Chula Vista FC

Elite Academy League · Southwest U12 · 15 teams · Chula Vista FC (all teams)

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7th

1-2-0 record · 3 played

1.67 points per game

+1 goal diff · 5–4

DWDlast 3

4% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.7

-0.27 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:30 PM

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Chula Vista FC
7th · 1.67 PPG

City SC Southwest
15th · 0.00 PPG

Los Alamos Hills Sport Park, Field 2, 9v9 turf ↗ · turf

90%

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.5 for, 1.1 against · 2.76 expected points)

Season so far	Chula Vista FC	City SC Southwest
Position	7th	15th
Record (W-D-L)	1-2-0	0-0-3
Points per game	1.67	0.00
Goals for / game	1.7	0.0
Goals against / game	1.3	10.3
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	3
Form (recent first)	D W D	L L L
Biggest win	2–1 at LA Surf Futures	—
Worst loss	—	0–13 at ALBION SC San Diego
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.10	-4.27
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.27	+1.71

Game plan

They struggle to score
City SC Southwest average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 3 of 3.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
They leak goals — be greedy
City SC Southwest concede 10.3/game; worst result 0–13 at ALBION SC San Diego.
Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 90% chance; likely score 4–1.
Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
Confidence is low on their side
City SC Southwest have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).
Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
Away game
Kickoff 04:30 PM at Los Alamos Hills Sport Park.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the City SC Southwest game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chula Vista FC – City SC Southwest) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.00 PPG	7th— holds	5th▲ up 2	7th— holds
Win 2.00 PPG	7th— holds	6th▲ up 1	7th— holds
Draw 1.50 PPG	7th— holds	7th— holds	8th▼ down 1
Loss 1.25 PPG	8th▼ down 1	8th▼ down 1	9th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

4% top 4

96% below the top 4

7.7 average finish

1st <1%
2nd <1%
3rd <1%
4th 3%
5th 8%
6th 13%
7th 20%
8th 23%
9th 16%
10th 9%
11th 5%
12th 2%
13th 1%
14th
15th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.71 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	ALBION SC Santa Monica	3.00 (+1.33)	2nd (2.39)	37 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
2	Los Angeles SC	3.00 (+1.33)	5th (1.74)	37 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
3	Laguna United	2.50 (+0.83)	4th (2.04)	30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
4	Reds FC	2.25 (+0.58)	1st (2.42)	27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
5	City SC Los Angeles	2.25 (+0.58)	7th (1.66)	27 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
6	ALBION SC San Diego	2.14 (+0.47)	3rd (2.27)	25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection

How the results connect

2 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Chula Vista FC to City SC Southwest through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us

0 favour them

+8.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.03 · 4th hardest of 15

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 04:30 PM	City SC Southwest 15th · 0-0-3 · GD -31	Away Los Alamos Hills Sport Park · turf	●○○○○ Favorable	90%	4–1	2.76	1.94	Bank it
Sat Nov 7 12:00 AM	ALBION SC San Diego 6th · 5-0-2 · GD +23	Home TBD	●●●●● Very tough	19%	1–3	0.71	1.69	Upside
Sat Nov 14 01:00 PM	Laguna United 3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +5	Away Marina Hills Soccer Fields	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–1	0.90	1.56	Upside
Sat Nov 21 09:00 AM	Los Angeles SC 2nd · 1-0-0 · GD +3	Away Charter Oak High School · grass	●●●●○ Tough	28%	1–2	1.04	1.49	Upside
Sat Dec 5 10:45 AM	City SC Los Angeles 5th · 3-0-1 · GD +3	Home Terra Nova Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	44%	2–2	1.52	1.49	Swing game
Sat Dec 12 09:00 AM	ALBION SC Los Angeles 11th · 0-1-2 · GD -9	Away Bell Gardens Sports Center - John Anson Ford Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	55%	2–1	1.84	1.53	Swing game
Sat Jan 9 12:00 AM	ALBION SC Riverside 14th · 0-0-3 · GD -13	Home TBD	●○○○○ Favorable	79%	3–0	2.48	1.62	Bank it
Sat Jan 16 12:00 AM	Total Futbol Academy 10th · 0-1-2 · GD -3	Away TBD	●●●●○ Tough	40%	1–1	1.43	1.61	Upside
Sat Jan 30 12:00 AM	Oaks FC 12th · 0-0-2 · GD -4	Home TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	57%	2–1	1.90	1.63	Swing game
Sat Feb 6 12:00 AM	ALBION SC Santa Monica 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +10	Home TBD	●●●●● Very tough	19%	1–2	0.76	1.56	Upside
Tue May 25 12:00 AM	Reds FC 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +19	Away Brywood Park	●●●●● Very tough	9%	1–3	0.39	1.48	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

ALBION SC Santa Monica

+10

3.00

WWW

+0.37

-0.34

95%

2.3

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Reds FC (4th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	LA Surf Futures (13th)	7–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC San Diego · Sat Nov 7 vs Laguna United · Sat Nov 14 vs ALBION SC Riverside See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Laguna United (3rd)	1–1	54%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (14th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	City SC - San Diego (8th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Oaks FC (12th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	3–1	67%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	City SC Southwest (15th)	7–0	99%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Chula Vista FC (7th)	2–1	62%
·	Tue May 25	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	4–1	89%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Los Angeles SC

3.00

-2.03

+0.02

21%

6.0

Sat Sep 12

ALBION SC Riverside (14th)

3–0

Next: Sat Oct 17 at ALBION SC Los Angeles · Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy · Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC San Diego See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	3–1	65%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	1–3	17%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	2–2	54%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Chula Vista FC (7th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Laguna United (3rd)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Reds FC (4th)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	LA Surf Futures (13th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	City SC - San Diego (8th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	City SC Southwest (15th)	5–1	94%
·	Thu May 27	vs	Oaks FC (12th)	2–1	66%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Laguna United

2.50

WDWW

+0.15

-0.27

64%

4.2

W	Sat Oct 17	at	ALBION SC Riverside (14th)	3–0
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	2–1
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	City SC - San Diego (8th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at LA Surf Futures · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sat Nov 14 vs Chula Vista FC See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	LA Surf Futures (13th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	1–1	23%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Chula Vista FC (7th)	1–1	54%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Reds FC (4th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Oaks FC (12th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	City SC Southwest (15th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	2–0	62%
·	Tue May 25	vs	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	2–1	59%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Reds FC

+19

2.25

WWLW

-0.46

-0.22

97%

1.9

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	City SC Southwest (15th)	10–0
L	Sat Oct 10	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	8–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at City SC - San Diego · Sun Oct 25 at City SC Los Angeles · Sat Nov 14 vs Total Futbol Academy See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	City SC - San Diego (8th)	3–1	63%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	4–2	76%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	3–1	84%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Laguna United (3rd)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	LA Surf Futures (13th)	5–1	95%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Oaks FC (12th)	4–1	84%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	3–1	74%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	ALBION SC Riverside (14th)	5–0	95%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	3–1	79%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Chula Vista FC (7th)	3–1	79%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

City SC Los Angeles

2.25

WLWW

-0.76

+0.15

11%

6.6

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	City SC Southwest (15th)	8–0
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	1–9
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Oaks FC (12th)	3–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Reds FC · Sat Nov 14 at Los Angeles SC · Sun Nov 22 vs ALBION SC Los Angeles See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Reds FC (4th)	2–4	13%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	2–2	29%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	4–2	73%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Chula Vista FC (7th)	2–2	37%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (14th)	4–1	87%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	City SC - San Diego (8th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	LA Surf Futures (13th)	3–2	67%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	1–3	19%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	2–2	44%
·	Tue May 25	at	Laguna United (3rd)	1–2	23%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC San Diego

+23

2.14

LWWLW

-0.14

-0.37

95%

2.6

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Oaks FC (12th)	4–1
L	Sun Oct 11	at	Laguna United (3rd)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	City SC - San Diego (8th)	4–2
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	City SC Southwest (15th)	13–0
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Reds FC (4th)	1–4
W	Sun Sep 13	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	9–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sun Oct 25 vs Los Angeles SC · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Riverside See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	2–2	45%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	3–1	69%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (14th)	6–0	97%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	LA Surf Futures (13th)	5–1	90%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Chula Vista FC (7th)	3–1	66%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	6–1	93%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	3–1	75%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Chula Vista FC

1.67

DWD

-0.27

-0.03

7.7

D	Sat Oct 17	vs	City SC - San Diego (8th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	LA Surf Futures (13th)	2–1
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	2–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at City SC Southwest · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC San Diego · Sat Nov 14 at Laguna United See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	City SC Southwest (15th)	4–1	90%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	1–3	19%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Laguna United (3rd)	1–1	22%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	2–2	44%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (14th)	3–0	79%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Oaks FC (12th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	1–2	19%
·	Tue May 25	at	Reds FC (4th)	1–3	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

City SC - San Diego

1.40

LWLD

+0.27

-0.30

13%

6.3

D	Sat Oct 17	at	Chula Vista FC (7th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 27	at	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	2–4
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (14th)	7–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Laguna United (3rd)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Reds FC · Sun Oct 25 vs LA Surf Futures · Sat Oct 31 vs City SC Southwest See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Reds FC (4th)	1–3	21%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	LA Surf Futures (13th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	City SC Southwest (15th)	6–0	98%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Oaks FC (12th)	2–1	60%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Golden State Force

-2

0.67

DDL

-0.23

-0.01

10.2

L	Sat Oct 17	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	1–3
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	1–1
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Chula Vista FC (7th)	2–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC Riverside · Sat Nov 7 at Oaks FC · Sat Nov 14 vs City SC Southwest See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (14th)	2–1	72%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Oaks FC (12th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	City SC Southwest (15th)	4–1	91%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	City SC - San Diego (8th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Laguna United (3rd)	0–2	17%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Reds FC (4th)	1–3	9%
·	Tue May 25	at	LA Surf Futures (13th)	2–1	51%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Total Futbol Academy

-3

0.33

LDL

+1.54

-0.51

9.2

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	0–2
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Laguna United (3rd)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Los Angeles SC · Sat Nov 7 vs City SC - San Diego · Sat Nov 14 at Reds FC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	City SC - San Diego (8th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Reds FC (4th)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	LA Surf Futures (13th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–1	45%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	City SC Southwest (15th)	4–1	86%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Chula Vista FC (7th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	ALBION SC Riverside (14th)	2–1	65%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Oaks FC (12th)	2–1	50%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Los Angeles

-9

0.33

+1.03

-0.19

11.4

D	Sat Sep 19	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Reds FC (4th)	1–8

Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Los Angeles SC · Sat Oct 24 vs Oaks FC · Sat Nov 7 vs City SC Southwest See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	vs	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	1–3	20%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Oaks FC (12th)	2–2	39%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	City SC Southwest (15th)	5–1	89%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	1–6	3%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	2–4	15%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Chula Vista FC (7th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Laguna United (3rd)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	City SC - San Diego (8th)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	ALBION SC Riverside (14th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	LA Surf Futures (13th)	2–2	53%
·	Tue May 25	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	1–4	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Oaks FC

-4

0.00

+1.34

-0.26

10.8

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	1–4
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Los Angeles · Sat Nov 7 vs FC Golden State Force · Sat Nov 14 at LA Surf Futures See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	LA Surf Futures (13th)	2–2	48%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	City SC Southwest (15th)	4–1	85%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Reds FC (4th)	1–4	7%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Laguna United (3rd)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (14th)	3–1	71%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Chula Vista FC (7th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	City SC - San Diego (8th)	1–2	23%
·	Tue May 25	at	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	1–2	29%
·	Thu May 27	at	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	1–2	18%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LA Surf Futures

-8

0.00

+0.87

-0.14

12.3

L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Chula Vista FC (7th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 13	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	0–7

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Laguna United · Sun Oct 25 at City SC - San Diego · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC San Diego See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Laguna United (3rd)	1–2	13%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	City SC - San Diego (8th)	1–3	9%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	1–5	5%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	ALBION SC Riverside (14th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Oaks FC (12th)	2–2	33%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	1–2	27%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Reds FC (4th)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	City SC Southwest (15th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	2–3	19%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	2–2	29%
·	Tue May 25	vs	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–2	29%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Riverside

-13

0.00

LLL

+0.67

-0.11

13.6

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Laguna United (3rd)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	at	City SC - San Diego (8th)	0–7
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	0–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Golden State Force · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC San Diego · Sat Nov 7 vs LA Surf Futures See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	0–6	1%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	LA Surf Futures (13th)	1–2	31%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	City SC Southwest (15th)	3–1	69%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	1–4	6%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Chula Vista FC (7th)	0–3	9%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Reds FC (4th)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Oaks FC (12th)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	1–2	17%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

City SC Southwest

-31

0.00

LLL

+1.71

-0.18

14.8

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Reds FC (4th)	0–10
L	Sat Sep 26	at	ALBION SC San Diego (6th)	0–13
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	City SC Los Angeles (5th)	0–8

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Chula Vista FC · Sat Oct 31 at City SC - San Diego · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Los Angeles See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Chula Vista FC (7th)	1–4	4%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	City SC - San Diego (8th)	0–6	1%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	ALBION SC Los Angeles (11th)	1–5	5%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	FC Golden State Force (9th)	1–4	4%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Oaks FC (12th)	1–4	7%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	ALBION SC Riverside (14th)	1–3	17%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Total Futbol Academy (10th)	1–4	6%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	LA Surf Futures (13th)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Laguna United (3rd)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	ALBION SC Santa Monica (1st)	0–7	0%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Los Angeles SC (2nd)	1–5	2%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.30 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.