Cleveland Force Pre- White

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Ohio Valley GU12 (2014-2015) · 6 teams · Cleveland Force SC (all teams)

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3rd

5-2-2 record · 9 played

1.89 points per game

+8 goal diff · 15–7

WWDWDlast 5

100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.8

-0.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 11:30 AM

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Cleveland Force Pre- White
3rd · 1.89 PPG

GTFC Impact Girls Pre
1st · 2.00 PPG

Rossford Soccer Center Dome, Indoor Turf 9v9 (1) ↗ · turf far trip

36% 25% 38%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.4 for, 1.4 against · 1.35 expected points)

Season so far	Cleveland Force Pre- White	GTFC Impact Girls Pre
Position	3rd	1st
Record (W-D-L)	5-2-2	4-2-1
Points per game	1.89	2.00
Goals for / game	1.7	2.4
Goals against / game	0.8	1.4
Clean sheets	4	2
Held scoreless	0	1
Form (recent first)	D W D W W	W L D W W
Biggest win	3–0 at Manta Pre	4–0 at Manta Pre
Worst loss	1–2 vs Internationals SC Pre- Blue	0–3 vs Internationals SC Pre- Blue
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.55	+0.60
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.19	-0.06

Already played this season: Sat Sep 19 1–2 vs GTFC Impact Girls Pre (L)

Common opponents: Internationals SC Pre- Blue — we 2–0, 1–2; they 0–3, 4–3. Manta Pre — we 3–0, 1–1; they 4–0, 1–1. North FC Pre- West — we 3–0, 1–0; they 4–0. Pacesetter SC Red — we 2–1, 1–1; they 2–2.

Game plan

Respect their attack
GTFC Impact Girls Pre score 2.4/game — well above the league's 1.7.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 36%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 11:30 AM at Rossford Soccer Center Dome.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Internationals SC Pre- Blue sit 2nd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.89.
A win moves us above Internationals SC Pre- Blue on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the GTFC Impact Girls Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Cleveland Force Pre- White – GTFC Impact Girls Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.80 PPG	4th▼ down 1	3rd— holds	4th▼ down 1
Win 2.00 PPG	1st▲ up 2	1st▲ up 2	2nd▲ up 1
Draw 1.80 PPG	4th▼ down 1	3rd— holds	4th▼ down 1
Loss 1.70 PPG	4th▼ down 1	4th▼ down 1	4th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

13% finish 1st

100% top 4

0% below the top 4

2.8 average finish

1st 13%
2nd 24%
3rd 30%
4th 33%
5th
6th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	GTFC Impact Girls Pre	2.00 (+0.11)	2nd (1.93)	Win next game
2	Internationals SC Pre- Blue	2.00 (+0.11)	1st (1.96)	Win next game

How the results connect

73 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Cleveland Force Pre- White to GTFC Impact Girls Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

30 favour us

10 even

33 favour them

+0.0 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.60 · 1st hardest of 5

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Nov 1 11:30 AM	GTFC Impact Girls Pre 1st · 4-2-1 · GD +7	Away far trip Rossford Soccer Center Dome · turf	●●●●○ Tough	36%	1–1	1.35	1.83	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

GTFC Impact Girls Pre

2.00

WWDLW

-0.06

-0.05

100%

2.3

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Internationals SC Pre- Blue (2nd)	4–3
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Internationals SC Pre- Blue (2nd)	0–3
D	Fri Oct 2	at	Pacesetter SC Red (4th)	2–2
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	North FC Pre- West (6th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Cleveland Force Pre- White (3rd)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	Manta Pre (5th)	1–1
W	Sun Aug 30	at	Manta Pre (5th)	4–0

Next: Fri Oct 30 vs Pacesetter SC Red · Sat Oct 31 at North FC Pre- West · Sun Nov 1 vs Cleveland Force Pre- White See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Fri Oct 30	vs	Pacesetter SC Red (4th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	North FC Pre- West (6th)	3–0	79%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Cleveland Force Pre- White (3rd)	1–1	38%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Internationals SC Pre- Blue

2.00

DWWWL

-0.03

-0.35

100%

2.2

L	Sat Oct 17	at	GTFC Impact Girls Pre (1st)	3–4
W	Sat Oct 17	at	GTFC Impact Girls Pre (1st)	3–0
W	Fri Oct 16	vs	Manta Pre (5th)	4–2
W	Fri Oct 2	at	Manta Pre (5th)	2–0
D	Sun Sep 27	vs	Pacesetter SC Red (4th)	1–1
W	Fri Sep 11	vs	North FC Pre- West (6th)	3–2
W	Sat Aug 29	at	Cleveland Force Pre- White (3rd)	2–1
L	Sat Aug 29	at	Cleveland Force Pre- White (3rd)	0–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pacesetter SC Red · Sun Oct 25 at North FC Pre- West See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Pacesetter SC Red (4th)	1–2	30%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	North FC Pre- West (6th)	2–0	78%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Cleveland Force Pre- White

1.89

WWDWD

-0.19

+0.60

100%

2.8

D	Sun Oct 18	vs	Pacesetter SC Red (4th)	1–1
W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Pacesetter SC Red (4th)	2–1
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Manta Pre (5th)	1–1
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	North FC Pre- West (6th)	1–0
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	North FC Pre- West (6th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Manta Pre (5th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	GTFC Impact Girls Pre (1st)	1–2
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	Internationals SC Pre- Blue (2nd)	1–2
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Internationals SC Pre- Blue (2nd)	2–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 at GTFC Impact Girls Pre See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	GTFC Impact Girls Pre (1st)	1–1	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pacesetter SC Red

+10

1.88

DWWLD

-0.32

+0.58

100%

2.7

D	Sun Oct 18	at	Cleveland Force Pre- White (3rd)	1–1
L	Sun Oct 18	at	Cleveland Force Pre- White (3rd)	1–2
W	Sat Oct 17	at	North FC Pre- West (6th)	5–1
W	Sat Oct 17	at	North FC Pre- West (6th)	4–1
D	Fri Oct 2	vs	GTFC Impact Girls Pre (1st)	2–2
D	Sun Sep 27	at	Internationals SC Pre- Blue (2nd)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Manta Pre (5th)	4–2
W	Sun Aug 30	at	Manta Pre (5th)	2–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Internationals SC Pre- Blue · Fri Oct 30 at GTFC Impact Girls Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Internationals SC Pre- Blue (2nd)	2–1	50%
·	Fri Oct 30	at	GTFC Impact Girls Pre (1st)	1–1	40%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Manta Pre

-13

0.60

LLDLD

+0.19

—

5.0

North FC Pre- West

-18

0.13

LLDLL

+0.28

+0.58

6.0

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Pacesetter SC Red (4th)	1–5
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Pacesetter SC Red (4th)	1–4
D	Wed Oct 7	vs	Manta Pre (5th)	1–1
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Cleveland Force Pre- White (3rd)	0–1
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Cleveland Force Pre- White (3rd)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	GTFC Impact Girls Pre (1st)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Manta Pre (5th)	0–2
L	Fri Sep 11	at	Internationals SC Pre- Blue (2nd)	2–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Internationals SC Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 31 vs GTFC Impact Girls Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Internationals SC Pre- Blue (2nd)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	GTFC Impact Girls Pre (1st)	0–3	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.69 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.