Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Texas GU12 · 10 teams · Dallas Texans (all teams)

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5th

3-2-2 record · 7 played

1.57 points per game

+0 goal diff · 9–9

LWDDWlast 5

34% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.9

-0.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 12:30 PM

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Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock
5th · 1.57 PPG

DKSC Pre- Zaldivar
2nd · 2.60 PPG

Railroad Park , Field 9 ↗

23% 23% 53%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.1 for, 1.8 against · 0.93 expected points)

Season so far	Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock	DKSC Pre- Zaldivar
Position	5th	2nd
Record (W-D-L)	3-2-2	4-1-0
Points per game	1.57	2.60
Goals for / game	1.3	2.4
Goals against / game	1.3	0.8
Clean sheets	2	2
Held scoreless	1	0
Form (recent first)	W D D W L	W W W D W
Biggest win	4–1 vs West Side Alliance Pre Gold	4–0 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon
Worst loss	0–4 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-0.04	+0.85
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.19	-0.54

Common opponents: Sting Pre- Girau — we 1–0; they 2–2. FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren — we 0–4; they 2–1. FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon — we 1–1; they 4–0. SOLAR PRE- BATES — we 1–1; they 2–1. Sting Pre- Prokof — we 1–0; they 2–0.

Game plan

Respect their attack
DKSC Pre- Zaldivar score 2.4/game — well above the league's 1.4.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 23%; a draw (23%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
They arrive in form
DKSC Pre- Zaldivar have won 3 straight.
Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
What a win does
SOLAR PRE- ADAMES sit 4th on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.57.
A point moves us above SOLAR PRE- ADAMES on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the DKSC Pre- Zaldivar game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock – DKSC Pre- Zaldivar) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.50 PPG	5th— holds	4th▲ up 1	5th— holds
Win 1.75 PPG	4th▲ up 1	4th▲ up 1	5th— holds
Draw 1.50 PPG	5th— holds	4th▲ up 1	5th— holds
Loss 1.38 PPG	5th— holds	5th— holds	5th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

34% top 4

66% below the top 4

4.9 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd 8%
4th 27%
5th 36%
6th 30%
7th
8th
9th
10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 1.75 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	OK Energy FC Pre I	2.75 (+1.18)	1st (2.75)	11 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	DKSC Pre- Zaldivar	2.60 (+1.03)	2nd (2.34)	10 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3	West Side Alliance Pre Gold	2.00 (+0.43)	3rd (1.81)	5 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 4 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES	1.67 (+0.10)	4th (1.52)	A point next game

How the results connect

23 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock to DKSC Pre- Zaldivar through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us

3 even

14 favour them

-0.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.85 · 1st hardest of 9

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 31 12:30 PM	DKSC Pre- Zaldivar 2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +8	Home Railroad Park	●●●●● Very tough	23%	1–1	0.93	1.49	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

OK Energy FC Pre I

+16

2.75

DWWWW

-0.29

—

100%

1.0

DKSC Pre- Zaldivar

2.60

WDWWW

-0.54

+0.15

99%

2.1

W	Sat Oct 10	at	Sting Pre- Prokof (8th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (10th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (6th)	2–1
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Sting Pre- Girau (9th)	2–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	SOLAR PRE- BATES (7th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs West Side Alliance Pre Gold · Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR PRE- ADAMES · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	West Side Alliance Pre Gold (3rd)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (4th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock (5th)	1–1	53%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

West Side Alliance Pre Gold

2.00

WWDWL

-0.13

+0.13

87%

3.4

L	Sun Oct 4	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock (5th)	1–4
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Sting Pre- Girau (9th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 20	at	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	0–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (6th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (10th)	4–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR PRE- ADAMES · Sat Oct 24 at DKSC Pre- Zaldivar · Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Pre- Prokof See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (4th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	DKSC Pre- Zaldivar (2nd)	1–2	21%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Sting Pre- Prokof (8th)	1–0	65%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR PRE- ADAMES

1.67

DWWLW

-0.27

+0.53

51%

4.5

W	Thu Oct 22	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (10th)	6–0
L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Sting Pre- Prokof (8th)	0–1
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (6th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 27	at	SOLAR PRE- BATES (7th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Sting Pre- Girau (9th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	0–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance Pre Gold · Sat Oct 31 at DKSC Pre- Zaldivar See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	West Side Alliance Pre Gold (3rd)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	DKSC Pre- Zaldivar (2nd)	1–2	22%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock

1.57

LWDDW

-0.19

+0.85

34%

4.9

W	Sat Oct 24	at	Sting Pre- Prokof (8th)	1–0
D	Sat Oct 17	at	SOLAR PRE- BATES (7th)	1–1
D	Sun Oct 11	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (10th)	1–1
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	West Side Alliance Pre Gold (3rd)	4–1
L	Sat Oct 3	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (6th)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sting Pre- Girau (9th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 20	at	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC Pre- Zaldivar See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	DKSC Pre- Zaldivar (2nd)	1–1	23%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren

1.29

WLLWW

+0.18

+0.02

24%

5.4

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Sting Pre- Prokof (8th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Sting Pre- Girau (9th)	2–0
L	Sun Oct 11	at	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (4th)	1–2
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	0–2
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock (5th)	4–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	DKSC Pre- Zaldivar (2nd)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	West Side Alliance Pre Gold (3rd)	1–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- BATES See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	SOLAR PRE- BATES (7th)	1–1	48%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR PRE- BATES

0.83

WLLDD

+0.19

-0.70

6.7

D	Sun Oct 18	vs	Sting Pre- Girau (9th)	1–1
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock (5th)	1–1
L	Sun Oct 11	at	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (4th)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Sting Pre- Prokof (8th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	DKSC Pre- Zaldivar (2nd)	1–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (6th)	1–1	26%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (10th)	2–0	70%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Pre- Prokof

-8

0.57

LLLWL

+0.19

+0.21

8.9

L	Sat Oct 24	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock (5th)	0–1
W	Sun Oct 18	at	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (4th)	1–0
L	Sun Oct 18	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (6th)	0–2
L	Sun Oct 11	at	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	1–2
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	DKSC Pre- Zaldivar (2nd)	0–2
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (10th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	SOLAR PRE- BATES (7th)	0–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 at West Side Alliance Pre Gold See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	West Side Alliance Pre Gold (3rd)	0–1	13%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Pre- Girau

-7

0.43

DLLLD

+0.41

-1.76

8.4

D	Sun Oct 18	at	SOLAR PRE- BATES (7th)	1–1
L	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren (6th)	0–2
L	Sat Oct 3	at	West Side Alliance Pre Gold (3rd)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock (5th)	0–1
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (4th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	0–3
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	DKSC Pre- Zaldivar (2nd)	2–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (10th)	1–0	63%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon

-17

0.33

DLLDL

+0.33

-0.27

9.6

L	Thu Oct 22	at	SOLAR PRE- ADAMES (4th)	0–6
D	Sun Oct 11	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock (5th)	1–1
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	DKSC Pre- Zaldivar (2nd)	0–4
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Sting Pre- Prokof (8th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	West Side Alliance Pre Gold (3rd)	1–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- Girau · Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR PRE- BATES See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Sting Pre- Girau (9th)	0–1	16%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	SOLAR PRE- BATES (7th)	0–2	12%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.36 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.