TableChase Clubs

Inter Utah SC

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U16 · 19 teams · Inter Utah SC (all teams)

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4th
2-1-2 record · 5 played
1.40 points per game
-10 goal diff · 4–14
DLWWLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 15.8
-0.03 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:00 AM

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Inter Utah SC
4th · 1.40 PPG
vs
AZ SandSharks
5th · 1.14 PPG

Lone Peak High School, Soccer Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.9 for, 1.7 against · 0.84 expected points)

Season so farInter Utah SCAZ SandSharks
Position4th5th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-22-2-3
Points per game1.401.14
Goals for / game0.81.1
Goals against / game2.81.1
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless23
Form (recent first)L W W L DW L D L L
Biggest win2–1 at ALBION SC Utah4–0 at BVBIA Arizona
Worst loss0–8 at El Paso Surf0–3 vs BVBIA Arizona
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.23-0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.03+0.15

Common opponents: ALBION SC Utah — we 1–1, 2–1; they 3–0. Utah Athletic — we 0–4; they 0–2. BVBIA Arizona — we 1–0; they 4–0, 0–3. El Paso Surf — we 0–8; they 0–2, 1–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–4 vs Utah Athletic, 0–8 at El Paso Surf.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 20%; a draw (24%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the AZ SandSharks game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Inter Utah SC – AZ SandSharks) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.17 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1
Win
1.67 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
1.33 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1
Loss
1.17 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we fall to at least 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
15.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th 3%
  12. 12th 4%
  13. 13th 5%
  14. 14th 8%
  15. 15th 10%
  16. 16th 18%
  17. 17th 26%
  18. 18th 16%
  19. 19th 7%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Utah Athletic 3.00 (+1.60) 1st (2.51) 32 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Utah Athletic (North) 2.33 (+0.93) 3rd (1.98) 24 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
3 El Paso Surf 1.75 (+0.35) 2nd (2.05) 16 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection

How the results connect

18 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Inter Utah SC to AZ SandSharks through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
1 even
11 favour them
-1.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 0–3 0–4 2–0 1–0 0–4 1–1 3–0 0–8 2–0 1–1 5–1 0–2 7–1 Inter Utah SC 4th ALBION SC Utah 6th Utah Athletic 1st BVBIA Arizona 7th El Paso Surf 3rd AZ SandSharks 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 10th 19th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.27 · 2nd hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
08:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
5th · 2-2-3 · GD +0
Home
Lone Peak High School
●●●●● Very tough
20%
0–1 0.84 1.31 Upside
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
BVBIA Arizona
7th · 1-0-4 · GD -8
Home
Lone Peak High School
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.44 1.33 Upside
Sat Nov 14
05:00 PM
Utah Athletic
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +14
Away
Lakeside Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–3 0.12 1.18 Upside
Sat Nov 21
02:00 PM
Utah Athletic (North)
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +4
Away
Murray Park Turf Fields · turf
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–2 0.34 1.08 Upside
Sat Jan 30
01:30 PM
BVBIA Las Vegas
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Chaparral Highschool · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.58 1.03 Upside
Sun Jan 31
11:00 AM
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
19th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.58 0.99 Upside
Sun Feb 28
11:00 AM
Utah Athletic (North)
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +4
Home
Lone Peak High School
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.47 0.95 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
Villarreal Las Vegas Academy
19th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.79 0.94 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Utah Athletic 4400 151+14 123.00 WWWW -0.81 +0.05 100% 1.3
2 Utah Athletic (North) 3210 51+4 72.33 WW +0.14 -0.09 77% 3.6
3 El Paso Surf 4211 113+8 71.75 WDLW -0.15 -0.18 87% 2.9
4 Inter Utah SC 5212 414-10 71.40 DLWWL -0.03 +0.27 0% 15.8
5 AZ SandSharks 7223 88+0 81.14 LLDLW +0.15 +0.02 3% 11.0
6 ALBION SC Utah 6114 917-8 40.67 LLLWL -0.15 +0.51 0% 17.9
7 BVBIA Arizona 5104 412-8 30.60 LWLLL -0.12 +0.20 0% 17.8
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
9 ALBION SC Denver 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.06 ——
10 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.20 ——
11 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.10 ——
12 City SC NOCO 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
13 Colorado Elevation FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.06 ——
14 Colorado Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
15 Colorado Rush - COS 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
16 Colorado Storm 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.06 ——
17 Colorado United 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.06 ——
18 Denver Kickers Sports Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
19 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.19 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.73 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.