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Legends FC Del Mar

ECNL Boys · Southwest BU15 · 13 teams · Legends FC - Del Mar (all teams)

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12th
1-2-3 record · 6 played
0.83 points per game
-5 goal diff · 6–11
LLDLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.8
+0.09 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

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Legends FC Del Mar
12th · 0.83 PPG
vs
LAFC
3rd · 1.80 PPG

Canyon Crest Academy, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 1.0 for, 1.9 against · 0.80 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC Del MarLAFC
Position12th3rd
Record (W-D-L)1-2-33-0-2
Points per game0.831.80
Goals for / game1.02.2
Goals against / game1.81.0
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)W L D L LL W L W W
Biggest win2–1 vs Sporting California USA6–0 vs West Coast FC
Worst loss0–3 at LAFC0–2 at Rebels SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.54+0.65
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.09-0.18

Already played this season: Sat Sep 19 0–3 at LAFC (L)

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 at LAFC, 0–2 at LA Breakers FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 19%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Rebels SC sit 11th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.83.

    A point moves us above Rebels SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAFC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC Del Mar – LAFC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.71 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1
Win
1.14 PPG
10th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 3 13th▼ down 1
Draw
0.86 PPG
12th— holds 11th▲ up 1 13th▼ down 1
Loss
0.71 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 0–1 loss we finish as high as 11th if every rival drops points, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th 4%
  8. 8th 5%
  9. 9th 9%
  10. 10th 15%
  11. 11th 20%
  12. 12th 24%
  13. 13th 19%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.46 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Legends FC 2.60 (+1.77) 1st (2.32) 58 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
2 LA Breakers FC 1.83 (+1.00) 4th (1.54) 39 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
3 LAFC 1.80 (+0.97) 3rd (1.77) 39 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
4 San Diego Surf 1.75 (+0.92) 2nd (1.99) 37 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
5 CDA Slammers FC 1.67 (+0.84) 6th (1.32) 36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 Pateadores Soccer Club 1.40 (+0.57) 5th (1.45) 29 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
7 Beach Futbol Club 1.33 (+0.50) 8th (1.28) 27 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
8 LV Heat Surf SC 1.25 (+0.42) 9th (1.27) 25 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
9 West Coast FC 1.20 (+0.37) 11th (0.96) 24 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
10 Sporting California USA 1.00 (+0.17) 10th (1.17) A point next game
11 Rebels SC 1.00 (+0.17) 7th (1.28) A point next game

How the results connect

10 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC Del Mar to LAFC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
7 favour them
-1.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 2–3 5–2 1–2 1–0 1–1 0–1 2–1 3–1 0–6 0–2 4–1 2–0 3–2 1–1 4–5 0–1 Legends FC Del Mar 12th CDA Slammers FC 5th LV Heat Surf SC 8th Sporting California… 10th LA Breakers FC 2nd SDSC Surf 13th West Coast FC 9th Rebels SC 11th LAFC 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Sep 29 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 6th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM
LAFC
3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +6
Home
Canyon Crest Academy · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
19%
0–1 0.80 0.83 Upside
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-1-1 · GD -2
Away far trip
Long Beach City College - Liberal Arts Campus
●●●●○ Tough
26%
0–1 1.05 0.86 Upside
Sun Nov 1
TBD
CDA Slammers FC
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +0
Away
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.95 0.87 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM
Sporting California USA
10th · 1-1-2 · GD +0
Away far trip
Ontario Sports Empire
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–2 0.97 0.88 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM
Legends FC
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +9
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●● Very tough
11%
0–1 0.53 0.85 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Away
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.86 0.85 Upside
Sun Mar 14
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Away
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–1 0.51 0.82 Upside
Sat Mar 20
11:00 AM
West Coast FC
9th · 2-0-3 · GD -7
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.57 0.87 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
03:00 PM
Legends FC
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +9
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.40 0.84 Upside
Sun Apr 4
11:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club
7th · 1-1-1 · GD -2
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.26 0.87 Upside
Sat Apr 10
11:45 AM
Rebels SC
11th · 1-1-2 · GD -2
Away
El Cajon Valley High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
25%
0–1 1.01 0.88 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 PM
Pateadores Soccer Club
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.09 0.89 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 PM
SDSC Surf
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -7
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.60 0.93 Swing game
Sat May 1
TBD
West Coast FC
9th · 2-0-3 · GD -7
Away
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.29 0.94 Upside
Sat May 8
01:30 PM
Rebels SC
11th · 1-1-2 · GD -2
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.22 0.96 Upside
Sun May 9
12:00 PM
San Diego Surf
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Home
San Dieguito Academy
●●●●● Very tough
14%
0–1 0.66 0.94 Upside
Sat May 22
11:00 AM
SDSC Surf
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -7
Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.37 0.96 Upside
Sat May 29
TBD
LV Heat Surf SC
8th · 3-1-4 · GD -1
Away
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.95 0.96 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Legends FC 5410 101+9 132.60 WWWDW +0.14 -0.16 100% 1.2
2 LA Breakers FC 6321 1613+3 111.83 LWWWD -0.24 +0.06 44% 5.1
3 LAFC 5302 115+6 91.80 WWLWL -0.18 -0.01 82% 3.5
4 San Diego Surf 4211 71+6 71.75 WLWD +0.15 -0.12 97% 2.3
5 CDA Slammers FC 6312 1313+0 101.67 LWLWD -0.46 +0.18 13% 7.2
6 Pateadores Soccer Club 5212 1010+0 71.40 DLLWW +0.17 -0.05 29% 6.0
7 Beach Futbol Club 3111 24-2 41.33 LWD +0.56 -0.06 11% 7.9
8 LV Heat Surf SC 8314 1617-1 101.25 LDWLL -0.12 +0.09 8% 7.9
9 West Coast FC 5203 916-7 61.20 LLWLW -0.01 +0.10 0% 11.0
10 Sporting California USA 4112 99+0 41.00 WDLL -0.56 +0.13 6% 8.7
11 Rebels SC 4112 46-2 41.00 LWLD +0.49 -0.08 10% 7.7
12 Legends FC Del Mar 6123 611-5 50.83 LLDLW +0.09 +0.03 0% 10.8
13 SDSC Surf 5104 411-7 30.60 LLWLL +0.27 +0.01 0% 11.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.69 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.