Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Utah GU12 · 8 teams · Utah Avalanche (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 35 minutes ago.

Add schedule to calendar

1st

7-0-0 record · 7 played

3.00 points per game

+13 goal diff · 18–5

WWWWWlast 5

100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.2

-0.20 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:30 AM

Open the match preview →

Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1
1st · 3.00 PPG

Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1
7th · 0.40 PPG

Rockwell Training Facility, Field 1 ↗

77% 16%

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.3 for, 0.5 against · 2.47 expected points)

Season so far	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1
Position	1st	7th
Record (W-D-L)	7-0-0	0-2-3
Points per game	3.00	0.40
Goals for / game	2.6	0.2
Goals against / game	0.7	2.2
Clean sheets	3	2
Held scoreless	0	4
Form (recent first)	W W W W W	D D L L L
Biggest win	3–1 vs La Roca FC Pre South	—
Worst loss	—	0–4 vs Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+1.17	-1.24
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.20	-0.18

Common opponents: La Roca FC Pre South — we 3–1, 1–0; they 0–3. Idaho Rush Pre- Blue — we 4–2; they 1–4. Utah Surf PRE Blue — we 2–0, 3–1; they 0–0. La Roca FC Pre North T1 — we 2–0; they 0–0.

Game plan

They struggle to score
Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 average 0.2 goals/game (league avg 2.0); blanked in 4 of 5.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 77% chance; likely score 2–0.
Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
Away game
Kickoff 10:30 AM at Rockwell Training Facility.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 – Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 3.00 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Win 3.00 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Draw 2.75 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Loss 2.63 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

83% finish 1st

100% top 4

0% below the top 4

1.2 average finish

1st 83%
2nd 14%
3rd 3%
4th <1%
5th <1%
6th
7th
8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

33 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 to Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

28 favour us

3 even

2 favour them

+4.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.12 · 7th hardest of 8

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Fri Mar 20 TBD no score posted	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue 6th · 3-0-5 · GD -4	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	76%	3–1	2.42	2.93	Bank it
Fri Apr 24 TBD no score posted	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue 6th · 3-0-5 · GD -4	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	76%	3–1	2.42	2.87	Bank it
Sat Oct 24 10:30 AM	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 7th · 0-2-3 · GD -10	Away Rockwell Training Facility	●○○○○ Favorable	77%	2–0	2.47	2.83	Bank it
Sat Nov 7 TBD	La Roca FC Pre South 3rd · 4-1-2 · GD +9	Away	●●●●○ Tough	39%	1–1	1.41	2.70	Upside
Sat Nov 14 10:30 AM	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 7th · 0-2-3 · GD -10	Home Rockwell Training Facility	●○○○○ Favorable	83%	2–0	2.61	2.69	Bank it
Sat Nov 21 TBD	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I 5th · 3-1-3 · GD +2	Away	●●○○○ Lean win	59%	2–1	1.97	2.64	Swing game
Sat Mar 13 TBD	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I 5th · 3-1-3 · GD +2	Home	●●○○○ Lean win	69%	2–1	2.22	2.61	Swing game
Sat Mar 20 10:30 AM	Boise Thorns Pre- One 2nd · 4-1-1 · GD +12	Home Corner Canyon High School	●●●○○ Toss-up	54%	2–1	1.82	2.56	Swing game
Sat Apr 3 TBD	La Roca FC Pre North T1 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	53%	1–1	1.82	2.51	Swing game
Sat Apr 10 TBD	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 7th · 0-2-3 · GD -10	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	83%	2–0	2.61	2.52	Bank it
Sun Apr 11 TBD	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I 5th · 3-1-3 · GD +2	Away	●●○○○ Lean win	59%	2–1	1.97	2.49	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 TBD	La Roca FC Pre North T1 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +7	Away	●●●○○ Toss-up	44%	1–1	1.58	2.44	Swing game
Sat Apr 24 TBD	Boise Thorns Pre- One 2nd · 4-1-1 · GD +12	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	54%	2–1	1.82	2.41	Swing game
Sat May 15 TBD	Utah Surf PRE Blue 8th · 0-1-8 · GD -29	Away	●○○○○ Favorable	89%	4–0	2.74	2.42	Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1

+13

3.00

WWWWW

-0.20

-0.12

100%

1.2

W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	4–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	3–1
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	3–1

Next: Fri Mar 20 vs Idaho Rush Pre- Blue · Fri Apr 24 vs Idaho Rush Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 24 at Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Mar 20 (no score yet)	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	3–1	76%
·	Fri Apr 24 (no score yet)	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	2–0	77%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	2–0	83%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	2–1	69%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	1–1	53%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	2–0	83%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	2–1	54%
·	Sat May 15	at	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	4–0	89%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Boise Thorns Pre- One

+12

2.17

WWDWW

-0.51

-0.06

98%

2.5

W	Fri Oct 23	vs	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	9–1
W	Sat Oct 17	at	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	2–1
D	Sat Oct 17	at	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	2–2
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	4–3
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	5–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	1–3

Next: Fri Mar 20 at Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 · Fri Apr 24 at Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 · Sat Sep 12 vs Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Mar 20 (no score yet)	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	2–0	80%
·	Fri Apr 24 (no score yet)	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	2–0	80%
·	Sat Sep 12 (no score yet)	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	3–0	86%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	6–1	94%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	2–2	42%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	3–2	65%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	4–1	75%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	1–2	26%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	3–2	66%
·	Sat May 1	vs	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat May 8	vs	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	3–2	66%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

La Roca FC Pre South

1.86

WDWLW

+0.16

-0.31

97%

2.8

W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	2–1
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	4–0
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	Boise Thorns Pre- Two (—)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	5–1
L	Sat Aug 29	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 17 at Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 · Sat Oct 24 at Idaho Rush Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 24 at Boise Thorns Pre- One See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	2–0	75%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	2–2	38%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	2–2	38%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	1–1	48%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	4–1	87%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	4–0	92%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	2–0	81%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat May 8	at	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	4–1	87%
·	Sat May 15	at	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	2–1	54%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

La Roca FC Pre North T1

1.67

WLDWL

-0.20

+0.01

83%

3.7

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	1–2
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	2–0
D	Fri Oct 2	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	0–2
W	Tue Sep 15	at	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	5–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	6–2

Next: Sat Oct 10 vs Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 · Sat Oct 24 vs Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I · Sat Nov 7 vs Utah Surf PRE Blue See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 10 (no score yet)	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	2–0	77%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	4–1	89%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	1–1	28%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	1–1	24%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	3–1	83%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	1–1	37%
·	Sat May 1	at	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat May 1	at	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	1–2	32%
·	Sat May 8	at	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat May 8	at	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	1–2	32%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	2–0	77%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I

1.43

WWLDW

+0.01

+0.10

20%

4.9

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	2–1
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	2–2
L	Sat Oct 10	at	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	4–0
W	Thu Sep 17	vs	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	8–2
L	Tue Sep 15	vs	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	1–5

Next: Sat Oct 24 at La Roca FC Pre North T1 · Sat Nov 7 vs Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 · Sat Nov 21 vs Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	2–0	75%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	1–2	15%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	2–1	67%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	4–1	78%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	4–1	86%
·	Sat May 1	at	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	2–3	20%
·	Sat May 8	at	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	2–3	20%
·	Sat May 15	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	1–2	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Idaho Rush Pre- Blue

-4

1.13

LLLLW

-0.21

+0.29

5.9

W	Fri Oct 23	vs	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	3–1
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	1–2
L	Sat Oct 17	at	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	0–2
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	3–4
L	Sat Sep 26	at	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	5–4
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	2–4
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	4–1

Next: Fri Mar 20 at Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 · Fri Apr 24 at Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 · Sat Oct 24 vs La Roca FC Pre South See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Mar 20 (no score yet)	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	1–3	10%
·	Fri Apr 24 (no score yet)	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	4–1	78%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	2–3	21%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	1–4	13%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat May 1	vs	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat May 8	vs	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	1–2	25%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1

-10

0.40

LLLDD

-0.18

+0.33

7.1

D	Sat Oct 3	vs	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	0–0
D	Fri Oct 2	vs	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	1–4

Next: Fri Mar 20 vs Boise Thorns Pre- One · Fri Apr 24 vs Boise Thorns Pre- One · Sat Sep 12 at Boise Thorns Pre- One See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Mar 20 (no score yet)	vs	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	0–2	8%
·	Fri Apr 24 (no score yet)	vs	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Sep 12 (no score yet)	at	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Oct 10 (no score yet)	at	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	0–2	7%
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	0–2	7%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	0–2	10%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	0–2	5%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Utah Surf PRE Blue (8th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	1–2	15%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	0–2	5%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	0–2	6%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat May 15	at	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	0–2	7%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Utah Surf PRE Blue

-29

0.11

LDLLL

+0.37

+0.33

7.8

L	Fri Oct 23	at	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	1–9
L	Fri Oct 23	at	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	1–3
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	1–3
D	Sat Oct 3	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	4–5
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	0–2
L	Thu Sep 17	at	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	2–8
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	2–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Boise Thorns Pre- One · Sat Oct 24 at Idaho Rush Pre- Blue · Sat Nov 7 at La Roca FC Pre North T1 See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Boise Thorns Pre- One (2nd)	1–6	2%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Idaho Rush Pre- Blue (6th)	1–4	11%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	1–4	4%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Utah Avalanche Pre- South Tanner T1 (7th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	0–4	3%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	La Roca FC Pre North T1 (4th)	1–3	8%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	1–4	11%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Utah Avalanche NUU Avalanche Pre- I (5th)	1–4	7%
·	Sat May 8	vs	La Roca FC Pre South (3rd)	1–4	5%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Utah Avalanche Pre- Scott T1 (1st)	0–4	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.04 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.