TableChase Clubs

Colorado Storm

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U16 · 19 teams · Colorado Storm (all teams)

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16th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
13% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.6
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Dec 19, 10:00 AM

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Colorado Storm
16th · 0.00 PPG
at
Colorado Elevation FC
13th · 0.00 PPG

South Suburban Parks & Rec (SSPR): David A. Lo, Middle Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.6 for, 1.9 against · 1.25 expected points)

Season so farColorado StormColorado Elevation FC
Position16th13th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Colorado Elevation FC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 1.7); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 34%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:00 AM at South Suburban Parks & Rec (SSPR): David A. Lo.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Colorado Rush - COS sit 15th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Colorado Rush - COS on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado Elevation FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm – Colorado Elevation FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Dec 14 – Sun Dec 20); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG
7th▲ up 9 7th▲ up 9 7th▲ up 9
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd▲ up 14 2nd▲ up 14 2nd▲ up 14
Draw
1.00 PPG
7th▲ up 9 7th▲ up 9 7th▲ up 9
Loss
0.00 PPG
19th▼ down 3 19th▼ down 3 19th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
13% top 4
87% below the top 4
9.6 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 4%
  4. 4th 8%
  5. 5th 7%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 8%
  10. 10th 7%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 8%
  13. 13th 7%
  14. 14th 6%
  15. 15th 5%
  16. 16th 4%
  17. 17th 3%
  18. 18th 2%
  19. 19th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Utah Athletic 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.51) Win next game
2 Utah Athletic (North) 2.33 (+2.33) 3rd (1.98) A point next game
3 El Paso Surf 1.75 (+1.75) 2nd (2.05) A point next game
4 Inter Utah SC 1.40 (+1.40) 17th (0.94) A point next game
5 AZ SandSharks 1.14 (+1.14) 16th (1.30) A point next game
6 ALBION SC Utah 0.67 (+0.67) 19th (0.66) Already ahead
7 BVBIA Arizona 0.60 (+0.60) 18th (0.67) Already ahead
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 0.00 (+0.00) 7th (1.38) Already ahead
9 ALBION SC Denver 0.00 (+0.00) 13th (1.34) Already ahead
10 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 15th (1.31) Already ahead
11 BVBIA Las Vegas 0.00 (+0.00) 9th (1.38) Already ahead
12 City SC NOCO 0.00 (+0.00) 10th (1.37) Already ahead
13 Colorado Elevation FC 0.00 (+0.00) 5th (1.41) Already ahead
14 Colorado Rush 0.00 (+0.00) 8th (1.38) Already ahead
15 Colorado Rush - COS 0.00 (+0.00) 11th (1.37) Already ahead

Position over the season

10 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.06 · 16th hardest of 19

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Dec 19
10:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
South Suburban Parks & Rec (SSPR): David A. Lo
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 1.25 Upside
Sat Jan 23
11:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Douglas County Fairgrounds
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.53 1.39 Swing game
Sun Jan 24
11:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
18th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Douglas County Fairgrounds
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.53 1.44 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 1.39 Upside
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver
9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 1.36 Upside
Sat Feb 20
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 1.34 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 1.33 Upside
Sat Feb 27
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 1.32 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Denver Kickers Sports Club
18th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 1.31 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
AZ SandSharks
5th · 2-2-3 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.25 1.31 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
BVBIA Arizona
7th · 1-0-4 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.94 1.36 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.53 1.38 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
11:00 AM
Colorado United
17th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
Cornerstone Park · turf
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.25 1.37 Upside
Sat Apr 3
11:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver
9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Douglas County Fairgrounds
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.53 1.38 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Colorado United
17th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.53 1.39 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.53 1.40 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.53 1.41 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.53 1.41 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Utah Athletic 4400 151+14 123.00 WWWW -0.81 +0.05 100% 1.3
2 Utah Athletic (North) 3210 51+4 72.33 WW +0.14 -0.09 78% 3.6
3 El Paso Surf 4211 113+8 71.75 WDLW -0.15 -0.18 88% 2.9
4 Inter Utah SC 5212 414-10 71.40 DLWWL -0.03 +0.27 0% 15.7
5 AZ SandSharks 7223 88+0 81.14 LLDLW +0.15 +0.02 2% 11.0
6 ALBION SC Utah 6114 917-8 40.67 LLLWL -0.15 +0.51 0% 17.8
7 BVBIA Arizona 5104 412-8 30.60 LWLLL -0.12 +0.20 0% 17.7
8 ALBION SC Boulder County 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
9 ALBION SC Denver 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.06 ——
10 ALBION SC Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.20 ——
11 BVBIA Las Vegas 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.10 ——
12 City SC NOCO 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
13 Colorado Elevation FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.06 ——
14 Colorado Rush 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
15 Colorado Rush - COS 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
16 Colorado Storm 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.06 ——
17 Colorado United 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.06 ——
18 Denver Kickers Sports Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
19 Villarreal Las Vegas Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.19 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.73 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.