Delaware FC
ECNL Boys · North Atlantic BU14 · 12 teams · Delaware Football Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:15 PM
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.2 for, 1.0 against · 2.14 expected points)
| Season so far | Delaware FC | SJEB FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-3 | 1-1-4 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Goals for / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L L W | W L L L D |
| Biggest win | 2–0 vs Match Fit Surf | 2–0 vs Maryland United FC |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at World Class FC | 0–7 vs World Class FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.04 | -1.36 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.09 | +0.51 |
Common opponents: World Class FC — we 0–2; they 0–7. Maryland United FC — we 0–2; they 2–0. Pipeline SC — we 0–2; they 0–6. Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals — we 2–0; they 3–3.
Game plan
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They leak goals — be greedy
SJEB FC concede 3.3/game; worst result 0–7 vs World Class FC.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 at World Class FC, 0–2 at Maryland United FC, 0–2 at Pipeline SC.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 65% / draw 19% / loss 16%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the SJEB FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Delaware FC – SJEB FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.71 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.71 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.43 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.29 PPG |
7th▼ down 1 | 6th— holds | 10th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 6%
- 5th 36%
- 6th 31%
- 7th 15%
- 8th 7%
- 9th 3%
- 10th 1%
- 11th <1%
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.59 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STA | 3.00 (+1.50) | 1st (2.49) | 57 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection |
| 2 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 2.25 (+0.75) | 4th (2.00) | 41 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 3 | World Class FC | 2.00 (+0.50) | 3rd (2.02) | 35 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection |
| 4 | Baltimore Celtic | 2.00 (+0.50) | 6th (1.41) | 35 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection |
| 5 | Pipeline SC | 1.86 (+0.36) | 2nd (2.06) | 32 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection |
How the results connect
14 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Delaware FC to SJEB FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.02 · 9th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 01:15 PM |
SJEB FC 10th · 1-1-4 · GD -14 |
Home Smith Estates |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–0 | 2.14 | 1.59 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 03:30 PM |
STA 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +15 |
Away far trip
Central Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
0–2 | 0.44 | 1.45 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 12:00 PM |
Potomac Soccer Association 8th · 1-3-2 · GD -2 |
Home Hudson Fields · grass |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.60 | 1.46 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 01:30 PM |
PSA Monmouth 12th · 0-1-2 · GD -6 |
Home Smith Estates |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
1–1 | 1.88 | 1.51 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 03:00 PM |
Baltimore Celtic 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +0 |
Home Smith Estates · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.54 | 1.51 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 12 TBD |
STA 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +15 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
0–2 | 0.61 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +6 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.80 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Match Fit Surf 11th · 1-1-4 · GD -15 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
1–0 | 2.04 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 11:00 AM |
Maryland United FC 9th · 1-2-3 · GD -5 |
Home Hudson Fields · grass |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
1–1 | 1.81 | 1.46 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 12:30 PM |
Pipeline SC 5th · 4-1-2 · GD +14 |
Home Smith Estates |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.84 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 7th · 1-1-1 · GD -1 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
1–1 | 1.67 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
PSA Monmouth 12th · 0-1-2 · GD -6 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
1–1 | 1.63 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Potomac Soccer Association 8th · 1-3-2 · GD -2 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.36 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Baltimore Celtic 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.28 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 10:30 AM |
World Class FC 3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +9 |
Home Smith Estates |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
0–1 | 0.87 | 1.40 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 02:00 PM |
SJEB FC 10th · 1-1-4 · GD -14 |
Away far trip
Tuckahoe Farm |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
1–1 | 1.91 | 1.43 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | STA | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | +15 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.57 | -0.07 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PSA Monmouth · Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware FC · Sun Nov 1 vs Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | -0.10 | -0.05 | 92% | 3.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sat Oct 31 vs SJEB FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | World Class FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 8 | 2.00 | WWDD | -0.61 | +0.03 | 94% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Maryland United FC · Sun Oct 25 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sat Oct 31 at Baltimore Celtic See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Baltimore Celtic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | -0.25 | +0.08 | 7% | 6.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Potomac Soccer Association · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Oct 31 vs World Class FC See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Pipeline SC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 13 | 1.86 | DWLWL | +0.11 | -0.17 | 98% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Match Fit Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs Maryland United FC · Sat Nov 7 at World Class FC See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Delaware FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 | 1.50 | WLLWW | +0.09 | -0.02 | 7% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SJEB FC · Sun Oct 25 at STA · Sat Nov 7 vs Potomac Soccer Association See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | 1.33 | DWL | -0.68 | +0.18 | 1% | 7.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC · Sun Nov 1 at STA See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Potomac Soccer Association | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 6 | 1.00 | DWLDL | -0.00 | +0.07 | 1% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Baltimore Celtic · Sat Nov 7 at Delaware FC · Sun Nov 8 at STA See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Maryland United FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 | 0.83 | DLWLL | -0.24 | +0.20 | 0% | 9.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC · Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth · Sat Oct 31 at Pipeline SC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | SJEB FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 | 0.67 | DLLLW | +0.51 | -0.00 | 0% | 10.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Delaware FC · Sat Oct 31 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Nov 7 at Match Fit Surf See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Match Fit Surf | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 18 | -15 | 4 | 0.67 | DLLWL | +0.30 | +0.11 | 0% | 11.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Pipeline SC · Sat Nov 7 vs SJEB FC · Sun Nov 8 at World Class FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | PSA Monmouth | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | 0.33 | LLD | +0.70 | -0.01 | 0% | 9.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs STA · Sun Oct 25 vs Maryland United FC · Sat Nov 7 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.90 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.