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Villarreal Las Vegas Academy

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U16 · 19 teams · Villarreal Las Vegas Academy (all teams)

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19th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
22% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.3
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Dec 6, 11:00 AM

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Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
19th · 0.00 PPG
at
ALBION SC Las Vegas
10th · 0.00 PPG

Aventura Park, Centre Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.6 for, 1.9 against · 1.25 expected points)

Season so farVillarreal Las Vegas AcademyALBION SC Las Vegas
Position19th10th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    ALBION SC Las Vegas average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 1.7); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 34%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Aventura Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Denver Kickers Sports Club sit 18th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Denver Kickers Sports Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Las Vegas game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Villarreal Las Vegas Academy – ALBION SC Las Vegas) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Nov 30 – Sun Dec 6); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG
7th▲ up 12 8th▲ up 11 8th▲ up 11
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd▲ up 17 2nd▲ up 17 3rd▲ up 16
Draw
1.00 PPG
7th▲ up 12 8th▲ up 11 8th▲ up 11
Loss
0.00 PPG
19th— holds 19th— holds 19th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
22% top 4
78% below the top 4
8.3 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 5%
  3. 3rd 8%
  4. 4th 9%
  5. 5th 10%
  6. 6th 10%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 7%
  9. 9th 6%
  10. 10th 7%
  11. 11th 5%
  12. 12th 5%
  13. 13th 5%
  14. 14th 4%
  15. 15th 4%
  16. 16th 3%
  17. 17th 2%
  18. 18th 1%
  19. 19th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Utah Athletic 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.51) Win next game
2 Utah Athletic (North) 2.33 (+2.33) 3rd (1.98) A point next game
3 El Paso Surf 1.75 (+1.75) 2nd (2.05) A point next game
4 Inter Utah SC 1.40 (+1.40) 17th (0.94) A point next game
5 AZ SandSharks 1.14 (+1.14) 16th (1.30) A point next game
6 ALBION SC Utah 0.67 (+0.67) 19th (0.66) Already ahead
7 BVBIA Arizona 0.60 (+0.60) 18th (0.67) Already ahead
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 0.00 (+0.00) 7th (1.38) Already ahead
9 ALBION SC Denver 0.00 (+0.00) 13th (1.34) Already ahead
10 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 15th (1.31) Already ahead
11 BVBIA Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 9th (1.38) Already ahead
12 City SC NOCO 0.00 (+0.00) 10th (1.37) Already ahead
13 Colorado Elevation FC 0.00 (+0.00) 5th (1.41) Already ahead
14 Colorado Rush 0.00 (+0.00) 8th (1.38) Already ahead
15 Colorado Rush - COS 0.00 (+0.00) 11th (1.37) Already ahead
16 Colorado Storm 0.00 (+0.00) 6th (1.41) Already ahead
17 Colorado United 0.00 (+0.00) 14th (1.34) Already ahead
18 Denver Kickers Sports Club 0.00 (+0.00) 12th (1.37) Already ahead

Position over the season

10 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.19 · 19th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Dec 6
11:00 AM
ALBION SC Las Vegas
10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Aventura Park
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 1.25 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Las Vegas
10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.53 1.39 Swing game
Sat Jan 30
11:00 AM
Utah Athletic (North)
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +4
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–1 1.01 1.26 Upside
Sun Jan 31
11:00 AM
Inter Utah SC
4th · 2-1-2 · GD -10
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.25 1.51 Swing game
Sat Feb 13
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
18th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.53 1.51 Swing game
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Utah
6th · 1-1-4 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.79 1.56 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
Inter Utah SC
4th · 2-1-2 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 2.01 1.62 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
01:30 PM
BVBIA Las Vegas
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Chaparral Highschool · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 1.58 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
5th · 2-2-3 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.25 1.54 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
7th · 1-0-4 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.94 1.58 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
BVBIA Las Vegas
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.53 1.58 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
El Paso Surf
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.87 1.52 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
5th · 2-2-3 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.50 1.52 Upside
Sat May 8
01:00 PM
Colorado Rush - COS
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.53 1.52 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Utah Athletic 4400 151+14 123.00 WWWW -0.81 +0.05 99% 1.3
2 Utah Athletic (North) 3210 51+4 72.33 WW +0.14 -0.09 77% 3.6
3 El Paso Surf 4211 113+8 71.75 WDLW -0.15 -0.18 89% 2.9
4 Inter Utah SC 5212 414-10 71.40 DLWWL -0.03 +0.27 0% 15.8
5 AZ SandSharks 7223 88+0 81.14 LLDLW +0.15 +0.02 3% 11.1
6 ALBION SC Utah 6114 917-8 40.67 LLLWL -0.15 +0.51 0% 17.8
7 BVBIA Arizona 5104 412-8 30.60 LWLLL -0.12 +0.20 0% 17.8
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
9 ALBION SC Denver 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.06 ——
10 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.20 ——
11 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.10 ——
12 City SC NOCO 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
13 Colorado Elevation FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.06 ——
14 Colorado Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
15 Colorado Rush - COS 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
16 Colorado Storm 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.06 ——
17 Colorado United 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.06 ——
18 Denver Kickers Sports Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
19 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.19 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.73 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.