Sting Pre- Girau
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Texas GU12 · 10 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.9 for, 0.9 against · 2.09 expected points)
| Season so far | Sting Pre- Girau | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-3-4 | 0-2-4 |
| Points per game | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| Goals for / game | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.7 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | D L L L D | L D L L D |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | 0–3 vs OK Energy FC Pre I | 0–6 at SOLAR PRE- ADAMES |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.56 | -1.76 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.40 | +0.32 |
Common opponents: DKSC Pre- Zaldivar — we 2–2; they 0–4. OK Energy FC Pre I — we 0–3; they 0–4. SOLAR PRE- ADAMES — we 1–1; they 0–6. Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock — we 0–1; they 1–1. West Side Alliance Pre Gold — we 1–2; they 1–4.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 1.4); blanked in 3 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon concede 3.3/game; worst result 0–6 at SOLAR PRE- ADAMES.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–3 vs OK Energy FC Pre I, 0–1 at Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock, 0–2 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 63% / draw 21% / loss 16%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Sting Pre- Prokof sit 8th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.43.A point moves us above Sting Pre- Prokof on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Pre- Girau – FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 0.75 PPG |
8th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 1 | 9th— holds |
| Win 0.75 PPG |
8th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 1 | 9th— holds |
| Draw 0.50 PPG |
9th— holds | 8th▲ up 1 | 9th— holds |
| Loss 0.38 PPG |
10th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–0 win we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th 3%
- 8th 45%
- 9th 36%
- 10th 17%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 0.75 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OK Energy FC Pre I | 2.75 (+2.32) | 1st (2.75) | 19 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | DKSC Pre- Zaldivar | 2.60 (+2.17) | 2nd (2.35) | 18 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | West Side Alliance Pre Gold | 2.00 (+1.57) | 3rd (1.80) | 13 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | SOLAR PRE- ADAMES | 1.67 (+1.24) | 4th (1.52) | 11 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock | 1.33 (+0.90) | 6th (1.32) | 8 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 6 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren | 1.29 (+0.86) | 5th (1.34) | 8 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 7 | SOLAR PRE- BATES | 0.83 (+0.40) | 7th (1.04) | 4 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 6 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 8 | Sting Pre- Prokof | 0.67 (+0.24) | 8th (0.71) | A point next game |
How the results connect
27 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Sting Pre- Girau to FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
13 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -1.76 · 9th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 12:30 PM |
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon 10th · 0-2-4 · GD -17 |
Home Railroad Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
1–0 | 2.09 | 0.64 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | OK Energy FC Pre I | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 2 | +16 | 22 | 2.75 | DWWWW | -0.30 | — | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 2 | DKSC Pre- Zaldivar | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 13 | 2.60 | WDWWW | -0.54 | +0.12 | 99% | 2.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West Side Alliance Pre Gold · Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR PRE- ADAMES · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | West Side Alliance Pre Gold | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 | 2.00 | WWDWL | -0.15 | +0.15 | 88% | 3.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR PRE- ADAMES · Sat Oct 24 at DKSC Pre- Zaldivar · Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Pre- Prokof See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | SOLAR PRE- ADAMES | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 10 | 1.67 | DWWLW | -0.26 | +0.53 | 57% | 4.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre Gold · Sat Oct 31 at DKSC Pre- Zaldivar See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 | 1.33 | WLWDD | -0.09 | +0.08 | 19% | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- Prokof · Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC Pre- Zaldivar See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 9 | 1.29 | WLLWW | +0.17 | +0.02 | 30% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- BATES See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | SOLAR PRE- BATES | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 5 | 0.83 | WLLDD | +0.18 | -0.69 | 7% | 6.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Sting Pre- Prokof | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 | 0.67 | DLLLW | +0.23 | +0.04 | 0% | 8.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock · Sun Oct 25 at West Side Alliance Pre Gold See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Sting Pre- Girau | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 | 0.43 | DLLLD | +0.40 | -1.76 | 0% | 8.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon See all 1 future matchup ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 2 | 0.33 | DLLDL | +0.32 | -0.27 | 0% | 9.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- Girau · Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR PRE- BATES See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.38 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.