USA of Indiana
Elite Academy League National · Mid-America U14 · 13 teams · USA of Indiana (all teams)
Next game — Sun Apr 11, 12:00 AM
TBD, TBD ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.9 for, 1.1 against · 2.79 expected points)
| Season so far | USA of Indiana | Indy Premier SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-0 | 0-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.33 | 0.33 |
| Goals for / game | 5.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 4.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D | L L D |
| Biggest win | 10–1 at Indy Premier SC | — |
| Worst loss | — | 1–10 vs USA of Indiana |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.88 | -1.79 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.18 | +0.24 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 20 10–1 at Indy Premier SC (W)
Common opponents: Hoosier FC — we 1–1, 4–0; they 1–1.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Indy Premier SC average 0.7 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 1 of 3.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
Indy Premier SC concede 4.3/game; worst result 1–10 vs USA of Indiana.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 91% chance; likely score 4–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Away game
Kickoff 12:00 AM at TBD.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Indy Premier SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (USA of Indiana – Indy Premier SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Apr 5 – Sun Apr 11); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.50 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Win 2.50 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Loss 1.75 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 4–1 win we stay 4th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 10%
- 4th 41%
- 5th 48%
- 6th <1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th <1%
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 2.60 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Stars | 3.00 (+0.67) | 1st (3.00) | 8 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Croatian Eagles SC | 3.00 (+0.67) | 2nd (2.76) | 8 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | JaHBat | 3.00 (+0.67) | 5th (2.42) | 8 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 6 for their projection |
How the results connect
3 chains · 3 teams
Paths of results that link USA of Indiana to Indy Premier SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -1.33 · 7th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Indy Premier SC 8th · 0-1-2 · GD -11 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 91% |
4–1 | 2.79 | 2.45 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Hoosier FC 7th · 0-2-2 · GD -7 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
3–0 | 2.68 | 2.49 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | +9 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -1.96 | — | 100% | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 2 | Croatian Eagles SC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.04 | -1.52 | 85% | 2.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at North Shore United Soccer Club · Sun Apr 25 vs Forward Madison · Sat May 15 at North Shore United Soccer Club See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | JaHBat | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -0.64 | -0.98 | 50% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Tue Dec 29 vs North Shore United Soccer Club · Wed Dec 30 at FC1 Academy See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | USA of Indiana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 2 | +13 | 7 | 2.33 | DWW | -1.18 | -1.33 | 52% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Apr 11 at Indy Premier SC · Sun Apr 25 vs Hoosier FC See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Chicago Empire FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | +0.12 | — | 0% | 6.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 6 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | LW | -0.42 | — | 0% | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 7 | Hoosier FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 2 | 0.50 | DDLL | +0.59 | +0.04 | 0% | 9.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Mar 6 vs Indy Premier SC · Sun Apr 25 at USA of Indiana See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Indy Premier SC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 | 0.33 | DLL | +0.24 | +0.50 | 0% | 10.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Mar 6 at Hoosier FC · Sun Apr 11 vs USA of Indiana See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Chicago Rush | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -1.96 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 vs North Shore United Soccer Club See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | FC1 Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.64 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Wed Dec 30 vs JaHBat See all 1 future matchup ▸ |
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| 11 | Orland Park Sting FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +1.00 | — | 0% | 12.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 12 | Forward Madison | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.64 | -0.48 | 0% | 9.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Apr 10 at North Shore United Soccer Club · Sun Apr 25 at Croatian Eagles SC See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | North Shore United Soccer Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +1.96 | +0.40 | 0% | 10.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Croatian Eagles SC · Sat Nov 14 at Chicago Rush · Tue Dec 29 at JaHBat See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.23 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.