Internationals SC Pre- Blue
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Ohio Valley GU12 (2014-2015) · 6 teams · Internationals SC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:00 PM
Pacesetter Park , Field 12 ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.7 for, 2.3 against · 1.09 expected points)
| Season so far | Internationals SC Pre- Blue | Pacesetter SC Red |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-2 | 4-3-1 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W W D | D L W W D |
| Biggest win | 3–0 at GTFC Impact Girls Pre | 5–1 at North FC Pre- West |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Cleveland Force Pre- White | 1–2 at Cleveland Force Pre- White |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.56 | +0.82 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.03 | -0.32 |
Already played this season: Sun Sep 27 1–1 vs Pacesetter SC Red (D)
Common opponents: Cleveland Force Pre- White — we 0–2, 2–1; they 1–2, 1–1. North FC Pre- West — we 3–2; they 4–1, 5–1. Manta Pre — we 2–0, 4–2; they 2–0, 4–2. GTFC Impact Girls Pre — we 3–0, 3–4; they 2–2.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Pacesetter SC Red score 2.5/game — well above the league's 1.7.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 at Cleveland Force Pre- White.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 30%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 03:00 PM at Pacesetter Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
GTFC Impact Girls Pre sit 1st on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.A point moves us above GTFC Impact Girls Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Pacesetter SC Red game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Internationals SC Pre- Blue – Pacesetter SC Red) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.78 PPG |
4th▼ down 2 | 4th▼ down 2 | 4th▼ down 2 |
| Win 2.11 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.89 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.78 PPG |
4th▼ down 2 | 4th▼ down 2 | 4th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 4th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 31%
- 2nd 31%
- 3rd 28%
- 4th 10%
- 5th
- 6th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 2.20 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GTFC Impact Girls Pre | 2.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.93) | A point next game |
How the results connect
76 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Internationals SC Pre- Blue to Pacesetter SC Red through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
14 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.35 · 5th hardest of 5
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 03:00 PM |
Pacesetter SC Red 4th · 4-3-1 · GD +10 |
Away far trip
Pacesetter Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–2 | 1.09 | 1.90 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM |
North FC Pre- West 6th · 0-1-7 · GD -18 |
Away far trip
Victory Sports Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.47 | 1.96 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | GTFC Impact Girls Pre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 14 | 2.00 | WWDLW | -0.06 | -0.05 | 100% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 30 vs Pacesetter SC Red · Sat Oct 31 at North FC Pre- West · Sun Nov 1 vs Cleveland Force Pre- White See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Internationals SC Pre- Blue | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 16 | 2.00 | DWWWL | -0.03 | -0.35 | 100% | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Pacesetter SC Red · Sun Oct 25 at North FC Pre- West See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Cleveland Force Pre- White | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 17 | 1.89 | WWDWD | -0.19 | +0.60 | 100% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at GTFC Impact Girls Pre See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Pacesetter SC Red | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 15 | 1.88 | DWWLD | -0.32 | +0.58 | 100% | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Internationals SC Pre- Blue · Fri Oct 30 at GTFC Impact Girls Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Manta Pre | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 6 | 0.60 | LLDLD | +0.19 | — | 0% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 6 | North FC Pre- West | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 1 | 0.13 | LLDLL | +0.28 | +0.58 | 0% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Internationals SC Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 31 vs GTFC Impact Girls Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.69 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.