TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC Santa Ana

Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U13 · 16 teams · ALBION SC Santa Ana (all teams)

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1st
3-1-0 record · 4 played
2.50 points per game
+16 goal diff · 18–2
WWWDlast 4
91% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.2
-0.64 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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ALBION SC Santa Ana
1st · 2.50 PPG
at
ALBION SC Riverside
4th · 2.33 PPG

Galway Downs, #19 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.7 for, 1.5 against · 1.51 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Santa AnaALBION SC Riverside
Position1st4th
Record (W-D-L)3-1-02-1-0
Points per game2.502.33
Goals for / game4.52.3
Goals against / game0.50.0
Clean sheets23
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)D W W WW D W
Biggest win8–0 vs City SC Southwest5–0 at Laguna United
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.00+1.13
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.64-0.46

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    ALBION SC Riverside concede only 0.0/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 42% / draw 24% / loss 34%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Galway Downs.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Riverside game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Santa Ana – ALBION SC Riverside) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.20 PPG
4th▼ down 3 4th▼ down 3 4th▼ down 3
Win
2.60 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.20 PPG
4th▼ down 3 4th▼ down 3 4th▼ down 3
Loss
2.00 PPG
5th▼ down 4 5th▼ down 4 5th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

44% finish 1st
91% top 4
9% below the top 4
2.2 average finish
  1. 1st 44%
  2. 2nd 24%
  3. 3rd 14%
  4. 4th 9%
  5. 5th 5%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

1 chain · 4 teams

Paths of results that link ALBION SC Santa Ana to ALBION SC Riverside through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 4–1 0–5 ALBION SC Santa Ana 1st BOCA OC 5th Laguna United 16th ALBION SC Riverside 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 16th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 3rd hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +7
Away
Galway Downs
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
1–1 1.51 2.30 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
03:00 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +9
Away
RJRSP
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.69 2.20 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM
Reds FC
10th · 1-0-2 · GD +0
Away
Orange County Great Park
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
2–1 2.25 2.21 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego
15th · 0-0-2 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
4–1 2.80 2.28 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC
6th · 1-2-0 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.89 2.24 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
CITY SC San Marcos
7th · 1-1-1 · GD +6
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.86 2.20 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
City SC - San Diego
9th · 1-0-2 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.40 2.22 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +10
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
3–1 2.05 2.21 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Strikers FC North
13th · 0-1-2 · GD -5
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
4–0 2.74 2.25 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Laguna United
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -11
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
4–1 2.79 2.29 Bank it
Tue May 25
08:00 AM
Inland Surf
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -5
Home
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
4–1 2.77 2.32 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC Santa Ana 4310 182+16 102.50 WWWD -0.64 +0.03 91% 2.2
2 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 4310 177+10 102.50 WWWD +0.01 -0.16 76% 3.3
3 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 4310 145+9 102.50 WWWD +0.07 -0.16 67% 3.7
4 ALBION SC Riverside 3210 70+7 72.33 WDW -0.46 -0.05 60% 3.9
5 BOCA OC 3210 82+6 72.33 WWD +0.50 -0.24 66% 3.7
6 Total Futbol Academy - OC 3120 52+3 51.67 WDD +0.18 -0.12 18% 6.3
7 CITY SC San Marcos 3111 104+6 41.33 LWD -0.24 -0.06 17% 6.3
8 Elite FC 3111 612-6 41.33 DLW +0.04 +0.01 0% 11.1
9 City SC - San Diego 3102 76+1 31.00 WLL +0.70 -0.23 4% 7.9
10 Reds FC 3102 66+0 31.00 LWL +0.25 -0.10 1% 8.8
11 Inland Surf 3102 611-5 31.00 LWL -0.15 +0.04 0% 11.4
12 City SC Southwest 3102 218-16 31.00 LLW +0.58 -0.02 0% 14.2
13 Strikers FC North 3012 49-5 10.33 DLL -0.72 +0.18 0% 12.9
14 California Football Academy 3003 38-5 00.00 LLL +0.53 -0.11 0% 11.8
15 ALBION SC San Diego 2002 111-10 00.00 LL +0.61 -0.01 0% 14.0
16 Laguna United 3003 213-11 00.00 LLL +0.92 -0.14 0% 14.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.26 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.