PSA Monmouth

ECNL Boys · North Atlantic BU14 · 12 teams · Princeton SA (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.

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12th

0-1-2 record · 3 played

0.33 points per game

-6 goal diff · 3–9

LLDlast 3

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.2

+0.70 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:00 PM

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PSA Monmouth
12th · 0.33 PPG

STA
1st · 3.00 PPG

The Ranney School , Field 1 - Stadium ↗ · turf?

6% 10% 84%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 1.0 for, 3.5 against · 0.29 expected points)

Season so far	PSA Monmouth	STA
Position	12th	1st
Record (W-D-L)	0-1-2	4-0-0
Points per game	0.33	3.00
Goals for / game	1.0	4.3
Goals against / game	3.0	0.5
Clean sheets	1	2
Held scoreless	2	0
Form (recent first)	D L L	W W W W
Biggest win	—	8–0 at Match Fit Surf
Worst loss	0–5 vs Pipeline SC	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-0.79	+1.93
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.70	-0.57

Common opponents: Pipeline SC — we 0–5; they 3–1.

Game plan

Respect their attack
STA score 4.2/game — well above the league's 1.9.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Hard to break down
STA concede only 0.5/game with 2 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–5 vs Pipeline SC, 0–0 vs World Class FC.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 6%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
They arrive in form
STA have won 4 straight.
Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
What a win does
Match Fit Surf sit 11th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.33.
A point moves us above Match Fit Surf on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the STA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PSA Monmouth – STA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.25 PPG	12th— holds	12th— holds	12th— holds
Win 1.00 PPG	9th▲ up 3	7th▲ up 5	10th▲ up 2
Draw 0.50 PPG	12th— holds	12th— holds	12th— holds
Loss 0.25 PPG	12th— holds	12th— holds	12th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

0% top 4

100% below the top 4

9.2 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th <1%
5th 1%
6th 5%
7th 8%
8th 17%
9th 24%
10th 22%
11th 16%
12th 7%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.64 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	STA	3.00 (+2.67)	1st (2.49)	65 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
2	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy	2.25 (+1.92)	4th (2.00)	49 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
3	World Class FC	2.00 (+1.67)	3rd (2.02)	43 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
4	Baltimore Celtic	2.00 (+1.67)	6th (1.41)	43 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
5	Pipeline SC	1.86 (+1.53)	2nd (2.06)	40 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
6	Delaware FC	1.50 (+1.17)	5th (1.43)	32 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
7	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals	1.33 (+1.00)	7th (1.18)	29 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8	Potomac Soccer Association	1.00 (+0.67)	8th (1.17)	Win next game
9	Maryland United FC	0.83 (+0.50)	10th (0.91)	A point next game
10	SJEB FC	0.67 (+0.34)	11th (0.72)	A point next game
11	Match Fit Surf	0.67 (+0.34)	12th (0.61)	A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link PSA Monmouth to STA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us

3 favour them

-1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 8th hardest of 12

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 03:00 PM	STA 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +15	Home The Ranney School · turf?	●●●●● Very tough	6%	0–3	0.29	0.32	Upside
Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM	Maryland United FC 9th · 1-2-3 · GD -5	Home The Ranney School · turf?	●●●●○ Tough	42%	1–1	1.48	0.55	Upside
Sat Nov 7 01:00 PM	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +6	Away far trip Scott Auto Field	●●●●● Very tough	10%	1–3	0.43	0.53	Upside
Sun Nov 8 01:30 PM	Delaware FC 6th · 3-0-3 · GD -1	Away far trip Smith Estates	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–1	0.90	0.58	Upside
Sat Nov 14 03:00 PM	Match Fit Surf 11th · 1-1-4 · GD -15	Home The Ranney School · turf?	●●○○○ Lean win	61%	2–1	2.02	0.76	Swing game
Sun Dec 13 01:15 PM	Potomac Soccer Association 8th · 1-3-2 · GD -2	Away far trip Maryland Soccerplex	●●●●○ Tough	25%	1–2	0.97	0.79	Upside
Sat Dec 19 11:30 AM	Baltimore Celtic 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +0	Away far trip TBD	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–2	0.84	0.79	Upside
Sun Dec 20 04:15 PM	Maryland United FC 9th · 1-2-3 · GD -5	Away far trip Indian Creek	●●●●○ Tough	33%	1–1	1.21	0.83	Upside
Sat Feb 27 TBD	Pipeline SC 5th · 4-1-2 · GD +14	Away	●●●●● Very tough	7%	1–3	0.30	0.79	Upside
Sat Mar 6 TBD	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 7th · 1-1-1 · GD -1	Home	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	0.82	Upside
Sat Mar 13 10:00 AM	SJEB FC 10th · 1-1-4 · GD -14	Away far trip Tuckahoe Farm	●●●○○ Toss-up	45%	2–1	1.56	0.87	Swing game
Sat Mar 20 TBD	World Class FC 3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +9	Away	●●●●● Very tough	8%	0–3	0.36	0.84	Upside
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Baltimore Celtic 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +0	Home	●●●●○ Tough	31%	1–2	1.12	0.86	Upside
Sun Apr 18 TBD	Potomac Soccer Association 8th · 1-3-2 · GD -2	Home	●●●●○ Tough	33%	1–1	1.22	0.88	Upside
Sat Apr 24 TBD	STA 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +15	Away	●●●●● Very tough	4%	0–4	0.18	0.84	Upside
Sat May 1 TBD	Delaware FC 6th · 3-0-3 · GD -1	Home	●●●●○ Tough	29%	1–1	1.12	0.85	Upside
Sun May 2 10:30 AM	SJEB FC 10th · 1-1-4 · GD -14	Home The Ranney School	●●●○○ Toss-up	55%	2–1	1.84	0.90	Swing game
Sat May 8 TBD	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +6	Home	●●●●● Very tough	15%	1–2	0.62	0.89	Upside
Sun May 16 TBD	Match Fit Surf 11th · 1-1-4 · GD -15	Away	●●●○○ Toss-up	52%	1–1	1.77	0.93	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

STA

+15

3.00

WWWW

-0.57

-0.07

100%

1.2

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	SJEB FC (10th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Pipeline SC (5th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Maryland United FC (9th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Match Fit Surf (11th)	8–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at PSA Monmouth · Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware FC · Sun Nov 1 vs Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	PSA Monmouth (12th)	3–0	84%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	2–0	75%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	4–1	87%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	3–1	83%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	3–0	82%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	World Class FC (3rd)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Delaware FC (6th)	2–0	67%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–1	64%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Match Fit Surf (11th)	4–0	95%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Maryland United FC (9th)	3–0	87%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Pipeline SC (5th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	3–1	80%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	SJEB FC (10th)	4–0	90%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	PSA Monmouth (12th)	4–0	89%
·	Sat May 1	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–1	75%
·	Sat May 8	at	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat May 15	at	World Class FC (3rd)	1–1	45%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Penn Fusion Soccer Academy

2.25

LWWW

-0.10

-0.05

93%

3.2

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Pipeline SC (5th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Match Fit Surf (11th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Delaware FC (6th)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sat Oct 31 vs SJEB FC See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	3–1	67%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	SJEB FC (10th)	3–1	85%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	World Class FC (3rd)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	PSA Monmouth (12th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Maryland United FC (9th)	2–1	74%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	STA (1st)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	STA (1st)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	SJEB FC (10th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	World Class FC (3rd)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Maryland United FC (9th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Pipeline SC (5th)	1–2	37%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	3–1	72%
·	Sat May 8	at	PSA Monmouth (12th)	2–1	69%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Match Fit Surf (11th)	3–0	87%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

World Class FC

2.00

WWDD

-0.61

+0.03

94%

3.0

D	Sat Oct 17	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–2
D	Sat Oct 3	at	PSA Monmouth (12th)	0–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	SJEB FC (10th)	7–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	2–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Maryland United FC · Sun Oct 25 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Oct 31 at Baltimore Celtic See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Maryland United FC (9th)	2–0	77%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Pipeline SC (5th)	1–1	43%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Match Fit Surf (11th)	3–0	89%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	STA (1st)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Match Fit Surf (11th)	3–0	83%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	SJEB FC (10th)	3–0	87%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	PSA Monmouth (12th)	3–0	80%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–0	71%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Maryland United FC (9th)	2–0	69%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	2–1	72%
·	Sat May 8	at	Pipeline SC (5th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat May 15	vs	STA (1st)	1–1	32%
·	Sat May 22	at	Delaware FC (6th)	1–0	55%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Baltimore Celtic

2.00

WWL

-0.25

+0.08

6.1

L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Pipeline SC (5th)	0–5
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Maryland United FC (9th)	4–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Match Fit Surf (11th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Potomac Soccer Association · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Oct 31 vs World Class FC See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–1	48%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–3	17%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	World Class FC (3rd)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	STA (1st)	1–3	7%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	SJEB FC (10th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	33%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	2–2	40%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	PSA Monmouth (12th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	2–2	51%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Match Fit Surf (11th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Maryland United FC (9th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Pipeline SC (5th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	SJEB FC (10th)	3–1	71%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	PSA Monmouth (12th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–2	38%
·	Sat May 1	at	World Class FC (3rd)	1–2	13%
·	Sat May 8	vs	STA (1st)	1–3	11%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	42%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pipeline SC

+14

1.86

DWLWL

+0.11

-0.17

97%

2.8

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–3
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	STA (1st)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	5–0
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–2
W	Sun Aug 30	at	PSA Monmouth (12th)	5–0
W	Sat Aug 29	at	SJEB FC (10th)	6–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Match Fit Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Maryland United FC · Sat Nov 7 at World Class FC See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Match Fit Surf (11th)	3–0	87%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Maryland United FC (9th)	3–0	80%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	World Class FC (3rd)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	3–1	79%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	SJEB FC (10th)	4–0	90%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	PSA Monmouth (12th)	3–1	83%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–1	74%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	STA (1st)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Delaware FC (6th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	2–1	43%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Match Fit Surf (11th)	4–0	91%
·	Sat May 1	at	Maryland United FC (9th)	2–1	73%
·	Sat May 8	vs	World Class FC (3rd)	1–1	44%
·	Sat May 15	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	3–1	70%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Delaware FC

-1

1.50

WLLWW

+0.09

-0.02

6.0

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Match Fit Surf (11th)	2–0
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Pipeline SC (5th)	0–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Maryland United FC (9th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	3–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	World Class FC (3rd)	0–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SJEB FC · Sun Oct 25 at STA · Sat Nov 7 vs Potomac Soccer Association See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SJEB FC (10th)	2–0	65%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	STA (1st)	0–2	10%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–1	45%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	PSA Monmouth (12th)	1–1	55%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	STA (1st)	0–2	14%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Match Fit Surf (11th)	1–0	61%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Maryland United FC (9th)	1–1	52%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Pipeline SC (5th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	1–1	48%
·	Sat May 1	at	PSA Monmouth (12th)	1–1	46%
·	Sat May 15	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–1	37%
·	Sun May 16	at	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat May 22	vs	World Class FC (3rd)	0–1	21%
·	Sun May 23	at	SJEB FC (10th)	1–1	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals

-1

1.33

DWL

-0.68

+0.18

7.5

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	PSA Monmouth (12th)	4–3
D	Sat Sep 12	at	SJEB FC (10th)	3–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC · Sun Nov 1 at STA See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–2	21%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	World Class FC (3rd)	1–2	17%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	STA (1st)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Maryland United FC (9th)	2–1	43%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Pipeline SC (5th)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Match Fit Surf (11th)	2–1	73%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	World Class FC (3rd)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	2–2	31%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	PSA Monmouth (12th)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–1	44%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	SJEB FC (10th)	3–1	68%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	STA (1st)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	30%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Maryland United FC (9th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–3	14%
·	Sun May 2	at	Match Fit Surf (11th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Pipeline SC (5th)	1–3	16%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Potomac Soccer Association

-2

1.00

DWLDL

-0.00

+0.07

7.5

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–3
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	World Class FC (3rd)	2–2
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Match Fit Surf (11th)	1–2
W	Sat Oct 3	at	SJEB FC (10th)	2–1
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Pipeline SC (5th)	2–2
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Maryland United FC (9th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Baltimore Celtic · Sat Nov 7 at Delaware FC · Sun Nov 8 at STA See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	30%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	STA (1st)	0–3	7%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	2–1	46%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	PSA Monmouth (12th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Pipeline SC (5th)	1–2	12%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	1–2	36%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Match Fit Surf (11th)	2–0	69%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	World Class FC (3rd)	0–2	13%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	PSA Monmouth (12th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	2–1	41%
·	Sat May 1	vs	STA (1st)	1–2	11%
·	Sat May 8	at	Maryland United FC (9th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	38%
·	Sun May 16	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–2	16%
·	Sat May 22	vs	SJEB FC (10th)	2–1	64%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Maryland United FC

-5

0.83

DLWLL

-0.24

+0.20

9.4

L	Sun Oct 18	at	SJEB FC (10th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	STA (1st)	1–4
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	2–4
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	Match Fit Surf (11th)	1–1
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC · Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth · Sat Oct 31 at Pipeline SC See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	World Class FC (3rd)	0–2	9%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	PSA Monmouth (12th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Pipeline SC (5th)	0–3	8%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	1–2	36%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–2	11%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	PSA Monmouth (12th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	STA (1st)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Match Fit Surf (11th)	1–1	52%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	23%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	World Class FC (3rd)	0–2	13%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Pipeline SC (5th)	1–2	12%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat May 15	vs	SJEB FC (10th)	2–1	55%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SJEB FC

-14

0.67

DLLLW

+0.51

-0.00

10.7

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Maryland United FC (9th)	2–0
L	Sat Oct 17	at	STA (1st)	0–2
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	World Class FC (3rd)	0–7
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	3–3
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	Pipeline SC (5th)	0–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Delaware FC · Sat Oct 31 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Nov 7 at Match Fit Surf See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Delaware FC (6th)	0–2	16%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–3	6%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Match Fit Surf (11th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Pipeline SC (5th)	0–4	4%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	World Class FC (3rd)	0–3	4%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	PSA Monmouth (12th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	1–3	17%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	STA (1st)	0–4	3%
·	Sun May 2	at	PSA Monmouth (12th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Match Fit Surf (11th)	1–1	51%
·	Sat May 15	at	Maryland United FC (9th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat May 22	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	22%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Match Fit Surf

-15

0.67

DLLWL

+0.30

+0.11

11.3

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Delaware FC (6th)	0–2
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	2–1
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	STA (1st)	0–8
D	Sun Sep 13	at	Maryland United FC (9th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	0–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Pipeline SC · Sat Nov 7 vs SJEB FC · Sun Nov 8 at World Class FC See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Pipeline SC (5th)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	SJEB FC (10th)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	World Class FC (3rd)	0–3	3%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	PSA Monmouth (12th)	1–2	19%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	World Class FC (3rd)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	STA (1st)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	0–1	17%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Maryland United FC (9th)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	0–2	13%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Pipeline SC (5th)	0–4	3%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat May 8	at	SJEB FC (10th)	1–1	27%
·	Sun May 16	vs	PSA Monmouth (12th)	1–1	26%
·	Sat May 22	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	0–3	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PSA Monmouth

-6

0.33

LLD

+0.70

-0.01

9.2

D	Sat Oct 3	vs	World Class FC (3rd)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	3–4
L	Sun Aug 30	vs	Pipeline SC (5th)	0–5

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs STA · Sun Oct 25 vs Maryland United FC · Sat Nov 7 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	STA (1st)	0–3	6%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Maryland United FC (9th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	22%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Match Fit Surf (11th)	2–1	61%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	Maryland United FC (9th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Pipeline SC (5th)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	SJEB FC (10th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	World Class FC (3rd)	0–3	8%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Baltimore Celtic (4th)	1–2	31%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Potomac Soccer Association (8th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	STA (1st)	0–4	4%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Delaware FC (6th)	1–1	29%
·	Sun May 2	vs	SJEB FC (10th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (2nd)	1–2	15%
·	Sun May 16	at	Match Fit Surf (11th)	1–1	52%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.90 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.