Ohio Elite SA Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Ohio Valley GU11 (2015-2016) · 8 teams · Ohio Elite Soccer Academy (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:40 PM
TFA Harrison Soccer Complex (TSC), TSC Field 2 ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.8 for, 1.2 against · 2.27 expected points)
| Season so far | Ohio Elite SA Pre | Total Futbol Academy Elite |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-0 | 3-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.50 |
| Goals for / game | 6.4 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W W W | D W W W |
| Biggest win | 11–1 at Sporting Columbus | 6–1 vs Cincinnati West Academy Elite I |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +3.34 | +0.67 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.02 | -1.25 |
Common opponents: Mercury Pre- 1 — we 7–0; they 1–0. Cincinnati West Academy Elite I — we 9–0; they 6–1, 0–0. FC Pride Elite Pre — we 1–1; they 2–1.
Game plan
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Hard to break down
Total Futbol Academy Elite concede only 0.5/game with 2 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 70% chance; likely score 2–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Away game
Kickoff 02:40 PM at TFA Harrison Soccer Complex (TSC).Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Total Futbol Academy Elite game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Ohio Elite SA Pre – Total Futbol Academy Elite) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.67 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 2.67 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.33 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Loss 2.17 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 88%
- 2nd 11%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th <1%
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
14 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Ohio Elite SA Pre to Total Futbol Academy Elite through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.02 · 6th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 02:40 PM |
Total Futbol Academy Elite 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +7 |
Away far trip
TFA Harrison Soccer Complex (TSC) |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
2–1 | 2.27 | 2.54 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 11:30 AM |
Lexington Sporting Club Academy Pre 3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +15 |
Home Ohio Elite Training Center |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
3–1 | 2.20 | 2.50 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 03:30 PM |
Sporting Columbus 7th · 1-0-5 · GD -24 |
Home Ohio Elite Training Center |
●○○○○ Favorable | 100% |
9–0 | 2.99 | 2.56 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Ohio Elite SA Pre | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 2 | +30 | 13 | 2.60 | WWWDW | -1.02 | -0.02 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Total Futbol Academy Elite · Sun Oct 25 vs Lexington Sporting Club Academy Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Sporting Columbus See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Total Futbol Academy Elite | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 10 | 2.50 | WWWD | -1.25 | +0.61 | 95% | 2.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Ohio Elite SA Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Indy Eleven Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Sporting Columbus See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Lexington Sporting Club Academy Pre | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 2 | +15 | 8 | 2.00 | DWDW | -1.48 | +1.01 | 91% | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Ohio Elite SA Pre · Sat Nov 7 at FC Pride Elite Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Total Futbol Academy Elite See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Pride Elite Pre | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 | 1.83 | WDLWD | +0.11 | -0.45 | 99% | 3.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Cincinnati West Academy Elite I · Sat Nov 7 vs Lexington Sporting Club Academy Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Indy Eleven Pre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | 1.33 | DLWWD | +0.15 | +0.06 | 13% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy Elite · Sun Nov 1 vs Mercury Pre- 1 See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Mercury Pre- 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 | 0.80 | LDLLW | +0.63 | -0.36 | 2% | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Cincinnati West Academy Elite I · Sun Nov 1 at Indy Eleven Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Lexington Sporting Club Academy Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Sporting Columbus | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 29 | -24 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLWL | +0.32 | +2.00 | 0% | 7.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Ohio Elite SA Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Total Futbol Academy Elite See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Cincinnati West Academy Elite I | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 26 | -25 | 1 | 0.17 | LLLLD | +0.55 | +0.01 | 0% | 7.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Mercury Pre- 1 · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Pride Elite Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.95 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.