TableChase Clubs

Los Angeles SC

Elite Academy League · Southwest U12 · 15 teams · Los Angeles SC (all teams)

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2nd
1-0-0 record · 1 played
3.00 points per game
+3 goal diff · 3–0
Wlast 1
21% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.0
-2.03 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:30 AM

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Los Angeles SC
2nd · 3.00 PPG
vs
Total Futbol Academy
10th · 0.33 PPG

Fremont Park, Fremont Park (9v9) ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.3 for, 1.4 against · 1.93 expected points)

Season so farLos Angeles SCTotal Futbol Academy
Position2nd10th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-00-1-2
Points per game3.000.33
Goals for / game3.01.0
Goals against / game0.02.0
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)WL D L
Biggest win3–0 at ALBION SC Riverside—
Worst loss—0–2 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.54-0.23
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-2.03+1.54

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Total Futbol Academy average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 1 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 58% / draw 20% / loss 22%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC Santa Monica sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.

    A win moves us above ALBION SC Santa Monica on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Total Futbol Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Los Angeles SC – Total Futbol Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
2nd— holds 1st▲ up 1 2nd— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd— holds 1st▲ up 1 2nd— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG
6th▼ down 4 6th▼ down 4 6th▼ down 4
Loss
1.50 PPG
7th▼ down 5 7th▼ down 5 8th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
21% top 4
79% below the top 4
6.0 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 4%
  4. 4th 14%
  5. 5th 19%
  6. 6th 22%
  7. 7th 17%
  8. 8th 11%
  9. 9th 6%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th
  15. 15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 ALBION SC Santa Monica 3.00 (+0.00) 2nd (2.39) Win next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 4 teams

Paths of results that link Los Angeles SC to Total Futbol Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
0 favour them
+0.0 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 0–3 1–1 Los Angeles SC 2nd ALBION SC Riverside 14th Laguna United 3rd Total Futbol Academy 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 2nd hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 17
01:00 PM
no score posted
ALBION SC Los Angeles
11th · 0-1-2 · GD -9
Away
Bell Gardens Sports Center - John Anson Ford Park
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.09 2.55 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
09:30 AM
Total Futbol Academy
10th · 0-1-2 · GD -3
Home
Fremont Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.93 2.34 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
10:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego
6th · 5-0-2 · GD +23
Away
Robb Athletic Field
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.64 1.92 Upside
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Home
Charter Oak High School · grass
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–2 1.80 1.89 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM
Chula Vista FC
7th · 1-2-0 · GD +1
Home
Charter Oak High School · grass
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.75 1.87 Swing game
Sat Dec 5
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Monica
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.70 1.70 Upside
Sat Dec 12
09:30 AM
Laguna United
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +5
Home
Fremont Park
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.31 1.65 Upside
Sat Jan 9
12:00 AM
Reds FC
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +19
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.51 1.53 Upside
Sat Jan 16
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
9th · 0-2-1 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 2.00 1.57 Swing game
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
LA Surf Futures
13th · 0-0-2 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.45 1.65 Bank it
Sat Jan 30
12:00 AM
City SC - San Diego
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +6
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.17 1.61 Upside
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
City SC Southwest
15th · 0-0-3 · GD -31
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
5–1 2.87 1.71 Bank it
Thu May 27
10:30 AM
Oaks FC
12th · 0-0-2 · GD -4
Home
Charter Oak High School · grass
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.15 1.74 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC Santa Monica 3300 111+10 93.00 WWW +0.37 -0.34 95% 2.2
2 Los Angeles SC 1100 30+3 33.00 W -2.03 +0.02 21% 6.0
3 Laguna United 4310 72+5 102.50 WDWW +0.15 -0.27 63% 4.2
4 Reds FC 4301 234+19 92.25 WWLW -0.46 -0.22 97% 1.9
5 City SC Los Angeles 4301 1512+3 92.25 WLWW -0.76 +0.15 12% 6.5
6 ALBION SC San Diego 7502 3512+23 152.14 LWWLW -0.14 -0.37 95% 2.7
7 Chula Vista FC 3120 54+1 51.67 DWD -0.27 -0.03 4% 7.7
8 City SC - San Diego 5212 159+6 71.40 LWLD +0.27 -0.30 13% 6.3
9 FC Golden State Force 3021 46-2 20.67 DDL -0.23 -0.01 0% 10.2
10 Total Futbol Academy 3012 36-3 10.33 LDL +1.54 -0.51 1% 9.3
11 ALBION SC Los Angeles 3012 514-9 10.33 LD +1.03 -0.19 0% 11.4
12 Oaks FC 2002 37-4 00.00 LL +1.34 -0.26 0% 10.7
13 LA Surf Futures 2002 19-8 00.00 LL +0.87 -0.14 0% 12.3
14 ALBION SC Riverside 3003 013-13 00.00 LLL +0.67 -0.11 0% 13.6
15 City SC Southwest 3003 031-31 00.00 LLL +1.71 -0.18 0% 14.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.30 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.