North FC Pre- West
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Ohio Valley GU12 (2014-2015) · 6 teams · T3 Futbol Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM
Victory Sports Park, Field 2 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 3.0 against · 0.40 expected points)
| Season so far | North FC Pre- West | Internationals SC Pre- Blue |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-1-7 | 5-1-2 |
| Points per game | 0.13 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.6 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L D L L | L W W W D |
| Biggest win | — | 3–0 at GTFC Impact Girls Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at GTFC Impact Girls Pre | 0–2 at Cleveland Force Pre- White |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.53 | +0.56 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.28 | -0.03 |
Already played this season: Fri Sep 11 2–3 at Internationals SC Pre- Blue (L)
Common opponents: Manta Pre — we 0–2, 1–1; they 2–0, 4–2. GTFC Impact Girls Pre — we 0–4; they 3–0, 3–4. Cleveland Force Pre- White — we 0–3, 0–1; they 0–2, 2–1. Pacesetter SC Red — we 1–4, 1–5; they 1–1.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–2 at Manta Pre, 0–4 at GTFC Impact Girls Pre, 0–3 at Cleveland Force Pre- White, 0–1 at Cleveland Force Pre- White.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 9%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Internationals SC Pre- Blue game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (North FC Pre- West – Internationals SC Pre- Blue) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.11 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Win 0.44 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Draw 0.22 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Loss 0.11 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th 1%
- 6th 99%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 0.70 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GTFC Impact Girls Pre | 2.00 (+1.87) | 2nd (1.93) | 19 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Internationals SC Pre- Blue | 2.00 (+1.87) | 1st (1.96) | 19 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Cleveland Force Pre- White | 1.89 (+1.76) | 3rd (1.83) | 18 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Pacesetter SC Red | 1.88 (+1.75) | 4th (1.81) | 18 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Manta Pre | 0.60 (+0.47) | 5th (0.60) | 5 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 5 for their projection |
How the results connect
76 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link North FC Pre- West to Internationals SC Pre- Blue through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
14 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.58 · 3rd hardest of 5
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM |
Internationals SC Pre- Blue 2nd · 5-1-2 · GD +6 |
Home Victory Sports Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
0–2 | 0.40 | 0.16 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 01:00 PM |
GTFC Impact Girls Pre 1st · 4-2-1 · GD +7 |
Home T3 Lorain |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
0–3 | 0.39 | 0.18 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | GTFC Impact Girls Pre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 14 | 2.00 | WWDLW | -0.06 | -0.05 | 100% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 30 vs Pacesetter SC Red · Sat Oct 31 at North FC Pre- West · Sun Nov 1 vs Cleveland Force Pre- White See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Internationals SC Pre- Blue | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 16 | 2.00 | DWWWL | -0.03 | -0.35 | 100% | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pacesetter SC Red · Sun Oct 25 at North FC Pre- West See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Cleveland Force Pre- White | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 17 | 1.89 | WWDWD | -0.19 | +0.60 | 100% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at GTFC Impact Girls Pre See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Pacesetter SC Red | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 15 | 1.88 | DWWLD | -0.32 | +0.58 | 100% | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Internationals SC Pre- Blue · Fri Oct 30 at GTFC Impact Girls Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Manta Pre | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 6 | 0.60 | LLDLD | +0.19 | — | 0% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 6 | North FC Pre- West | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 1 | 0.13 | LLDLL | +0.28 | +0.58 | 0% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Internationals SC Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 31 vs GTFC Impact Girls Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.69 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.