11th · 1-1-2 · GD -2
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.65 1.44 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
09:00 AM
LA Breakers FC
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +3
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.17 1.42 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
LAFC
3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +6
Away
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.89 1.38 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +0
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.70 1.40 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
09:00 AM
SDSC Surf
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -7
Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
1–1 1.83 1.43 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 1-2-3 · GD -5
Away far trip
San Dieguito Academy
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–1 1.67 1.44 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
TBD
West Coast FC
9th · 2-0-3 · GD -7
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.11 1.48 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
16%
0–2 0.70 1.44 Upside
Sat May 15
01:00 PM
Rebels SC
11th · 1-1-2 · GD -2
Away far trip
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.39 1.43 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD
West Coast FC
9th · 2-0-3 · GD -7
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.81 1.45 Swing game
Sat May 22
TBD
San Diego Surf
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Home
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–1 0.90 1.43 Upside
Sun May 30
TBD
SDSC Surf
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -7
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.07 1.45 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Legends FC 5410 101+9 132.60 WWWDW +0.14 -0.16 100% 1.2
2 LA Breakers FC 6321 1613+3 111.83 LWWWD -0.24 +0.06 45% 5.1
3 LAFC 5302 115+6 91.80 WWLWL -0.18 -0.01 82% 3.5
4 San Diego Surf 4211 71+6 71.75 WLWD +0.15 -0.12 96% 2.3
5 CDA Slammers FC 6312 1313+0 101.67 LWLWD -0.46 +0.18 13% 7.4
6 Pateadores Soccer Club 5212 1010+0 71.40 DLLWW +0.17 -0.05 30% 6.0
7 Beach Futbol Club 3111 24-2 41.33 LWD +0.56 -0.06 11% 7.7
8 LV Heat Surf SC 8314 1617-1 101.25 LDWLL -0.12 +0.09 8% 7.8
9 West Coast FC 5203 916-7 61.20 LLWLW -0.01 +0.10 1% 11.0
10 Sporting California USA 4112 99+0 41.00 WDLL -0.56 +0.13 5% 8.8
11 Rebels SC 4112 46-2 41.00 LWLD +0.49 -0.08 10% 7.6
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6123 611-5 50.83 LLDLW +0.09 +0.03 0% 10.8
13 SDSC Surf 5104 411-7 30.60 LLWLL +0.27 +0.01 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.69 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.